World Cup Odds for All Group-Stage Matches After Draw
By Sascha Paruk in Soccer News
Updated: December 7, 2025 at 11:11 am ESTPublished:
- The World Cup draw took place this morning, establishing the majority of 2026 group-stage matches
- The odds for dozens of group-stage matches have been posted at online sportsbooks
- See the World Cup group-stage match odds for the USMNT, Canada, and more
The draw for the 2026 World Cup took place this morning in Washington, DC, establishing the 12 four-team groups. Six World Cup berths are still to-be-determined (the final playoff fixtures take place at the end of March) but the full group-stage schedule has nonetheless been set.
The table below sets out the opening group-stage odds for all known matches (three-way moneyline). More matchlines will be added as they become available.
World Cup Match Odds for Group-Stage
After the draw, the 2026 World Cup odds continue to favor Spain (+410 at FanDuel, +450 at DraftKings, +450 at bet365).
Odds as of Dec. 5th at DraftKings and FanDuel.
Opening USA vs Paraguay
The USMNT has opened as a modest +105 favorite in its opening match against Paraguay on June 12 at SoFi Stadium, Inglewood. Paraguay is +290 to pick up the full three points, while the draw is priced at +230.
The USA is also a +125 favorite to top its quartet (Group D) in the World Cup group-winner odds.
Opening Mexico vs South Africa Odds
The opening three-way moneyline for Mexico vs South Africa (the first game of the entire tournament) is heavily tilted towards El Tri. Mexico is priced at a hyper-short -320 to win with the draw at +425 and a Saudi victory at a long +1000.
Mexico is -105 to win Group A,which also includes South Korea and the winner of the playoff between Denmark, North Macedonia, Czechia, and Ireland.
Opening Brazil vs Morocco Odds
In one of the most-anticipated group-stage matches, Brazil has opened as a heavy favorite over 2022 runner-up Morocco. Brazil is -200 (66.7% implied win probability) to pick up the full three points while Morocco is +600 to win. The draw is +230.
Brazil is a heavy -250 favorite to win Group C, which also includes Scotland and longshot Haiti.
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Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
