Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Novak Djokovic Picks & Odds – Australian Open Final
- Novak Djokovic is a strong favorite to win his 10th Australian Open singles title Sunday
- The winner of the men’s final – Djokovic or Stefanos Tsitsipas – will be the new No. 1
- Can Tsitsipas win his first career Grand Slam title? We break it down
Novak Djokovic is looking for his 10th Australian Open title. Stefanos Tsitsipas is looking for his first Grand Slam title of any kind as they meet Sunday night in Melbourne.
Tsitsipas vs Djokovic Odds
| Player | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| [3] Stefanos Tsitsipas (GRE) | +5.5 (-110) | +370 | O 37.5 (-120) |
| [4] Novak Djokovic (SRB) | -5.5 (-115) | -475 | U 37.5 (+100) |
Odds as of Jan. 28 at DraftKings. Use this DraftKings promo code to bet on the Australian Open.
The winner of this match will be the new No. 1 in the ATP rankings on Monday.
For Djokovic, who first became No. 1 after Wimbledon in 2011, it’s nothing new. For Tsitsipas, it would be a major first.
What can stop the Djokovic Djuggernaut?
It might take an aggravation of the now-legendary Djokovic hamstring.
But if you almost have to “wish” an injury upon him, it says everything about his level.
Djokovic Imperious Through Six Wins
Djokovic has had a very good draw – two unseeded players, a qualifier, and the No. 22 and No. 27 seeds. The only top-shelf player he faced was No. 5 seed Andrey Rublev – and he summarily dismissed him.
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Novak Djokovic Head-to-Head
| 24 (Aug. 12, 1998) | Age | 35 (May 22, 1987) |
| Athens, Greece | Birthplace | Belgrade, Serbia |
| 6-4 | Height | 6-2 |
| 9 | Career ATP Singles Titles | 92 |
| No. 3 (Aug. 9, 2021) | Career-Best Ranking | No. 1 (July 4, 2011) |
| No. 4 | Current Ranking | No. 5 |
| $23,655,204 | Career Prize Money | $164,786,653 |
| 61-24 | 2022 Won/Loss Record | 42-7 |
| 2 | Head-to-Head Wins | 10 |
He was so comprehensive against unseeded Tommy Paul in the semifinals that the young American basically said that everything he had planned to do, Djokovic would not allow him to do.
The Serb was way up – 5-1 in the first set – before going through a shaky patch and allowing Paul to even the score at 5-5.
Djokovic dropped just three more games after that.
Is Tsitsipas Up to The Task?
Tsitsipas had one big challenge earlier in the event when Jannik Sinner took him to five sets after Tsitsipas won the first two.
Other than that match, which clocked in at four hours, he was efficient in his path to the final.
And he will need every bit of his energy, every bit of strength in his legs as Djokovic will focus on being the one dictating every point, to lessen his own need to move and push his hamstring to the limit.
Tsitsipas vs Djokovic Match History
| Year | Tournament | Surface | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | ATP Tour Finals (RR) | Indoor Hard | 6-4, 7-6 (4) | Djokovic |
| 2022 | Paris Masters (SF) | Indoor Hard | 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 (4) | Djokovic |
| 2022 | Astana (F) | Indoor Hard | 6-3, 6-4 | Djokovic |
| 2022 | Rome Masters (F) | Outdoor Clay | 6-0, 7-6 (5) | Djokovic |
| 2021 | French Open (F) | Outdoor Clay | 6-7 (6), 2-6, 6-3, 6-2, 6-4 | Djokovic |
| 2021 | Rome Masters (QF) | Outdoor Clay | 4-6, 7-5, 7-5 | Djokovic |
| 2020 | French Open (SF) | OutdoorClay | 6-3, 6-2, 5-7, 4-6, 6-1 | Djokovic |
| 2020 | Dubai (F) | Outdoor Hard | 6-3, 6-4 | Djokovic |
| 2019 | Paris Masters (QF) | Indoor Hard | 6-1, 6-2 | Djokovic |
| 2019 | Shanghai Masters (QF) | Outdoor Hard | 3-6, 7-5, 6-3 | Tsitsipas |
| 2019 | Madrid Masters (F) | Outdoor Clay | 6-3, 6-4 | Djokovic |
| 2018 | Masters Canada (R16) | Outdoor Hard | 6-3, 6-7 (5), 6-3 | Tsitsipas |
No Wins vs Djokovic since 2019
Tsitsipas will still have some scar tissue from his first – and so far, only – Grand Slam singles final, which came in 2021 at the French Open.
He faced Djokovic. He was up two sets to none, and lost in five.
Tsitsipas won two of his first three meetings with Djokovic – in Canada in 2018, and in Shanghai in 2019. But the Serb has won the last nine.
Most of them have been competitive. But close only counts in horseshoes and hand grenades and even if Tsitsipas has looked very good in Melbourne, it’s unlikely to be good enough.
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Novak Djokovic Prediction
Djokovic will expose Tsitsipas’s less-dangerous and more inconsistent backhand ,much in the way he did athat of Andrey Rublev.
But that doesn’t mean there aren’t plenty of intriguing props out there.
Over 10.5 games in the first set (7-5, or a tiebreak) comes in at +200.
Djokovic at over 4.5 double faults is at +100.
Total match time at over 175.5 minutes (just less than three hours) is at -155.
Djokovic to win and over 34.5 Games is at +120.
Tsitsipas vs Djokovic Pick: Djokovic in Four Sets (+250)
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Stephanie gets the straight dope from the tennis insiders. On court, she has represented her country internationally. A BA in journalism led to years on the MLB beat and a decade covering tennis globally. She's written for Postmedia, the Guardian, the New York Times and also publishes OpenCourt.ca.
