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Daniil Medvedev vs Hubert Hurkacz Odds & Prediction – ATP Finals Round Robin

Hayley Graham

by Hayley Graham in Tennis

Updated Nov 16, 2021 · 1:01 PM PST

Daniil Medvedev hitting a return shot during a tennis match.
Russia's Daniil Medvedev returns the ball to Serbia's Novak Djokovic during the men's final match of the Paris Masters tennis tournament at the Accor Arena in Paris, Sunday, Nov.7, 2021. (AP Photo/Thibault Camus)
  • Daniil Medvedev and Hubert Hurkacz will face each other on Sunday, November 14th
  • This will be the third career meeting between the two, and the third this year
  • Continue below for odds, preview, and our best bet analysis and prediction

Second seed Daniil Medvedev and seventh seed Hubert Hurkacz will go head-to-head at the Nitto ATP Finals during the Red group round robin, on Sunday, November 14th. The two are scheduled to take the court at 8 am ET.

Medvedev enters the match as the overwhelming favorite to win, listed at -650 odds, while his opponent, Hurkacz is listed at +400. This is both players’ opening match at the tournament.

Take a look below for the match odds, and how both players’ season played out, that led them to this point, as well as our pick.

Daniil Medvedev vs Hubert Hurkacz ATP Finals Round Robin Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
[2] Daniil Medvedev -4.5 (+125) -650 Ov 21.5 (-145)
[7] Hubert Hurkacz +4.5 (-195) +400 Un 21.5 (+100)

Odds as of November 13th at DraftKings.

Defending ATP Finals Champion

The 25-year old heads into this year’s ATP Finals as the defending champion, as he looks to win the title again this year.

The Russian has once again had a phenomenal year, having collected four titles, including a Grand Slam, when he won the US Open, and has had deep runs at a few others over the year.

This year he’ll open his tournament up against familiar 2021 opponent, Hurkacz.

Hurkacz’s First ATP Finals

In Paris, 24-year old Hurkacz secured his spot in his first ATP Finals, becoming the first Polish player to do so since 1976.

He’s had an impressive year, and cracked the Top 10 rankings. Of his four career titles, three of them came in 2021, which includes the Delray Beach Open, Miami Open, and most recently the Moselle Open at the end of September.

The Polish player is coming off a semifinal appearance in Paris just last week, where despite losing to eventual champion, Novak Djokovic, he did take a set off the World No. 1.

Medvedev will be a tough opponent for the young star. Not only is he always tough competition, no matter the circumstance, he is defending champion here. But Hurkacz has been able to find success against the Russian before, which means he could do it again.

Head-to-Head

These two are no stranger to each other this year. Prior to 2021, they had never faced one another on tour, and now at the end of the year, this will be their third meeting. Their current head-to-head record is split at 1-1.

The two played each other for the first time during Wimbledon’s Round of 16. Hurkacz went on to win that match that ended up going five sets. The two went on to face each other once again in Toronto during the quarterfinals, where Medvedev won in three sets.

Daniil Medvedev vs Hubert Hurkacz Head-to-Head Stats

Daniil Medvedev
VS
Hubert Hurkacz
2 ATP Standing 9
25 Age 24
13 Career Titles 4
213/98 Career W/L 85/75
4 YTD Titles 3
54/12 YTD W/L 36/20
1 Head-to-Head Wins 1

Best Bet

Medvedev’s experience jumps out here that will most likely give him the edge needed to take this match.

But Hurkacz has given the Russian trouble in the past, winning their first meeting earlier this year, and taking a set off him in the second. Hurkacz has a very strong serve, that can catch opponents off guard, and not allow them gain much momentum.

Hurkacz is known to add some variety to his game as well, and utilize the court. But ultimately, Medvedev has the experience and success at this very tournament, that should allow him to win this opening match. But due to neither of their previous matches being a win in straight sets, look for this to go the distance.

Best Bet: Over 2.5 sets (+205)

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