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French Open Men’s Singles The Field vs Nadal, Djokovic, Zverev, Thiem, Federer: Is There Value at +550?

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in Tennis

Updated May 28, 2019 · 8:33 AM PDT

Dominic Thiem staring intently
Is Dominic Thiem ready to knock off the Big Three and win his first French Open title, or should you bet the field? Photo By si.robi (Wiki Commons) [CC License].
  • Is the field a good bet in men’s singles at the French Open?
  • BookMaker is offering a series of prop wagers pitting the field vs Roger Federer, Rafael Nadal, Novak Djokovic, Dominic Thiem and Alexander Zverev
  • Nadal, Djokovic and Federer have combined to win 13 of the last 14 French Open titles

Is it a field of dreams? History says no. Since 2005, the French Open men’s singles title has been dominated by one player. Rafael Nadal earned 11 of the past 14 championships.

Factor in one each from Roger Federer and Novak Djokovic and the big three of men’s tennis own 13 of the past 14 titles on the clay courts at Roland-Garros.

If you are of the opinon that this is the year that the big three will be shut out, then BookMaker has the bets for you. The sportsbook is offering separate prop wagers on the French Open pitting Nadal and Djokovic against the field.

There’s also a prop wager that pits the field against that duo, as well as Federer, Dominic Thiem and Alexander Zverev.

One of either Nadal, Federer or Djokovic have played in every French Open Men’s Singles final since 2005.

Nadal’s New Normal

Nadal plus clay equals championships. That’s been the formula for years. In 2019, though, the mix of this magic elixir has gone off. Nadal has played in three clay-court tournaments this season. He’s yet to make a final in any of them.

Rafael Nadal vs Field French Open Odds

Player Odds at BookMaker
Rafael Nadal +170
Field -210

*Odds taken 05/13/19. Nadal/Djokovic must start for all wagers to take effect.

This is the first time since 2004 that Nadal has gone past the first week of May without reaching a single tournament final playing on his favorite surface.

YouTube video

Last year, Nadal won four of five tournaments on clay courts, including his second straight and record 11th overall French Open title.

Nadal insists that what’s happening to him of late on clay is more normal than was his dominance on those courts for so many years.

Regardless, there might not ever be a better time to bet against Nadal on a clay surface.

Pick: The Field (-210)

Novak In Form

Djokovic, the 2016 French Open champion, won the title Sunday on the clay courts at Madrid. That was his first tournament victory since the Australian Open.

Djokovic has won every Grand Slam tournament since the 2018 French Open. That’s three in a row. He’s played in four French Open finals since 2012.

Novak Djokovic vs Field French Open Odds

Player Odds at BookMaker
Novak Djokovic +200
Field -260

If you believe in omens, Djokovic’s 2016 French Open win made him the reigning champion of all four Grand Slam events.

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A win this year at Roland-Garros would do likewise.

Pick: Djokovic (+200)

Fielding a Winner

From 1990-2004, 11 different players won the men’s singles title at the French Open. Along came Nadal, and all that sharing of the wealth was brought to a crashing halt. On the rare occasions the Spanish clay-court king was dethroned, it generally took one of the world’s best players, either Federer or Djokovic, to make it happen.

Grouping those three together with 2018 French Open finalist Dominic Thiem and emerging star Alexander Zverev, BookMaker offers those five vs the field in a prop wager.

Nadal/Djokovic/Zverev/Thiem/Federer vs Field French Open Odds

Player Odds at BookMaker
Nadal/Djokovic/Zverev/Thiem/Federer -900
Field +550

*Nadal must start for wager to take effect.

Is there a Stan Wawrinka in the 2018 French Open field? Wawrinka broke up the big three dominance with his 2015 win.

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We don’t think so. If Djokovic doesn’t win, it will be Thiem, the heir apparent to Nadal’s clay-court crown.

Pick: Nadal/Djokovic/Zverev/Thiem/Federer (-900).

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