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Daniel Altmaier vs Borna Coric Odds & Prediction – Madrid Open Quarterfinals

Stephanie Myles

by Stephanie Myles in Tennis

Updated May 2, 2023 · 1:40 PM PDT

Borna Coric celebrates after winning the Western & Southern Open
Borna Coric celebrates after winning the Western & Southern Open men’s final match at the Lindner Family Tennis Center in Mason, Ohio, on Sunday, Aug. 21, 2022. Borna Coric defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas 7-6, 6-2. Western Southern Open Final 711
  • No. 17 seed Borna Coric meets lucky loser Daniel Altmaier in the Madrid Open quarterfinals Wednesday
  • Coric is a favorite in the Altmaier vs Coric odds, but not an overwhelming one considering his far super resumé
  • Will Altmaier embrace the biggest opportunity of his career? We break it down and make an Altmaier vs Coric prediction here

For Germany’s Daniel Altmaier, the luckiest of lucky losers, Wednesday’s Madrid Open quarterfinal against No. 17 seed Borna Coric (4 pm EDT) is the opportunity of a lifetime.

Altmaier vs Coric Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
[LL] Daniel Altmaier (GER) +2.5 (-122) +138 O 22.5 (-126)
[17] Borna Coric (CRO) -2.5 (-106) -162 U 22.5 (-108)

At -162 odds, No. 17 seed Coric is a slight favorite in the Altmaier vs Coric quarterfinal at the Madrid Open Wednesday. Altmaier is the underdog at +138 odds. Altmaier vs Coric odds as of May 2 at FanDuel Sportsbook.

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Coric Wins a Marathon

Coric, whose career high of No. 12 came five years ago at age 21, has battled back from a long injury layoff to finally get back into the 20.

He’s capable of a big week at any time if he gets on a roll. He’s also a rare male player whose forehand is better than his backhand (Alexander Zverev is another).

The Croat’s third-round , straight-sets win over No. 12 seed Hubert Hurkacz sent a message, as Hurkacz is the three-set comeback guy.

On Tuesday, he won a marathon against No. 29 seed and home-country favorite Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, 6-7 (5), 6-3, 7-6 (5) in three hours, 28 minutes.

And it all hinged on an extremely lucky let cord, which dribbled over to the other side of the court for him at 5-5 in that deciding tiebreak, much to Davidovich Fokina’s dismay.

Lucky Loser Altmaier Gets Lucky

Altmaier, who was the No. 4 seed in qualifying, lost in the final round.

Then, he got lucky. The 24-year-old was third to be selected in the lucky loser lottery, after the late withdrawal of No. 18 seed Pablo Carreño Busta. He inherited the Spaniard’s first-round bye, too.

Even better: his section included another lucky loser, a qualifier, an injury retirement and the early-round upset of No. 3 seed Casper Ruud.

Coric will be his first seeded opponent this week.

Altmaier vs Coric Head-to-Head

Daniel Altmaier
VS
Borna Coric
24 (Sept. 12, 1998) Age 26 (Nov. 14, 1996)
Kempen, Germany Birthplace Zagreb, Croatia
6-2 Height 6-2
0 Career ATP Singles Titles 3
No. 53 (May 23, 2022) Career-Best Ranking No. 12 (Nov. 5, 2018)
No. 92 Current Ranking No. 20
$1,387,474 Career Prize Money $10,525,642
5-8 2022 Won/Loss Record 11-8
0 Head-to-Head Wins 0

Madrid Lucky Loser Passes the Torch

This will be the ninth time Coric has reached at least the quarterfinals at a Masters 1000 tournament – his first appearance since winning the Cincinnati Masters last summer. Since then, he’d been ousted in his opening-round match four consecutive times.

Altmaier was 1-8 at the ATP level coming into Madrid.

Altmaier vs Coric History

The two are meeting for the first time, so the edge on familiarity will go to Altmaier, who likely has seen far more of Coric than Coric has of him.

He’ll know to avoid the backhand when he can. And he’ll also know that Coric won’t serve him off the court.

The possibility that this could be quite competitive is likely why the Altmaier vs Coric odds are relatively close, despite the disparity in ranking.

Altmaier’s career high of No. 53 almost a year ago, after he won a Challenger on clay in Germany just before the French Open. But he then lost in the first round of 10 of his next 12 tournaments.

He came into Madrid having just won a Challenger on the American clay in Sarasota.

Even though he’s been been a pro since he was barely 16 (just like Coric), he’s been waiting for this breakthrough; his ATP won-loss record was 18-44 coming in.

After this week, he’ll be at No. 61 regardless. And if he can defeat Coric, he would vault up near the top 40; that would be a game changer.

How he handles the pressure will say a lot about his prospects going forward.

Altmaier vs Coric Prediction

Two great backands will be on display Wednesday – Coric’s solid two-hander, and Altmaier’s flashy one-hander. The fact that he has the ability to go down the line with it, to Coric’s weaker forehand, is a tool that might give him a chance.

He also didn’t have to break much of a sweat in his round of 16 win Tuesday, while Coric barely got through and played 3 1/2 hours.

Altmaier vs Coric Prediction: Both Players to Win a Set (+114)

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