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Iga Swiatek vs Beatriz Haddad Maia Odds & Prediction – French Open Semifinals Women’s Singles

Stephanie Myles

by Stephanie Myles in Tennis

Updated Jun 7, 2023 · 11:34 AM PDT

Beatriz Haddad Maia celebrates winning her match
Jun 7 2023; Paris,France; Beatriz Haddad Maia (BRA) celebrates winning her match against Ons Jabeur (TUN) on day 11 at Stade Roland-Garros. Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
  • A Grand Slam semifinal debut is in store for world No. 14 Beatriz Haddad Maia
  • She faces world No. 1 and two-time defending French Open champion Iga Swiatek
  • As you’d expect, Swiatek is a big favorite; we break it down and make a prediction

Until someone actually beats world No. 1 Iga Swiatek at the French Open – she hasn’t lost since 2021 – the odds for each of her matches will continue to be overwhelmingly in her favour, as they are for Thursday’s semifinal against Beatriz Haddad Maia.

Swiatek vs Haddad Maia Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
[1] Iga Swiatek (POL) -6.5 (-128) -1600 O 17.5 (-126)
[14] Beatriz Haddad Maia (BRA) +6.5 (-104) +860 U 17.5 (-106)

At -1600 odds, Swiatek is the overwhelming favorite over Haddad Maia. Haddad Maia is the underdog at +860 odds with the over/under games sitting at 17.5.

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Odds as of June 7 at FanDuel. Get a FanDuel promo code to bet on Swiatek vs Haddad Maia at the French Open.

Swiatek Eases Past Gauff, Who Can’t Solve Her

You would have hoped by now that Coco Gauff, who reached last year’s French Open final and lost to Swiatek for the sixth time in straight sets, would have figured something out to at least make it competitive this time.

Gauff is at No. 6 in the rankings. She’s a tremendous player. And yet she continues to have such exploitable weaknesses in her game – notably her forehand – that her seventh meeting against Swiatek in the French Open quarterfinals Wednesday was the same old story.

A straight-sets, easy win for the world No. 1. Gauff got six games, just as she did when they met in the semifinals in Dubai in February. Swiatek took full advantage of Gauff’s sub-50 percent success rate on first serve, and broke her four times in five opportunities.

Huge Moment for Haddad Maia

This quarterfinal felt as though it would be Ons Jabeur’s moment, after she did an efficient job getting through a favorable draw to reach her first French Open quarterfinal in the women’s division.

Jabeur is a former French Open junior champion, and runner-up.

YouTube video

But for various reasons she has stalled in these big moments so far – she was just two points away from a straight-sets win Wednesday.

And so it was that Haddad Maia, who came in with a whole lot more tennis in her legs, managed to come back from the brink of defeat.

 Iga Swiatek vs Haddad Maia Head-to-Head

Iga Swiatek
VS
Beatriz Haddad Maia
22 (May 31, 2001) Age 27 (May 30, 1996)
Warsaw, Poland Birthplace Sao Paolo, Brazil
5-9 Height 6-0
13 Career WTA Singles Titles 2
No. 1 (April 4, 2022) Career-Best Ranking No. 12 (Feb. 13, 2023)
No. 1 Current Ranking No. 14
$16,854,913 Career Earnings $3,314,951
33-6 2022 Won/Loss Record 21-10
0 Head-to-Head Wins 1

In the end, the Brazilian broke Jabeur four times in the third set to seal it, and the first semifinal berth at the French Open for a Brazilian in more than 40 years.

Does Haddad Maia have a Shot?

Swiatek and Haddad Maia ‘s only meeting was a marathon win for the Brazilian at the WTA 1000 Canadian Open in Toronto last summer.

Haddad Maia went all the way to the final, losing in three sets to Simona Halep.

YouTube video

But the conditions were particular. Swiatek had gone from winning the French Open to a quick trip to the grass, where she played only Wimbledon and lost in the third round. Then she went to headline a clay-court tournament at home in Poland, with all the extra pressure and obligations. And then quickly to the hard courts in North America.

Swiatek vs Haddad Maia Match History

Year Tournament Surface Score Winner
2022 Canadian Open (R16) Outdoor Hard 6-4, 3-6, 7-5 Haddad Maia

It was a great opportunity to get a win against her, and Haddad Maia did it. But the Swiatek she’ll face Thursday will be primed and ready.

Swiatek vs Haddad Maia Prediction

The thing Swiatek does best is exploit whatever her opponent’s weakness is, and go to town.

In Haddad Maia’s case, it’s a relative lack of mobility. And she’ll be pretty spent physically, especially not having a day off before the semis.

Also – Swiatek is great against lefties; that loss in Toronto was one of only two, in 19 matches, against southpaws for Swiatek since March, 2019.

So the Brazilian is likely in for … a day.

Unless Swiatek somehow comes out and has a truly off day, the biggest question will be how many games Haddad Maia can extract from her. Over 16.5 games is at -215 odds.

Swiatek vs Haddad Maia Prediction: Either player to win the first set 6-2, or 6-3 (-115)

 

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