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Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Filip Krajinović Odds & Prediction – Hamburg European Open Quarterfinals

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in Tennis

Updated Jul 16, 2021 · 4:48 AM PDT

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Filip Krajinović
Stefanos Tsitsipas of Greece returns the ball to Frances Tiafoe of the US during the men's singles match on day one of the Wimbledon Tennis Championships in London, Monday June 28, 2021. (AP Photo/Alastair Grant)
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas is an overwhelming -750 favorite to topple Filip Krajinović in the quarterfinals of the ATP Hamburg European Open on Friday, July 16
  • The world’s #4 player is seeking to rebound following a stunning first-round exit at Wimbledon
  • Tsitsipas is the top seed in Hamburg

Rather than sit and stew over his Wimbledon disaster, Stefanos Tsitsipas opted to plant his feet firmly on the clay on Hamburg. The world’s #4 player is through to the quarterfinals at the ATP Hamburg European Open.

Tsitsipas, 22, will face Filip Krajinović in Friday’s quarterfinal match. He’s the overwhelming -750 odds-on chalk to advance to the final four of the German clay-court ATP Masters 500 event. Tsitsipas is the only one of the world’s top-12 players entered in the tournament.

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Filip Krajinović Odds

Player Moneyline Spread Total
Stefanos Tsitsipas -750 -1.5 (-270) O 19.5 (-125)
Filip Krajinović +475 +1.5 (+130) U 19.5 (-105)

Odds as of July 15 at DraftKings

Friday’s Tsitsipas-Krajinović match is slated to get underway at 6:00 am ET. The Tennis Channel is carrying all of the action.

Tsitsipas ATP’s Top Winner

Posting a 7-6(7-2), 6-3 straight-set win over unseeded German Dominik Koepfer in the round of 16, Tsitsipas became the first player on the ATP Tour this season to win 40 matches. He’s one of just five male players to collect 30 wins so far this year.

His victory in Hamburg is also enabling Tsitsipas to take another step away from his humbling straight-set loss to Frances Tiafoe in the opening round at Wimbledon.

Against world #59 Koepfer, Tsitsipas was a winner on 86 percent (30/35) of his first-service points. He hit 12 winners in the first set. It took him just one hour and 45 minutes to dispatch the hometown favorite.

The Greek star displayed both power and touch while handling Koepfer. With his forehand, Tsitsipas hit 19 winners against 11 unforced errors (19 to 11). He won 18 of 23 points at the net.

Krajinović Battles Through

No. 6 seed Krajinović was a 7-5, 4-6, 6-3 winner over Philipp Kohlschreiber in his round of 16 match on Thursday. A match that lasted two hours and 25 minutes couldn’t have been much more evenly matched statistically.

Krajinović held a 9-8 edge in aces. Both players managed to make 98% of their first serves count. Krajinović posted a 69-63 edge in first serve winning percentage. He also counted a 3-2 advantage in break points.

The 29-year-old Serb is through to his third quarterfinal of the season. He also got this far at Belgrade and Munich.

Krajinović previously reached the quarterfinals on the clay in Hamburg in 2019. He’s seeking to advance to the semifinals of an ATP Tour even for the first time since February of 2020 in Rotterdam.

Tsitsipas Prefers His Feet On Clay

Tsitsipas acknowledges a preference for clay courts over grass surfaces and the numbers bear out his thesis. He’s 0-1 on grass this season and 8-8 lifetime. By contrast, he’s showing a sterling 22-4 (.846) mark on clay this season and .747 (59-20) all-time.

Already this year, the clay-court resume of Tsitsipas shows he’s enjoyed a strong season on clay. He’s been a winner in two tournaments, at Monte Carlo over Andrey Rublev and in Lyon against Cameron Norrie.

He lost to world #1 Novak Djokovic at Roland Garros in the French Open final. Should Tsitsipas go on to win in Hamburg, he’d surpass clay court legend Rafael Nadal and move into #3 in the ATP world rankings. The Greek player was a Hamburg finalist a year ago.

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Filip Krajinović Stats

Stefanos Tsitsipas
VS
Filip Krajinović
4 WTA Ranking 44
103 WTA Titles 0
157 WTA Final Appearances 3
40-10 W-L (2021) 10-10
88% Service Games Won 80%
27% Return Games Won 22%
67% Break Points Saved 66%
270 Aces 106

Krajinović and Tsitsipas have tangled twice previously. While both matches went to the Greek star, they didn’t arrive easily. Meeting in the round of 32 at Roland Garros in 2019, Tsitsipas scrambled for a 7-5, 6-3, 6-7(5-7), 7-6(7-6) triumph. Also in 2019 on a hard court in the quarterfinals at Basel, Tsitsipas was a 3-6, 6-4, 6-4 victor.

His combination of power and athleticism make Tsitsipas a difficult opponent on a clay surface. Krajinović is a strong baseline player but tends to play more of a defensive style. Tsitsipas will get the job done in this match but it won’t be a cakewalk.

Pick: Stefanos Tsitsipas (-750); Tsitsipas 2-1 (+270)

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