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Men’s Olympic Swimming Odds, Picks and Preview

Mitchell Hansen

by Mitchell Hansen in News

Jul 23, 2021 · 6:23 AM PDT

Patrick Callahan
Patrick Callan of the United States prepares during a swimming training session at the Tokyo Aquatics Centre at the 2020 Summer Olympics, Thursday, July 22, 2021, in Tokyo. (AP Photo/Martin Meissner)
  • Men’s swimming competition begins July 24th and concludes Aug. 1st in Tokyo, Japan
  • USA’s Caeleb Dressel headlines the list of early favorites, heavily favored in butterfly and freestyle
  • See the full list of events and favorites below

One of the most anticipated events of the Summer Olympics every four years is men’s swimming, with the world’s largest swimming meet taking place July 24th to Aug. 1st at Tokyo’s new Aquatics Centre.

The events will be divided into morning and evening sessions each day, with preliminary races occurring in the evenings in Tokyo and the finals being held the next morning to accommodate viewing in the United States. All of the events can be viewed on USA, NBC, NBCSN and the Olympic Channel, as well as live streamed on Peacock, NBCOlympics.com and the NBC Sports App.

Let’s take a look at the top 10 swimmers and the early odds listed by FanDuel for each event in Olympics competition.

Men’s 400m Individual Medley Odds

Swimmer (Country) Odds
Daiya Seto (JPN) -160
Chase Kalisz (USA) +300
Brendon Smith (AUS) +1100
David Verraszto (HUN) +1100
Leon Marchand (FRA) +1600
Lewis Clareburt (NZL) +1800
Jay Litherland (USA) +1800
Max Litchfield (GBR) +2200
Wang Shun (CHN) +2900
Yuki Ikari (JPN) +3000

All odds as of July 22nd at FanDuel Sportsbook

The betting odds in the 400-meter individual medley show that Japan’s Daiya Seto and USA’s Chase Kalisz could to back and forth to see who claims gold and who settles for silver in this event. Seto is the early favorite, but Kalisz is a talent worth watching as he tries to stand atop the medal podium.

Men’s 100m Breaststroke Odds

Swimmer (Country) Odds
Adam Peaty (GBR) -950
Arno Kamminga (NED) +1600
Michael Andrew (USA) +2900
Nicolo Martinenghi (ITA) +3400
Ilya Shymanovich (BLR) +3400
Yan Zibei (CHN) +4400
Andrew Wilson (USA) +5000
James Wilby (GBR) +6000
Kirill Prigoda (ROC) +7500
Fabian Schwingenschloe (GER) +7500
Shoma Sato (JPN) +7500

Great Britain’s Adam Peaty is one of the most dominant swimmers in the 100-meter breaststroke that we’ve ever seen, holding the world record and the 18 fastest times ever recorded in the event. He should take home gold in Tokyo as well, once again displaying his dominance.

Men’s 100m Backstroke Odds

Swimmer (Country) Odds
Evgeny Rylov (ROC) +220
Kliment Kolesnikov (ROC) +220
Ryan Murphy (USA) +270
Xu Jiayu (CHN) +600
Hunter Armstrong (USA) +1100
Mitch Larkin (AUS) +1600
Yohann Ndoye Brouard (FRA) +2900
Apostolos Christou (GRE) +2900
Hugo Gonzalez (ESP) +3400
Mewen Tomac (FRA) +3400
Robert Glinta (ROU) +3400

The 200-meter backstroke appears to be a toss-up between Russian Olympic Committee’s Evgeny Rylov and Kliment Kolesnikov, and USA’s Ryan Murphy. If you’re looking to bet on someone that could get you the largest return, Murphy could be the swimmer to go with in this event.

Men’s 200m Butterfly Odds

Swimmer (Country) Odds
Kristof Milak (HUN) -750
Daiya Seto (JPN) +1000
Tomoru Honda (JPN) +1600
Federico Burdisso (ITA) +2200
Noe Ponti (SUI) +3100
Tamas Kenderesi (HUN) +3900
Wang Kuan-hung (SUI) +4800
Zach Harting (USA) +6000
Denys Kesil (UKR) +6000
Krzysztof Chmielewski (POL) +6000

Kristof Milak is Hungary’s Michael Phelps – actually having broken Phelps’ 200-meter butterfly record in 2019 at just age 19. Milak is the heavy favorite in Tokyo, and there’s no reason to go with anyone else to come away with gold here.

