Sinner vs Atmane Odds, Picks & Props to Target
By Chris Amberley in Tennis
Published:
- Jannik Sinner is a massive -2000 moneyline favorite over Terence Atmane in Saturday’s Cincinnati Open semifinal
- Sinner has won the past three hard court majors, and owns a 25-match win streak on the surface
- See the full Sinner vs Atmane odds below, plus my favorite picks and props to target
It’s a true case of David vs Goliath on Saturday in the Cincinnati Open semifinals. World No. 1 Janik Sinner will face French qualifier Terence Atmane, and will do so as one of the biggest moneyline favorites you’ll ever see this late in a tournament.
The action gets underway at 3pm ET from the P&G Center Court in Cincinnai, OH, with Tennis Channel providing the broadcast coverage.
Jannik Sinner vs Terence Atmane Odds
Sinner enters the semis as a massive -2000 favorite to advance. Atmane comes back as a +1000 underdog, with the total games set at just 19.5. The Frenchman has already stunned two top-10 opponents this week, but he’s about to experience the enormous gap in talent between Sinner and the rest of the men’s draw not named Carlos Alcaraz.
Bet $1 & Double Your Winnings On Your First 10 Bets!
Odds as of August 15th at Caesars. Check out SBD’s Caesars Sportsbook review to see the available sign-up bonuses.
Sinner vs Atmane Picks
- Sinner -4.5 (-165)
Before we rain too hard on Atmane’s parade, let’s give him credit for what he’s accomplished so far. The 23-year-old is fresh off ousting World No. 9 Holger Rune on Thursday in convincing fashion, after taking down World No. 4 Taylor Fritz in three sets the day before. This week marks the first time he’s ever made it past the third round at a tour-level event, while his latest two wins are his first and second ever versus top-10 opponents.
He’s already locked up $332,160 in prize money, which exceeds his total earnings this season prior to this tournament. Atmane has spent the bulk of the year playing Challenger Tour events, and had just five tour-level matches under his belt before the week started. He’s currently ranked 136th in the world, but will vault into the top-70 regardless of what happens against Sinner.
Now onto the bad news. Trying to beat Sinner has been a futile exercise for everyone not named Alcaraz over the last two years. That’s been especially true on hard courts, where the Italian has been eviscerating the opposition.
Jannik Sinner 2025 Results
The US Open odds favorite enters play riding a 25 match winning streak on hard court. He’s won each of the last three Majors on the surface, and is coming off his first career Wimbledon triumph.
Only Roger Federer, Novak Djokovic, Andy Murray and Rafael Nadal have won more consecutive hard court matches than Sinner, and he’s on the verge of history should he defend his title in Cincinnati. Another trophy here will mark his 18th hard court title and fifth at the ATP Masters level, which will best Nadal’s resume on the surface.
As for this week, Sinner has been surgical in his dismantling of the competition. He’s yet to drop a set, and lost only two games in the quarterfinals to Felix Auger-Aliassime. Sinner has given up only three sets total during his hard court winning streak, and short of a freak accident I see no scenario where Atmane keeps this match close.
I’ll take Sinner to cover the 4.5 games spread, something he’s accomplished three times already this week, and in eight of his last 10 best-of-three hard court matches.
Sinner vs Atmane Prop Pick
- Pick: Jannik Sinner Under 12.5 Total Games Won
As for my favorite Sinner vs Atmane prop, I’ll grab the Italian to win under 12.5 total games. He’s -380 to win this match in straight sets, so a bet on under 12.5 total games won is banking on him not needing a tiebreak in either set.
That shouldn’t be a problem, given how dominant he is on serve and on return. Sinner grades out as the men’s top returner, while ranking tied for second serve rating. He’s won over 91% of his service games so far this season, more than anyone else, and has broken his opponent at an ATP best 57.2% clip.
Bet $1 & Double Your Winnings On Your First 10 Bets!
Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
