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Caroline Garcia vs Petra Kvitova Odds & Prediction – Western & Southern Open Final

Stephanie Myles

by Stephanie Myles in Tennis

Aug 20, 2022 · 11:13 PM PDT

Petra Kvitova
Petra Kvitova, of Czech Republic, reacts to advancing to the final after defeating Madison Keys, of the United States, during a semifinal match of the Western & Southern open tennis tournament, Saturday, Aug. 20, 2022, at the Lindner Family Tennis Center in Mason, Ohio. Western Southern Open Tennis Tournament Aug 20 0047
  • At a Western & Southern Open with a stellar field, a qualifier and an unseeded player have made the final
  • Those two are not just random, though, Caroline Garcia is a former No. 4, Petra Kvitova a former No. 2.
  • The odds are close; scroll down as we break down the matchup and make a pick.

All of the favorites to win the Western & Southern Open fell away.

And the two left standing at the end are unseeded Petra Kvitova and qualifier Caroline Garcia.

Garcia vs Kvitova Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
[Q] Caroline Garcia (FRA) +0.5 (-108) +102 O 22.5 (-125)
Petra Kvitova (CZE) -0.5 (-122) -126 U 22.5 (-130)

Odds as of Aug. 20 at FanDuel. Use this FanDuel Sportsbook promo code to bet on the Western & Southern Open.

 

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They are not just your random qualifier or unseeded player; the 28-year-old Garcia and 32-year-old Petra Kvitova have been top-five players.

Kvitova has been as high as No. 2. And she is a two-time Grand Slam champion.

So this week has been a renaissance for the Czech. And it’s been the continuation of a major hot streak for Garcia, a player who has all the talent in the world but whose head has too often been her Achilles’ heel.

Garcia Outmuscles Sabalenka

It was a hard match to predict: between a player you might expect could falter so close to a big title in Garcia (and has played a lot of tennis out of the qualifying), and a powerful player in Sabalenka who just can’t get out of her serving slump.

In the end, it was a match interrupted twice by rain when Garcia had the momentum.

And even that didn’t stop her. She came back after the second rain delay a break up at 3-1, and she took it over the finish line as her opponent faltered.

Sabalenka had seven double faults. But mostly, Garcia did a better job converting on break points.

Garcia vs Kvitova Head-to-Head

Caroline Garcia
VS
Petra Kvitova
28 (Oct. 16, 1993) Age 32 (March 8, 1990)
St-Germain-en-Laye, FRA Birthplace Bilovec, Czech Republic
5-10 Height 6-0
9 Career WTA Singles Titles 29
No. 4 (Sept. 10, 2018) Career-Best Ranking No. 2 (Oct. 31, 2011)
No. 35 Current Ranking No. 28
12,276,836 Career Prize Money $34,206,006
32-15 2022 Won/Loss Record 22-15
1 Head-to-Head Wins 2

Kvitova Ends Keys’s Fabulous Week

Kvitova was almost out of the tournament in the first round to Jil Teichmann (and it wouldn’t have been a surprise to many, as we even picked Teichmann to win it).

But she pulled through. Her toughest opposition was Ons Jabeur, whom she defeated in a roller-coaster match (6-1, 4-6, 6-0). Keys (Swiatek, Rybakina) and Ajla Tomljanovic (Badosa, Kudermetova) took care of some of the other dangerous opponents in their half. And Simona Halep withdrew after her first-round win.

Kvitova had 10 double faults, which was far too many.

But overall her serve was a key; she won nearly 82 per cent of her first-serve points.

And on second serves when she didn’t double fault, she won the point nearly 60 per cent of the time.

The biggest difference was that she was better on saving break points (6-of-8) than Keys (5-of-12).

Garcia vs Kvitova Match History

Year Tournament Surface Score Winner
2019 Madrid (R16) Outdoor Clay 6-3, 6-3 Kvitova
2019 Miami (R16) Outdoor Hard 6-3, 6-3 Kvitova
2017 Beijing (SF) Outdoor Hard 6-3, 7-5 Garcia
2017 US Open (R32) Outdoor Hard 6-0, 6-4 Kvitova
2016 Fed Cup Final (R4) Indoor Hard 7-6 (6), 6-3 Garcia
2015 Cincinnati (R32) Outdoor Hard 7-5, 4-6, 6-2 Garcia
2015 Fed Cup (R2) Indoor Hard 6-4, 6-4 Kvitova
2014 Wuhan (QF) Outdoor Hard 6-3, 6-4 Kvitova

Both players won Fed Cup matches when they were on home turf.

Beyond that, they haven’t met in more than three years. Kvitova leads 3-2 on outdoor hard courts, although Garcia won their only meeting in Cincinnati, all the way back in 2015.

Garcia is already assured of a top-24 seed at the US Open. Kvitova (currently No. 28) is already back in the top 20 and, if she wins, would get to No. 15 and have a top 16 seed. So there’s plenty at stake.

Garcia vs Kvitova Pick

For what it’s worth, Kvitova has won three of their last four meetings, although the data is fairly old.

Garcia has faced plenty of hard-hitting this week. But she hasn’t played a lefty since July (Misaki Doi, on clay). And she  has only faced one top-flight lefty (Angelique Kerber, 2021 Dubai) in the last three years.

She might have issues making an adjustment. And if Kvitova can serve as well as she did Saturday – without all the double faults – she should take this home.

Best Bet: Kvitova in Three Sets (+290)

 

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