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Anisimova vs Swiatek Odds – Who’s Favored in Wimbledon Final?

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in Tennis

Published:


Amanda Anisimova celebrates a win over Aryna Sabalenka
Jul 10, 2025; Wimbledon, United Kingdom; Amanda Anisimova of the United States celebrates winning her match against Aryna Sabalenka on day 11 at All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club. Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images
  • American Amanda Anisimova will face Pole Iga Swiatek in the 2025 Wimbledon final
  • Both players are searching for their first Wimbledon titles, though Swiatek has five grand slams on her resume to Anisimova’s zero
  • See the opening Anisimova vs Swiatek odds for women’s Wimbledon final

For the first time in her already-decade-long career, 23-year-old Amanda Anisimova will contest a grand slam final. The New Jersey native advanced to the 2025 Wimbledon finale with a 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 upset victory over world #1 Aryna Sabalenka. Anisimova still has a massive hill to climb, though, slated to face five-time grand-slam champion and former world #1 Iga Swiatek in the championship match on Saturday, July 12th.

Swiatek, who has been near-robotic in her demolition of her first six Wimbledon opponents, has opened as the betting favorite in the 2025 Wimbledon ladies final.

Anisimova vs Swiatek Odds

Bet TypeAnisimovaSwiatek
Moneyline+175-250
First Set ML+140-185
Total SetsO 2.5 (+110)U 2.5 (-165)

The opening Swiatek vs Anisimova odds price the Pole at -250 on the moneyline, with the American coming back as a +175 underdog. The odds give Swiatek a 71.43% implied probability, compared to Anisimova at 36.36%. Taking out the juice, the true odds are 66.27%/33.73% in Swiatek’s favor. The first-set odds are narrower, with Swiatek a -185 favorite and Anisimova a +140 underdog. Swiatek is 5-1 in first sets to date, while Anisimova is a perfect 6-for-6.

Odds as of July 10 at Draftkings. Sign-up and claim the DraftKings promo code for a bonus to use on the 2025 Wimbledon final.

Swiatek started the tournament as the +350 co-favorite, alongside Sabalenka. Anisimova was roughly +3000 in the Wimbledon title odds entering the first round.

The ladies final will take place on Center Court with a provisional start time of 4:00 pm local time (12:00 pm ET). The exact start time will depend on the earlier matches on Center Court, though, including the men’s doubles final between Rinky Hijikata/David Pel and Britons Julian Cash/Lloyd Glasspool.

Swiatek vs Anisimova H2H History

Shockingly, this will be the first meeting, on any surface at any tournament, between Iga Swiatek and Amanda Anisimova, even though both have been top-100, full-time WTA Tour pros since 2018.

Swiatek’s run to the Wimbledon final has been reminiscent of some of her nonpareil performances on clay; she has dropped just one set in her first six matches. She has won eight of her 13 sets by at least three games. That includes a trio of 6-1 sets, and a 6-0 bagel in the second set against Belinda Bencic in today’s semifinal.

One could argue that Swiatek’s path to the final has been relatively easy. Her highest-ranked opponent was #19 Ludmilla Samsonova in the quarters. Clara Tauson, more of a clay-courter, was her only other top-30 opponent.

Anisimova had to navigate a trickier path. In addition to #1 Sabalenka, Anisimova dealt with #27 Linda Noskova and #33 Yulia Putintseva. She’s dropped just three sets in six matches and started the tournament with a double-bagel of Putintseva.

YouTube video

Anisimova’s previous best performance at Wimbledon was a quarterfinal appearance in 2022. Swiatek has also far-exceeded her prior best showing at the All England Club. She has never been past the quarterfinals before this year. Her 11-5 win/loss record at Wimbledon (69% win rate) is by the lowest of any grand slam.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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