Men’s 200m Breaststroke Odds

Swimmer (Country) Odds
Anton Chupkov (ROC) +230
Zac Stubblety-Cook (AUS) +270
Shoma Sato (JPN) +270
Arno Kamminga (NED) +800
Matthew Wilson (AUS) +1300
James Wilby (GBR) +2000
Nic Fink (USA) +2300
Andrew Wilson (USA) +2300
Ryuya Mura (JPN) +3100
Erik Persson (SWE) +3500
Cho Sung-jae (KOR) +4500

As the odds display, ROC’s Anton Chupkov, Australia’s Zac Stubblety-Cook and Japan’s Shoma Sato are all viewed as possibilities to claim gold, with this event looking like a three-man race. Sato will have the host country behind him, so let’s go with Sato in this event.

Men’s 800m Freestyle Odds

Swimmer (Country) Odds
Mykhailo Romanchuk (UKR) +230
Gregorio Paltrinieri (ITA) +300
Jack McLoughlin (AUS) +380
Florian Wellbrock (GER) +550
Ayoub Hafnaoui (TUN) +1100
Henrik Christiansen (NOR) +1300
Gabriele Detti (ITA) +1900
David Aubry (FRA) +2300
Aleksandr Egorov (ROC) +3400
Robert Finke (USA) +5000
Serhiy Frolov (UKR) +6000

Ukraine’s Mykhailo Romanchuk and Italy’s Gregorio Paltrinieri will battle in out in the first of a few different events, but Romanchuk is the early favorite to take home gold. Romanchuk’s dominance in the freestyle previously should be enough to convince you to go with him in this event.

Men’s 200m Backstroke Odds

Swimmer (Country) Odds
Evgeny Rylov (ROC) -180
>Ryan Murphy (USA) +340
Luke Greenbank (GBR) +750
Bryce Mefford (USA) +1200
Xu Jiayu (CHN) +2500
Ryosuke Irie (JPN) +2900
Roman Mityukov (SUI) +4400
Yohann Ndoye Brouard (FRA) +4400
Tristan Hollard (AUS) +5000
Adam Telegdy (HUN) +5000
Jan Cejka (CZE) +5000

Evgeny Rylov of ROC comes into the 200-meter backstroke as the early favorite, but Team USA’s Ryan Murphy could make a run at challenging Rylov for gold in this event. It might be worth betting on Murphy to see if he is able to come out on top and earn you a nice prize in return.

Men’s 100m Butterfly Odds

Swimmer (Country) Odds
Caeleb Dressel (USA) -550
Kristof Milak (HUN) +340
Matthew Temple (AUS) +1600
Josif Miladinov (BUL) +3400
Andrey Minakov (ROC) +3800
James Guy (GBR) +4100
Mehdy Metella (FRA) +5000
Tom Shields (USA) +6000
Noe Ponti (SUI) +7500
Joseph Schooling (SGP) +7500
Jakub Majerski (POL) +7500
Joshua Liendo (CAN) +7500
Chad Le Clos (RSA) +7500

USA’s Caeleb Dressel is the favorite in a few different events with the first one being the 100-meter butterfly. By the end of the nine-day schedule of events, Dressel could end up placing for at least six medals, and he could once again finish on the podium with a medal in this event.

Men’s 50m Freestyle Odds

Swimmer (Country) Odds
Caeleb Dressel (USA) -430
Vladimir Morozov (ROC) +850
Benjamin Proud (GBR) +1400
Kliment Kolesnikov (ROC) +1600
Bruno Fratus (BRA) +1800
Michael Andrew (USA) +1800
Cameron McEvoy (AUS) +2900
Kristian Gkolomeev (GRE) +4400
Florent Manaudou (FRA) +4400
Thom De Boer (NED) +5000
Pawel Juraszek (POL) +5000

The second event that Dressel is a large favorite in is the 50-meter freestyle, with basically nobody else close to him as far as the betting odds go. Dressel will likely be a good spot to set a new world record or at least challenge it in this event in Tokyo.

Men’s 1500m Freestyle Odds

Swimmer (Country) Odds
Florian Wellbrock (GER) +125
Mykhailo Romanchuk (UKR) +200
Gregorio Paltrinieri (ITA) +300
Robert Finke (USA) +2300
Henrik Christiansen (NOR) +2300
Jack McLoughlin (AUS) +2300
Aleksandr Egorov (ROC) +2900
Daniel Jervis (GBR) +2900
Michael Brinegar (USA) +4400
Alexander Norgaard (DEN) +4400
Domenico Acerenza (ITA) +9500

The 1500-meter freestyle could be interesting between three of the favorites, that being Germany’s Florian Wellbrock, Ukraine’s Romanchuk and Italy’s Paltrinieri. All three of those swimmers could be interesting choices and will likely round out the podium by the end of the event.

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