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Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev Odds & Prediction – Indian Wells Quarterfinals

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in Tennis

Oct 14, 2021 · 7:15 AM PDT

Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev
Taylor Fritz celebrates after defeating Jannik Sinner, of Italy, at the BNP Paribas Open tennis tournament Wednesday, Oct. 13, 2021, in Indian Wells, Calif. (AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)
  • Alexander Zverev is the -610 favorite over Taylor Fritz in their quarterfinal match at the ATP BNP Parabis Open on Friday, October 15
  • Third-seeded Zverev has already beaten #14 Gael Monfils and former world #1 Andy Murray
  • Fritz, the #31 seed, hasn’t dropped a set in the tournament

Is Taylor Fritz about to make a breakthrough? Is Alexander Zverev finally living up to his potential?

Both players have done nothing but provide answers since arriving at the BNP Parabis Open, the latest stop on the ATP Tour. The #3 seed, Zverev has beaten both Gael Monfils and former world #1 Andy Murray for the first time in his career. Fritz, the #31 seed, hasn’t dropped a set the entire tournament.

Zverev moved into the quarterfinals by ousting Monfils in the round of 16. Fritz advanced via a win over Jannik Sinner.

Oddsmakers are opting for the more proven commodity as these two players meet in the quarterfinals. Zverev is an overwhelming -610 favorite.

Fritz vs Zverev BNP Paribas Open Quarterfinal Odds

Player Moneyline Spread Total
Taylor Fritz +450 +3.5 (+165) O 20.5 (-130)
Alexander Zverev -610 -3.5 (-240) U 20.5 (-110)

Odds as of October 14 at DraftKings

Friday’s match at Indian Wells is slated for a 2:00 pm ET start. The Tennis Channel is carrying the broadcast.

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Fritz the Italian Conqueror

For the second straight match, American Fritz was able to overcome a world-class opponent who hails from Italy. He’d beaten 2021 Wimbledon finalist and #5 seed Matteo Berrettini 6-4, 6-2 in the round of 32.

Against #10 seed Sinner, the 31st-seeded Fritz recorded a 6-4, 6-3 verdict.

Surviving a pair of break points in the second set, Fritz served out to win the match. He punctuated the victory by hammering a backhand winner up the line for the final point.

Fritz hasn’t lost a set during the tournament. None of the six sets he’s played so far have gone deeper than 6-4. The 2019 Eastbourne title winner will be seeking to reach his fifth tour-level semifinal of the season.

Zverev On a Mission

Always considered someone with the talent to challenge to be the #1 player in the world, lately, world #4 Zverev is living up to that billing. He won the men’s singles gold medal at the Tokyo Olympics. Following up on that victory, he also took the title at Cincinnati.

Against Monfils, Zverev only dropped four games the entire match in winning 6-1, 6-3. The first set of the match lasted just 25 minutes. It took a little over an hour to complete the match.

Zverev won 76 of his first service points and 67% of the second service points. He won four of eight break points.

The German player dominated at the net, winning 19 of 25 points. Zverev hit 19 winners, compared to just 10 for Monfils. The French player committed 13 unforced errors. Zverev made only 11 such miscues.

In the round of 32, Zverev also beat Murray in straight sets. He won 6-4, 7-6(7-4).

Zverev Prop Offering

Bettors can get a little action on Zverev through a couple of tournament prop wagers on offer as well.

Those who believe in the German player can back him in a “to reach” round prop. He’s at -145 odds to reach the final stage at Indian Wells.

On the other hand, bettors can get a betting line of +200 that Zverev is done in the semifinals. He’s +550 to lose in the final.

Alexander the Great

Zverev is proving to be a dominant performer of late on hard court surfaces He’s won 20 of his past 21 matches on hard courts. Counted in that number are his wins at the Tokyo Olympics and Cincinnati Masters.

He’s seeking to add his third Masters 1000 title of 2021.

Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev Stats

Taylor Fritz
VS
Alexander Zverev
39 ATP Ranking 4
1 ATP Titles 17
4 ATP Final Appearances 26
25-18 W-L (2021) 47-12
82% Service Games Won 82%
19% Return Games Won 25%
63% Break Points Saved 59%
410 Aces 555

World #39 Fritz has reached the quarterfinals of an ATP Masters 1000 event for the first time in his career. Zverev has won three of four previous meetings. However, the two players have split two previous hard court clashes.

Zverev is simply playing too well right now to bet against him.

Pick: Alexander Zverev (-610); Zverev 2-1 (+333)

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