UEFA Nations League Matchday 6 Odds & Picks Nov 17: Spain vs Germany, Croatia vs Portugal & Switzerland vs Ukraine
- Nine fixtures across five qualifying groups kicking off at 2:45 pm ET on Tuesday
- Germany seeks draw in Spain to reach finals while Croatia fight to avoid drop in Switzerland
- See all odds and best bets for UEFA Nations League Matchday 6 on November 17
Europe’s Nations League group stage reaches its conclusive final fixture phase this week with nine Matchday 6 matches taking place on Tuesday.
The four-team finals will be played in October next year after the re-scheduled European Championships.
UEFA Nations League Matchday 6 Odds
Matchup | Home | Draw | Away |
---|---|---|---|
France vs Sweden | -157 | +280 | +460 |
Croatia vs Portugal | +250 | +245 | +110 |
Spain vs Germany | +143 | +245 | +185 |
Switzerland vs Ukraine | -136 | +270 | +390 |
Montenegro vs Cyprus | -175 | +265 | +600 |
Andorra vs Latvia | +355 | +215 | -106 |
Luxembourg vs Azerbaijan | +110 | +200 | +315 |
Gibraltar vs Liechtenstein | +160 | +200 | +195 |
Malta vs Faroe Islands | +195 | +215 | +155 |
Odds taken from Draftkings on Nov 16
Pick 1: Spain vs Germany
Germany need only a draw in Spain on Tuesday to clinch a top place finish in Group A4 after a change-over of power in the section.
The Spanish had been the front-runners for much of the competition and will claim back first place with a win this week.
But they were held to a 1-1 draw with Switzerland last Saturday while Germany came from behind to beat Ukraine 3-1.
That put the Germans on top of the group with nine points while Spain now have eight points.
After five rounds of matches, Germany are unbeaten with three draws and two wins – so the Draftkings price of +245 for them to claim the necessary point in the final fixture at 2:45 pm ET in Seville looks attractive.
Spain will be determined to hit back after veteran defender Sergio Ramos missed two penalties in the draw against the Swiss.
That projection is backed up by the fact that these two teams drew 1-1 in the opening game in September in Stuttgart.
Spain will be determined to hit back after veteran defender Sergio Ramos missed two penalties in the draw against the Swiss.
It took an 80th-minute equalizer from Villarreal striker Gerard to rescue Spain after they trailed to a 26th-minute opener from Remo Freuler in Basel.
💬 @TimoWerner after #GERUKR: "Going forward things are looking pretty good. We're also getting more solid at the back. If we can keep on working regularly, things could get a lot better – especially looking ahead to #EURO2020." #NationsLeague #DieMannschaft #Werner pic.twitter.com/lbpGUS5Qyz
— Germany (@DFB_Team_EN) November 14, 2020
Chelsea forward Timo Werner was the hero for Germany against Ukraine in Leipzig.
They fell behind to a 12th-minute strike from Roman Yeremchuk. But Leroy Sane equalized after 23 minutes before Werner scored twice in the 33rd and 64th minutes.
In the current international break, Germany scored a 1-0 home win over the Czech Republic last mid-week while Spain drew 1-1 in Holland.
Pick: Draw +245
Pick 2: Croatia vs Portugal
Croatia will be fighting to avoid relegation from the top tier Group A section of the competition when they host Portugal in Split.
Portugal – winners of the inaugural Nations League in 2019 – cannot catch group A3 leaders France after their 1-0 defeat by the French in Lisbon on Saturday.
With a current points tally of 10, they will finish second.
Third-placed Croatia must at least match what bottom-placed Sweden achieve against France to avoid dropping into the Group B tier.
With only one win and four defeats, fallen 2018 World Cup finalists Croatia might ordinarily be written off
So, in the search for value at the tail end of the group stage, the Draftkings offer of +250 for a Croatian win looks interesting. With the tie at +230, that is a decent proposition, too.
With only that one win and four defeats so far, fallen 2018 World Cup finalists Croatia might ordinarily be written off against the Portuguese.
FT!⚽️
Croatia lost vs Sweden in Nations League match!
💪❤😨🇭🇷.#nationsleague #SWECRO #Croatia . pic.twitter.com/6aowN16FIs— Croatia football news (@Croatiafootbal1) November 14, 2020
But the Croatians have home advantage – such as it is in front of empty stands – and the need to put the threat of relegation beyond doubt could inspire them.
At the same time, Portugal may now be de-motivated with no place in next year’s finals available.
Both Croatia and the Swedes have only three points heading into the final shake-down and an identical goal difference of -6.
The slight advantage here is with Croatia because they have scored seven goals while Sweden has only three.
Check out all the #NationsLeague fixtures and results 👇
— UEFA.com (@UEFAcom) November 15, 2020
Croatia were beaten 2-1 by Sweden last Saturday.
Portugal inflicted a 4-1 thrashing when they hosted Croatia in September.
And it does require a leap of faith to envisage a Croatian victory on Tuesday because they have lost five and drawn one of the nations’ six previous meetings.
Pick: Croatia +250
Pick 3: Switzerland vs Ukraine
Ukraine have the advantage as they battle with Switzerland to avoid relegation from Group A4.
The teams meet in the Swiss city of Lucerne with Ukraine in third place with six points and Switzerland bottom of the section with three points.
Although Ukraine were beaten 3-1 by Germany on Saturday, they hold a 2-1 home win over the Swiss from the opening matchday in September – and they have also beaten Spain 1-0 in this competition.
Those results and the fact that Switzerland have drawn three of their five games point towards the Draftkings offer of +270 for a tie as the best prospect here as Ukraine attempt to ensure safety from the drop.
The Swiss drew twice with Germany – 1-1 at home and 3-3 away – before last Saturday’s 1-1 draw with Spain.
Switzerland spoiled Sergio Ramos’ big night as a glorious goal and two shock penalty misses from the history maker helped them to a draw on Saturday night. Real Madrid captain set the European record for most caps for international with 177, however,the Swiss stole his thunder. pic.twitter.com/JQF4AWCHPx
— Ishan (@Football_idk) November 15, 2020
Ukraine suffered a 2-0 defeat in Poland in a friendly three days before the setback against Germany.
On the same night on November 11, Switzerland lost 2-1 in Belgium.
Before Ukraine’s Matchday 1 defeat of the Swiss, both previous meetings between the nations had ended in draws at the World Cup finals in 2006 and in a friendly in 2010.
Pick: Draw +270