Wimbledon Picks, Predictions & Best Bets for Sunday, July 9
- Can world No. 1 continue her roll and win her first career Wimbledon? Belinda Bencic will try to stop her
- Canadian Denis Shapovalov has a golden opportunity to make the quarterfinals. Will he do it?
- Scroll down as we pick three matches scheduled for Sunday and make our Wimbledon predictions
It’s all wide open for Canadian Denis Shapovalov, as he tries to get to the final eight at Wimbledon for the second time.
Wimbledon Picks Today
| Match | Odds |
|---|---|
| [1] Iga Swiatek (POL) vs [14] Belinda Bencic (SUI) | -650 / +475 |
| Roman Safiullin (RUS) vs [26] Denis Shapovalov (CAN) | +130 / -155 |
| [19] Victoria Azarenka (BLR) vs [WC] Elina Svitolina (BLR) | -135 / +115 |
In our Wimbledon predictions, we’re targeting the matches above where Iga Swiatek (-650), Denis Shapovalov (-155) and Victoria Azarenka (-135) are favorites to win Sunday and reach the quarterfinals.
Odds as of July 8 at DraftKings. Get a DraftKings promo code to bet on Wimbledon this weekend here!
Swiatek vs Bencic Prediction
Oft-underestimated even through the periods when she’s been in the top 10, Bencic’s career record against top-10 players is pretty good, at 34-29.
And she’s beaten Serena Williams, Simona Halep, Caroline Wozniacki, Naomi Osaka and many others – all more than once.
Notably, she and Swiatek met in the round of 16 at the US Open in 2021; Bencic came through in two tight sets.
Her best surface has been grass, too; she’s won nearly 70 per cent of the matches she has played on it in her career, and it’s a decent sample size, too.
Swiatek vs Bencic History
| Year | Tournament | Surface | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | United Cup (RR) | Outdoor Hard | 6-3, 7-6 (3) | Swiatek |
| 2021 | US Open (R16) | Outdoor Hard | 7-6 (12), 6-3 | Bencic |
| 2021 | Adelaide 500 (F) | Outdoor Hard | 6-2, 6-2 | Swiatek |
Swiatek was slightly tested in the second set of her third-round match against No. 30 seed Petra Martic.
Bencic escaped in a third-set match tiebreak in the second round against powerful American Danielle Collins. She’s had the tougher road. And the tougher year.
Until she arrived at the All-England club, Bencic had played just one match since Charleston in early April – a first-round loss at the French Open. She’d been dealing with a hip issue since the Indian Wells/Miami swing.
Has she looked good enough to push Swiatek to the limit? Maybe to a third set. But probably not all the way.
Swiatek vs Bencic Pick: Swiatek in Three Sets (+380)
Safiullin vs Shapovalov Prediction
If you’re Denis Shapovalov, even in a tough season, you can’t look at having an unseeded player ranked No. 92 in his first Wimbledon main draw and only his second career visit as a man who will stop you from getting to the quarterfinals.
Better yet, the Canadian actually has experience against him – twice, in Australia, the two met and Shapovalov won both.
Hopefully he won’t overthink it. But he can’t afford to pass up the opportunity, even if we predict he’ll have a by now almost expected little dip in the middle.
Safiullin vs Shapovalov Pick: Shapovalov in Four Sets (+310)
Azarenka vs Svitolina Prediction
These two go back a long way. And they have plenty in common – both came back after having their first child and, in some ways, are as good or better as they’ve ever been.
But Azarenka has never lost to the Ukrainian.
It’s a hard one to figure out, given both have been so good.
Azarenka vs Svitolina History
| Year | Tournament | Surface | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Australian Open (R32) | Outdoor Hard | 6-0, 6-2 | Azarenka |
| 2021 | Doha (QF) | Outdoor Hard | 6-2, 6-4 | Azarenka |
| 2019 | Rome (R32) | Outdoor Clay | 4-6, 6-1, 7-5 | Azarenka |
| 2015 | Canada Masters (R64) | Outdoor Hard | 6-1, 6-4 | Azarenka |
| 2015 | Doha (R16) | Outdoor Hard | 6-3, 6-7 (4), 6-1 | Azarenka |
Azarenka has made “just” two Wimbledon semifinals in 14 trips. A year ago, she was banned because she’s Belarussian.
It’s still better than Svitolina, who had one semifinal in 2019 but has played just once since then.
But she’s almost back in the top 50, after just three months back on Tour. (She was at No. 1344 when she came back). It has been a revelation, and she made the French Open quarterfinals just a month ago.
Elina Svitolina after her win against Kenin at Wimbledon:
Interviewer: “I’m sure you’re happy to be sleeping through the night right now without your daughter here”
Elina: “Yeah, now it’s Gael’s turn to look after Skaï (laughs)”
Mom’s need a break every once in a while 😂 pic.twitter.com/ge4nllSI3W
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) July 7, 2023
Svitolina had a tough draw against the legendary Venus Williams in the first round, but took care of business and did the same against the surprising Sofia Kenin. Azarenka made it look easy against No. 11 seed Daria Kasatkina in the third round.
With Azarenka’s historical dominance and her superior grass-court pedigree meeting Svitolina’s renewed determination, it sets up as a marathon.
Azarenka vs Svitolina: Over 2.5 Sets (+145)
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Stephanie gets the straight dope from the tennis insiders. On court, she has represented her country internationally. A BA in journalism led to years on the MLB beat and a decade covering tennis globally. She's written for Postmedia, the Guardian, the New York Times and also publishes OpenCourt.ca.
