Skip to content

Updated World Cup Odds & Betting Splits Including Top Scorer, Group Winners

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in Soccer News

Published:


Team Spain forward Mikel Oyarzabal and midfielder Pedri Gonzalez celebrate a goal
Aug 7, 2021; Yokohama, Japan; Team Spain midfielder Pedri Gonzalez (16) leaps up to Spain forward Mikel Oyarzabal (11) after his goal against Brazil during the second half of the gold medal match in the Tokyo 2020 Olympic Summer Games at Nissan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kareem Elgazzar-USA TODAY Sports
  • The 2026 World Cup is just 100 days away
  • Get the latest World Cup odds, including title odds and group-winner odds
  • Who does the public like? See the World Cup betting splits for number markets

The 2026 World Cup is just 100 days away. The final six teams in the expanded 48-team field will be determined by the end of the month. A number of FIFA heavyweights still have plenty of work to do to earn a berth, including Italy (ranked 13th in the world), Denmark (21st), Turkey (25th), and Ukraine (30th).

Betting data provided by theScore Bet shows that the public isn’t just hammering chalk in the World Cup futures. Below, I have set out the latest World Cup odds at theScore Bet, followed by betting splits for (a) tournament winner, (b) top scorer, and (c) group winners.

Jump to: WC Odds || WC Splits || Top Scorer || Group Winners

Updated World Cup Odds 2026

TeamOdds
Spain+450
England+550
Brazil+700
France+700
Argentina+800
Portugal+1000
Germany+1200
Netherlands+2000
Norway+2800
Italy+3300
Uruguay+3300
Belgium+4000
Colombia+4000
Mexico+5000
USA+5000
Ecuador+8000
Morocco+8000
Switzerland+8000
Croatia+10000
Canada+10000
Japan+12500
Senegal+12500
Denmark*+15000
Austria+15000
Egypt+15000
Ghana+20000
Korea+20000
Algeria+20000
Ivory Coast+20000
Paraguay+20000
Poland*+20000
Scotland+20000
Turkey*+20000
Ukraine*+20000
Cameroon+25000
Iran+25000
Slovakia*+25000
Wales*+25000
Australia+50000
Bolivia*+50000
Czechia*+50000
Jamaica*+50000
Romania*+50000
South Africa+50000
Tunisia+50000
DR Congo*+75000
Kosovo*+75000
Northern Ireland*+75000
Panama+75000
Albania*+100000
Iraq*+100000
Ireland*+100000
New Zealand+100000
Qatar+100000
Saudi Arabia+100000
Cape Verde+200000
Curacao*+200000
Suriname*+200000
Uzbekistan+200000
Haiti+250000
Jordan+250000

The 2010 champions and reigning Euro champions from Spain are the outright favorites at +450, closely followed by England, the team Spain beat in the 2024 Euro finale.

With Lionel Messi still unconfirmed, the reigning champions from Argentina are the fifth-favorite at +800.

A few teams that are still alive in qualifying are not listed in the outright-champion odds at theScore Bet, including North Macedonia, Sweden, and New Caledonia.

Odds as of 2:32 pm ET, March 3rd, at theScore Bet. New users can claim theScore Bet promo code for a bonus to use on the 2026 World Cup.

THESCORE BET
Bet $10 & Get $100 in Bonus Bets
Must manually enter promo code DIME to claim offer.
Must be 21+, offer only available in MI, NJ, PA & WV. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
LOCK IN PROMO
CODE: DIME
CODE: DIME
SIGNUP OFFER
USE PROMO CODE
DIME

BET $10, GET $100

GET OFFER NOW

World Cup Champion Betting Splits

Team (Odds)Betting Splits
Brazil (+700)24.4% of handle on 7.9% of bets
Spain (+450)15.9% of handle on 18.5% of bets
Portugal (+1000)11.7% of handle on 6.7% of bets
England (+550)10.8% of handle on 11.2% of bets
France (+700)9.6% of handle on 12.3% of bets
Argentina (+800)6.2% of handle on 8.2% of bets
Germany (+1200)5.5% of handle on 6.5% of bets
Norway (+2800)3.3% of handle on 4.4% of bets
USA (+5000)2.2% of handle on 3.6% of bets
Netherlands (+2000)1.8% of handle on 3.1% of bets

The Seleção are attracting nearly a quarter of the money bet on the World Cup-winner market, and that 24.4% of handle has come on just 7.9% of wagers, meaning – on average – the best on Brazil to win are way bigger than the wagers on any other team.

