Alcaraz vs Lehecka Picks, Predictions & Odds for Queen’s Club Final

• World No. 2 Carlos Alcaraz faces Jiri Lehecka in the Queen’s Club final on Sunday
• Alcaraz is on a career-best 17-match winning streak
• See my Alcaraz vs Lehecka picks and predictions, along with the betting odds for the Queen’s Club final

Carlos Alcaraz looks unstoppable right now. The Spanish sensation enters Sunday’s Queen’s Club final riding a career-best 17-match winning streak, and online sportsbooks have installed him as a massive favorite against first-time grass court finalist Jiri Lehecka.

Action begins at 9am ET from the Queen’s Club in London, England, with the Tennis Channel providing broadcast coverage.

Alcaraz vs Lehecka Picks and Predictions

• Alcaraz to Win 2-0 (-150 at Caesars)
• Parlay: Alcaraz ML + Under 22.5 Games (+120 at BetMGM)

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Sometimes the chalk is the smart play. This is one of those times.

Alcaraz has been virtually untouchable since early May. His 17-match winning streak includes titles in Rome and Roland Garros, where he outlasted Jannik Sinner in an instant classic. Now he’s cruising on grass, having faced just one break point in his last two matches combined.

The defending Wimbledon champion knows how to play on this surface. He’s 28-3 on grass over the past few years with three major titles to show for it. Against Roberto Bautista Agut in the semifinals, he was clinical. Fifteen aces, 30 winners, and not a single break point conceded. That’s championship-level tennis.

Lehecka deserves credit for reaching his first grass-court final. The Czech stunned home favorite Jack Draper in three sets, showing impressive mental toughness when it mattered most. But there’s a massive gulf between beating an ailing Draper and handling a locked-in Alcaraz.

The numbers tell the story. Alcaraz is 20-6 in ATP finals with wins over the game’s elite. Lehecka? He’s 2-2 with zero victories above the 250 level. When the pressure cranks up, experience matters.

Alcaraz vs Lehecka H2H Results

Their head-to-head sits at 1-1, but the surface split is telling. Lehecka took their hard-court meeting in Doha earlier this year. But when they met on grass at this very tournament in 2023? Alcaraz demolished him 6-2, 6-3. Different surface, different story.

What makes the straight sets bet so appealing is Alcaraz’s efficiency this week. He’s won 81% of first serve points and saved 87% of break points faced. Those aren’t just good numbers. They’re dominant. When you combine that with Lehecka playing in his first big grass-court final, the path to a routine win becomes clear.

The parlay offers extra value for those expecting Alcaraz to maintain his clinical form. If he wins in straight sets as expected, staying under 22.5 games follows naturally. It’s happened in three of his four matches this week.

Alcaraz vs Lehecka Betting Odds

Alacarze’ moneyline sits at a hefty -450, with Lehecka coming back at +310. The total games line of 22.5 leans slightly to the under at -120.

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Alcaraz’s -450 price implies an 81.8% win probability, which actually feels conservative given his current form and grass court dominance. The straight sets market at -150 offers the best value, especially when you consider he’s won 20 of his 26 career finals and shows no signs of slowing down.

This feels like a coronation more than a contest. Alcaraz is playing the best tennis of his life, and Lehecka picked the wrong time to reach his first grass-court final. When the gap in class is this wide, sometimes the obvious play is the right one.