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Karen Khachanov vs Denis Shapovalov Odds & Prediction – Wimbledon Men’s Singles Quarterfinals

Hayley Graham

by Hayley Graham in Tennis

Updated Jul 5, 2021 · 1:38 PM PDT

Denis Shapovalov celebrating with a first pump and smile after winning a match at Wimbledon.
Canada's Denis Shapovalov celebrates after defeating Spain's Roberto Bautista Agut during the men's singles fourth round match on day seven of the Wimbledon Tennis Championships in London, Monday, July 5, 2021. (AP Photo/Alberto Pezzali)
  • Quarterfinals for men’s singles play at Wimbledon begin Wednesday, July 7th
  • Karen Khachanov and Denis Shapovalov will go head-to-head for the second time in their career
  • Continue below for the odds and a preview of this quarterfinal match

Karen Khachanov and Denis Shapovalov will take to the court for one of the men’s singles quarterfinal at Wimbledon. Khachanov is coming off a five set battle against Sebastian Korda, while Shapovalov is heading into the quarterfinals after a straightforward, straight set win against higher ranked and seeded Roberto Bautista Agut.

The Canadian enters the match the favorite, which isn’t surprising given his past week in London. But Khachanov has an equally aggressive serve that can cause trouble for any opponent he faces.

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Take a look at the match odds below, as well as a breakdown of how each player got to this point in the tournament.

Karen Khachanov vs Denis Shapovalov Wimbledon Quarterfinal Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
Karen Khachanov +4.5 (-106) +215 Ov 38.5 (-122)
Denis Shapovalov -4.5 (-120) -278 Un 38.5 (-104)

Odds as of July 5th at DraftKings

Khachanov’s First Wimbledon Quarterfinal

Khachanov earned his spot in his first Wimbledon quarterfinal on Monday as he defeated Sebastian Korda in a five-set thriller 3-6, 6-4, 6-3, 5-7, 10-8. The Russian had to fight back twice from a break down in the final set to secure the win.

In three hours and 51 minutes, Khachanov recorded 45 winners and 17 aces. In that deciding set there were 13 breaks, and the Russian actually failed to serve out two separate times, but managed to finally win on serve in the 18th game.

Heading into this quarterfinal match, Khachanov has only dropped four sets all tournament. Shapovalov will be his toughest opponent yet, and his first seeded opponent he’ll see.

Shapovalov Cruises Past Bautista Agut

22-year old Shapovalov earned his spot in Wimbledon’s quarterfinals, and second career Grand Slam quarterfinal, when he breezed past eighth seed Roberto Bautista Agut 6-1, 6-3, 7-5.

In the round of 16 match, the Canadian fired 15 aces on route to victory, and managed to break Bautista Agut seven of 13 times. It wasn’t until the third set that Shapovalov showed a bit of nerves. He completely controlled the first two, and had a slight hiccup in the third, before being able to close it out.

After a tricky first round match that he saw go the distance, Shapovalov has been lights out, and hasn’t dropped a set since. And once again, it should be no surprise, but his serve has been the star.

Head-to-Head

We have one previous match to go off of between these two. Their one and only match happened in 2019 during the semifinals of the Davis Cup. Shapovalov ended up winning in three sets to improve the head-to-head record to 1-0.

Khachanov vs Shapovalov Head-to-Head Stats

Khachanov
VS
Shapovalov
29 ATP Standing 12
25 Age 22
4 Career Titles 1
155/126 Career W/L 122/100
0 YTD Titles 0
16/14 YTD W/L 18/13
0 Head-to-Head Wins 1

Best Bet

These two rely heavily on their serves, as they should. Khachanov has recorded 53 aces over four matches and Shapovalov has recorded 43 over his three matches.

Halfway through the second week of a Grand Slam is where fatigue can be a factor for some athletes. Between the two, Khachanov has spent quite a bit more time on the court this tournament than Shapovalov.

There is a day of rest between both of their round of 16 matches that happened today, Monday, and the quarterfinal match on Wednesday. But even just comparing the two matches there. Khachanov’s five set battle kept him on the court for close to four hours, whereas Shapovalov’s match lasted just over two hours. The Canadian also managed an extra day of rest when his second round opponent withdrew from the tournament.

It looks like Shapovalov might have the slight edge here, but don’t be surprised if Khachanov takes a set.

Best Bet: Shapovalov 3-1 (+290)

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