Spain is second in terms of handle (15.9%) and first by a mile in terms of bestsat 18.5%. France has the second-most wagers at just 12.3%.

The only true longshot in the top-ten most-bet teams is host USA, which has attracted 2.2% of handle on 3.6% of wagers. The USMNT has one third-place World Cup finish on its resume but that came all the way back in 1930, the first edition. They have reached the quarterfinals just once in the interim (Japan/Korea 2002). They were bounced by Brazil (1-0) in the Round of 16 the last time the World Cup was on home soil (1994).

World Cup Top Scorer Betting Splits

Player (Odds)Betting Splits
Mikel Oyarzabal – Spain (+4000)22.8% of handle on 9.5% of bets
Kylian Mbappe – France (+600)14.1% of handle on 18.1% of bets
Erling Haaland – Norway (+1400)12.9% of handle on 12.9% of bets
Lionel Messi – Argentina (+1200)10.0% of handle on 6.9% of bets
Lamine Yamal – Spain (+1100)7.3% of handle on 8.6% of bets
Harry Kane – England (+700)5.9% of handle on 6.0% of bets
Luis Diaz – Colombia (+5000)5.1% of handle on 5.2% of bets
Phil Foden – England (+4000)2.3 % of handle on 0.9% of bets
Cristiano Ronaldo – Portugal (+2000)1.8% of handle on 3.5% of bets
Vinicius Junior – Brazil (+2500) 1.7% of handle on 2.6% of bets

The Golden Boot betting splits are a fascinating mix of longshots and chalk. Real Sociedad star Mikel Oyarzabal, who projects to plays as the number 9 for tournament-favorite Spain, is getting a massive 22.8% of handle on just 9.5% of wagers.

The 28-year-old Oyarzabal was on fire in qualifying, tallying six goals (or four assists) in six matches from September to November of last year. He also had four goals (and two assists) in eight Nations League during the 2024-25 season. Domestically, he has ten goals in 23 matches for Sociedad, though he’ll have considerably better service on the national team.

Kylian Mbappe, who has 12 goals in 14 career World Cup matches, is the outright favorite. He was the top scorer at Qatar 2022 with eight goals in just seven matches.

The last table sets out the latest group-winner odds for all 12 quartets. The team getting the largest percentage of betting handle to win the group is bolded. Percentages will be added when they become available.

World Cup Group Winner Odds & Splits

Group AOdds
Mexico+110
CZE/DEN/IRE/MKD+180
South Korea+425
South Africa+1200
Group BOdds
BiH/ITA/NIR/WAL+105
Switzerland+135
Canada+550
Qatar+2500
Group COdds
Brazil-350
Morocoo+340
Scotland+1200
Haiti+10000
Group DOdds
USA+125
KOS/ROM/SVK/TUR+250
Paraguay+300
Australia+650
Group EOdds
Germany-225
Ecuador+300
Ivory Coast+700
Curacao+10000
Group FOdds
Netherlands-140
Japan+350
ALB/POL/SWE/UKR+500
Tunisia+750
Group GOdds
Belgium-275
Egypt+500
Iran+700
New Zealand+20000
Group HOdds
Spain-500
Uruguay+450
Saudi Arabia+2000
Cape Verde+5000
Group IOdds
France-190
Norway+250
Senegal+700
Bolivia/Iraq/Suriname+2500
Group JOdds
Argentina-300
Austria+500
Algeria+600
Jordan+5000
Group KOdds
Portugal-200
Colombia+230
DR Congo/Jamaica/New Caledonia+1100
Uzbekistan+2500
GroupOdds
England-350
Croatia+350
Ghana+1300
Panama+5000

Teams in BOLD are currently the largest share of betting handle to win the group. If no team is bolded, then data is not yet available.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

NFL NBA MLB NHL NCAAF NCAAB Politics Tennis MMA Sportsbooks Gambling

Recommended Reading