Portugal vs Spain Odds & Prediction – UEFA Nations League (Sept 27)
- Place in the Nations League semifinals at stake in the city of Braga at 2: 45pm ET on Tuesday
- Portugal hammered the Czech Republic at weekend but Spain slumped against Switzerland
- See the Portugal vs Spain odds and best bets for the UEFA Nations League Matchday 6
A place in the semifinals of UEFA’s Nations League is at stake in Portugal vs Spain on Tuesday.
Portugal leads Group A2 on 10 points heading into this final group stage fixture.
Meanwhile, Spain is in second place with eight points ahead of this Portugal vs Spain matchup.
So a win or a draw in the city of Braga will send Portugal into next year’s four-team semifinals while Spain has to win.
Portugal vs Spain Odds
| Result | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| Portugal | +125 |
| Spain | +215 |
| Draw | +220 |
Odds as of September 26 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim this DraftKings Sportsbook promo code before betting on the match.
Buoyant Portugal is the favorite for a win at DraftKings at +125. Out-of-form Spain is rated at +215 with the draw at +220. Kick-off is at 2: 45 pm ET.
Furthermore, Portugal is heading into the game in an optimistic mood following a 4-0 away win in the Czech Republic last weekend.
https://youtu.be/oTVAANBzFxY
Spain, however, needs a recovery after a surprise 2-1 home defeat by Switzerland last weekend.
The defeat ahead of Portugal vs Spain cost Spain the top spot in the group.
These nations drew 1-1 in the opening fixture of the competition in Seville last June.
Portugal with CR7 in Nations League:
4-0 win vs Switz (2 Goals 1 Assist) ✅
2-0 win vs Czech ✅
4-0 win vs Czech (1 Assist) ✅Portugal without CR7 in Nations League:
1-1 draw vs Spain ❌
1-0 loss vs Switzerland ❌ pic.twitter.com/6BXBUyTqWs— Kaz (@Kaz7iiV2) September 24, 2022
But Spain will have a tough task in the return – with Portugal boasting the best defensive record across all four of the A-band groups after conceding just two goals.
It has won three times, drawn once and lost once while scoring 11 times.
Meanwhile, Spain has two wins, two draws and one defeat. It has scored seven goals and conceded five times.
Over/Under & Spread
The oddsmakers are expecting a tight game in Portugal vs Spain – particularly after five successive draws in the most recent meetings of these teams.
The offer of +205 for there to be only one goal or fewer looks attractive (Under 1.5).
https://twitter.com/floatatlantic7/status/1574342208614170626?s=20&t=mCEf30BmwjU31JaZJyYtsQ
At the other end of the scale, there are odds of +275 for there to be four goals or more (Over 3.5).
Meanwhile, there is an intriguing spread offer of +350 for Portugal to win by two goals or more (Spread -1.5).
For Spain to win by two goals or more in your Portugal vs Spain picks, the odds are +600 (Spread -1.5).
Cristiano Ronaldo to Score Odds
With 117 goals in 190 international appearances in his glittering career, Cristiano Ronaldo is the favorite to score in Portugal vs Spain at +110.
He is priced at +280 to be either the first goalscorer or the last goalscorer.
Ronaldo is set to play despite suffering a facial injury against the Czech Republic.
Alvaro Morata of Spain has 26 international goals to his credit and is the second favorite to score at +225.
To score either first or last, he is rated at +500.
FT: Czechia 0-4 Portugal.
A comfortable win for Portugal in the end, who cruise to a resounding victory. Promising signs with the World Cup approaching. Big news in the other game in the group too, with Spain LOSING. Portugal now only need a draw vs Spain to make the final four. pic.twitter.com/daKjLU4GkP
— Alex Gonçalves (@Aljeeves) September 24, 2022
Defender Diogo Dalot of Portugal surprisingly scored twice in last weekend’s defeat of the Czech Republic.
He is well down the odds to score again in Portugal vs Spain picks but anyone who believes he can pull off a repeat and get on the scoresheet again can get odds of +1800.
Manchester United’s Bruno Fernandes also scored against the Czechs and is priced at +400 to get on the scoresheet.
Portugal vs Spain Statistics
| 3 | Wins | 2 |
| 1 | Draws | 2 |
| 1 | Losses | 1 |
| 11 | Goals | 7 |
| 2 | Goals Against | 5 |
| 9 | Yellow Cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red Cards | 0 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
*Statistics from UEFA Nations League 2022-23.
Portugal vs Spain History
Spain has not won in Portugal since a 3-0 friendly win in 2003.
With five draws in these nations’ most recent four meetings, Spain’s last win against the Portuguese was a penalty shoot-out victory at Euro 2012 – although even this was, technically, a drawn result.
Portugal’s last win against Spain was a 4-0 friendly victory in 2010.
Meanwhile, Portugal has won all of its last four home fixtures
Portugal vs Spain Line-Ups and Injuries.
Portugal projected line-up: Costa; Dalot, Dias, Pereira, Cancelo; Neves, Palhinha, Fernandes; B. Silva, Ronaldo, Leao
Portugal Injuries: None
Spain projected line-up: Simon; Carvajal, Garcia, Torres, Alba; Koke, Rodri, Pedri; Sarabia, Morata, Torres
Spain injuries: None
Portugal vs Spain Pick
This looks like it will be a tight fixture even though Portugal hit four goals at the weekend.
That makes the odds of +205 for there to be only one goal or no goals at all an attractive proposition for your Portugal vs Spain picks this time around.
Pick: Total Goals Under 1.5 (+205)
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John Dillon is a leading member of the UK's sporting media, having spent three decades as a national newspaper soccer and sports writer, broadcaster and author. He has covered five World Cups, six European Championships and was Chief Sports Writer at the Daily Express for 14 years.
