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Elise Mertens vs Daria Kasatkina Odds & Prediction – Silicon Valley Classic Semifinals

Hayley Graham

by Hayley Graham in Tennis

Updated Aug 7, 2021 · 10:28 AM PDT

Elise Mertens stretching to return a forehand during a tennis match in San Jose.
Elise Mertens, of Belgium, returns a forehand to Yulia Putintseva, of Kazakhstan, during the quarterfinals at the Mubadala Silicon Valley Classic tennis tournament in San Jose, Calif., Friday, Aug. 6, 2021. (AP Photo/Tony Avelar)
  • Elise Mertens and Daria Kasatkina will compete in the semifinals of the Silicon Valley Classic today, Saturday, August 7th
  • This will be the fourth meeting between the two players
  • Take a look below for odds and our best bet analysis for this semifinal match

Top seed Elise Mertens and fourth seed Daria Kasatkina will take the court tomorrow around 6pm ET to face off for a spot in the final of the Silicon Valley Classic.

Both players are coming off quarterfinal battles, as Mertens took on eight seed Yulia Putintseva, and Kasatkina defeated Magda Linette in three sets.

It’s no surprise that Mertens is entering this match as the favorite, but continue below for odds and a breakdown of what we might be able to expect in this semifinal match.

Elise Mertens vs Daria Kasatkina Silicon Valley Classic Semifinals Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
[1] Elise Mertens -2.5 (-130) -175 Ov 20.5 (-130)
[4] Daria Kasatkina +2.5 (-105) +140 Un 20.5 (-105)

Odds as of August 6th at DraftKings

Top Seed

The 25-year old Belgian has been able to hold her seeding over the course of her three matches that she’s played here in San Jose.

In her semifinal match, she managed to defeat Putintseva 6-3, 7(10)-6(8) in just under two hours. And with that win, she took a lead in their head-to-head meetings, now leading 2-1. Mertens managed to win 74 percent of her first-serve points, which may have been the difference in the game.

The Belgian got off to a strong start leading 4-0 in the first set, but allowed for her opponent to make a comeback when she was serving at 5-4 in the second set. The 6-3 first set was as straightforward as it sounds, but the second set caused some worry.

But Mertens managed to hold off her opponent and battle through the tiebreak to earn her spot in the semifinal of the tournament. This will now be her second appearance at the Silicon Valley Classic semifinal in three appearances at the tournament.

Fourth Seed

Russia’s Kasatkina was able to even the score on her head-to-head against Linette when she defeated the world ranked No. 45 6-4, 3-6, 6-4, in just over two hours.

The 24-year old came out strong in the first set that allowed her to take it to go up, but the second set was a completely different story. With many chances, she just couldn’t managed to turn much into a point. Linette continued the momentum when she went up 3-1 in the decider. It was then that Kasatkina was able to comeback to level it out at 3-3 and never looked back.

She’ll now look ahead to Mertens, who she does hold a winning record against. But Mertens will take advantage of any mistakes, so if Kasatkina would like to book her ticket to the final, she’ll have to tighten up her unforced errors.

Head-to-Head

We have three previous matches to go off of between these two players. Their most recent match comes back in 2019 at the Stuttgart Open where Kasatkina won the round of 32 match in straight sets. Kasatkina currently holds the head-to-head edge with a 2-1 record.

Elise Mertens vs Daria Kasatkina Head-to-Head Stats

Mertens
VS
Kasatkina
17 WTA Standing 31
25 Age 24
6 Career Titles 4
347/184 Career W/L 253/140
1 YTD Titles 2
24/12 YTD W/L 27/12
1 Head-to-Heads Wins 2

Best Bet

This has all the makings for an exciting semifinal match between these two players.

Despite a little hiccup in her first round match where she dropped her second set against Kristina Mladenovic, she’s been playing a solid tournament, and been able to hold up her seeding. Heading into this match against Kasatkina, she’ll have to clean up her double faults and unforced errors, if she wants to make it easier on herself. In her two previous matches, she’s recorded a total of 16 double faults.

Kasatkina has seen both of her previous matches go the distance. She had to come back from behind in her first match of the tournament against Caroline Garcia, after losing the first set. Overall, she’s played a pretty decent tournament, she’s just had moments where her play has fallen off. If she’s able to sort that out in some way, she could really give Mertens a run.

Right now, as the top seed and favorite, Mertens has the slight edge, but I wouldn’t be surprised at all if Kasatkina were to take a set off her.

Best Bet: Mertens (-175)

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