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WTA 2019 Stuttgart Open Finals Odds: Kontaveit vs Kvitova

David Golokhov

by David Golokhov in Tennis

Apr 27, 2019 · 12:29 PM PDT

Will Kvitova claim her second tournament win of the year? Photo by Peter Menzel [CC License].
  • Petra Kvitova was at +700 to win leading into tournament
  • Anett Kontaveit considered a longshot at +2500
  • Kvitova holds a 3-2 head-to-head record with Kontaveit

No. 1 Naomi Osaka was forced to pull out of the semifinals at Stuttgart, leaving Anett Kontaveit to square off with Petra Kvitova in the final. Kontaveit has made a bit of a surprising run to the last match but can she pull off the ultimate upset?

Kontaveit vs Kvitova Stuttgart Open Finals Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
Kontaveit +3.0 (-120) +140 O 21.5 (-120)
Kvitova -3.0 (-110) -175 U 21.5 (-110)

*Odds taken 04/27/19

Who’s Kontaveit?

While she’s far from a household name, No. 8 seed Anett Kontaveit is a player who is on the rise.

She had a bit of a rough start to the year but has turned it up of late. She made it to the fourth round at Indian Wells, the semifinals at the Miami Open and is now in the finals at Stuttgart. She’s now won 11 of her last 13 matches.

Granted, you have to take some of those wins with a grain of salt. She has just two wins over top ranked opponents in that time and neither were in the Top 10. She beat No. 11 Anastasija Sevastova in the BNP Paribas Open and No 27. Su-Wei Hsieh at the Miami Open.

She was due to face No. 1 seed Naomi Osaka in the semis but Osaka pulled out with an abdominal injury.

Kontaveit No Stranger to Semis at Stuttgart

Kontaveit has just one WTA Tournament win to her name but she has played well at Stuttgart.

She reached the semis here last year and is back again, so even if she was the biggest longshot on the board of the top contenders at the beginning of the tournament, this is no fluke.

We don’t have a ton of consistent trends to work with on the 23-year-old but she does seem to play better on clay than other surfaces. She is 14-7 on clay over the last two seasons.

Kvitova Tops Bertens to Advance

While Kontaveit advanced without having to break a sweat, Kvitova had to prove to be in top form to earn her win. She outlasted Kiki Bertens in three sets to earn her finals appearance.

She’ll be aiming for her second tournament win this season after winning in Sydney.

She’s played really well this season, winning 20 of her last 25 matches.

Her losses tend to come deep in tournaments, to high quality players. She lost in the Australian Open final to Osaka, in the quarters at St. Petersburg to No. 8 Donna Vekic, in the final at Dubai to Belinda Bencic, at Indiana Wells to Venus Williams and in the quarters in Miami to Ashleigh Barty.

Moreover, she’s only lost in straight sets once.

Kvitova Should Take It

Kvitova is a sizable favorite here but that’s what to be expected. It would be a mild shock if she doesn’t win this event. She played extremely well on clay last year, winning 11 of her 12 matches, and has won all three of her red surface showdowns this year.

Overall, she’s been in great form, whereas, Kontaveit has played well, but has also benefited from retirements. Osaka bowed out with injury and so did Victoria Azarenka in the third set of their quarterfinals matchup. Kvitova is the best bet here.

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