Upcoming Match-ups

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Novak Djokovic Picks & Odds – Australian Open Final

Stephanie Myles

by Stephanie Myles in Tennis

Updated Jan 28, 2023 · 7:40 AM PST

Novak Djokovic of Serbia plays Stafanos Tsitsipas in the 2023 Australian Open final
Jan 27, 2023; Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Novak Djokovic of Serbia celebrates his victory over Tommy Paul of the United States on day twelve of the 2023 Australian Open tennis tournament at Melbourne Park. Mandatory Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
  • Novak Djokovic is a strong favorite to win his 10th Australian Open singles title Sunday
  • The winner of the men’s final – Djokovic or Stefanos Tsitsipas – will be the new No. 1
  • Can Tsitsipas win his first career Grand Slam title? We break it down

Novak Djokovic is looking for his 10th Australian Open title. Stefanos Tsitsipas is looking for his first Grand Slam title of any kind as they meet Sunday night in Melbourne.

Tsitsipas vs Djokovic Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
[3] Stefanos Tsitsipas (GRE) +5.5 (-110) +370 O 37.5 (-120)
[4] Novak Djokovic (SRB) -5.5 (-115) -475 U 37.5 (+100)

Odds as of Jan. 28 at DraftKings. Use this DraftKings promo code to bet on the Australian Open.

The winner of this match will be the new No. 1 in the ATP rankings on Monday.

Bet $5 & Get $200 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins!

Must be 21+. T&C Apply. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

BET $5
GET $200


For Djokovic, who first became No. 1 after Wimbledon in 2011, it’s nothing new. For Tsitsipas, it would be a major first.

What can stop the Djokovic Djuggernaut?

It might take an aggravation of the now-legendary Djokovic hamstring.

But if you almost have to “wish” an injury upon him, it says everything about his level.

Djokovic Imperious Through Six Wins

Djokovic has had a very good draw – two unseeded players, a qualifier, and the No. 22 and No. 27 seeds. The only top-shelf player he faced was No. 5 seed Andrey Rublev – and he summarily dismissed him.

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Novak Djokovic Head-to-Head

Stefanos Tsitsipas
Novak Djokovic
24 (Aug. 12, 1998) Age 35 (May 22, 1987)
Athens, Greece Birthplace Belgrade, Serbia
6-4 Height 6-2
9 Career ATP Singles Titles 92
No. 3 (Aug. 9, 2021) Career-Best Ranking No. 1 (July 4, 2011)
No. 4 Current Ranking No. 5
$23,655,204 Career Prize Money $164,786,653
61-24 2022 Won/Loss Record 42-7
2 Head-to-Head Wins 10

He was so comprehensive against unseeded Tommy Paul in the semifinals that the young American basically said that everything he had planned to do, Djokovic would not allow him to do.

The Serb was way up – 5-1 in the first set – before going through a shaky patch and allowing Paul to even the score at 5-5.

Djokovic dropped just three more games after that.

Is Tsitsipas Up to The Task?

Tsitsipas had one big challenge earlier in the event when Jannik Sinner took him to five sets after Tsitsipas won the first two.

YouTube video

Other than that match, which clocked in at four hours, he was efficient in his path to the final.

And he will need every bit of his energy, every bit of strength in his legs as Djokovic will focus on being the one dictating every point, to lessen his own need to move and push his hamstring to the limit.

Tsitsipas vs Djokovic Match History

Year Tournament Surface Score Winner
2022 ATP Tour Finals (RR) Indoor Hard 6-4, 7-6 (4) Djokovic
2022 Paris Masters (SF) Indoor Hard 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 (4) Djokovic
2022 Astana (F) Indoor Hard 6-3, 6-4 Djokovic
2022 Rome Masters (F) Outdoor Clay 6-0, 7-6 (5) Djokovic
2021 French Open (F) Outdoor Clay 6-7 (6), 2-6, 6-3, 6-2, 6-4 Djokovic
2021 Rome Masters (QF) Outdoor Clay 4-6, 7-5, 7-5 Djokovic
2020 French Open (SF) OutdoorClay 6-3, 6-2, 5-7, 4-6, 6-1 Djokovic
2020 Dubai (F) Outdoor Hard 6-3, 6-4 Djokovic
2019 Paris Masters (QF) Indoor Hard 6-1, 6-2 Djokovic
2019 Shanghai Masters (QF) Outdoor Hard 3-6, 7-5, 6-3 Tsitsipas
2019 Madrid Masters (F) Outdoor Clay 6-3, 6-4 Djokovic
2018 Masters Canada (R16) Outdoor Hard 6-3, 6-7 (5), 6-3 Tsitsipas

No Wins vs Djokovic since 2019

Tsitsipas will still have some scar tissue from his first – and so far, only – Grand Slam singles final, which came in 2021 at the French Open.

He faced Djokovic. He was up two sets to none, and lost in five.

YouTube video

Tsitsipas won two of his first three meetings with Djokovic – in Canada in 2018, and in Shanghai in 2019. But the Serb has won the last nine.

Most of them have been competitive. But close only counts in horseshoes and hand grenades and even if Tsitsipas has looked very good in Melbourne, it’s unlikely to be good enough.

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Novak Djokovic Prediction

Djokovic will expose Tsitsipas’s less-dangerous and more inconsistent backhand ,much in the way he did athat of Andrey Rublev.

But that doesn’t mean there aren’t plenty of intriguing props out there.

Over 10.5 games in the first set (7-5, or a tiebreak) comes in at +200.

Djokovic at over 4.5 double faults is at +100.

Total match time at over 175.5 minutes (just less than three hours) is at -155.

Djokovic to win and over 34.5 Games is at +120.

Tsitsipas vs Djokovic Pick:  Djokovic in Four Sets (+250)


If you are betting on the match, check out this Caesars Sportsbook promo code that offers a unique sign-up bonus. 

Author Image