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Virginia vs Florida State Prediction, Odds & Starting Pitchers (Sunday, June 16)

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in News

Updated Jun 15, 2024 · 5:13 PM PDT

Florida State Seminoles pitcher Carson Dorsey
May 26, 2024; Charlotte, NC, USA; Florida State Seminoles pitcher Carson Dorsey (9) in the second inning against the Duke Blue Devils during the ACC Baseball Tournament at Truist Field. Mandatory Credit: Scott Kinser-USA TODAY Sports
  • ACC rivals Florida State and Virginia clash in a College World Series elimination game
  • We’ve made our Virginia vs Florida State prediction for Sunday’s baseball game on ESPN
  • Read below for UVA vs FSU prediction, odds and starting pitchers (June 16)

Florida State and Virginia faceoff in a crucial elimination game at the College World Series in Omaha on Sunday. Both teams lost their tournament opener on walk-offs and now do battle with their seasons on the line. First pitch is 2pm at Charles Schwab Field (ESPN).

We’ve made our UVA vs FSU prediction for Sunday’s game, plus examine the betting odds and starting pitching matchup.

Virginia vs Florida State Prediction

Both teams enter this game coming off heartbreaking lossses, but the pain hits differently for the Seminoles. Jarrett Link’s club had a five-run lead at one point on Saturday, but the Volunteers staged a comeback that included some questionable calls from the umpire.

Florida State will be turning to Carson Dorsey, who most recently started FSU’s opening game of the Tallahassee Regional against Stetson on May 31st. While Dorsey stood out in that game, the 21-year-old appeared in relief against UVA a few weeks ago in the ACC Tournament, failing to record an out while giving up four runs.

Virginia also suffered a tough loss in their opener against North Carolina, despite a strong performance from starting pitcher Evan Blanco. Coach Brian O’Connor will now turn to pitcher Jay Woolfolk to try to save the Cavaliers’ season.

Woolfolk got the start in Virginia’s Super Regional win over Kansas State, striking out seven batters. In the earlier matchup against Florida State, Woolfolk pitched two innings in relief, giving up one run.

We are targeting Over 12.5 runs for this game, as the weather forecast is calling for 15mph winds from right to left field. Dorsey has struggled with the Cavaliers batters, while Woolfolk had a 6.96 ERA during the regular season and gave up a homer in his limited action against FSU this season.

UVA vs FSU Pick:

  • Over 12.5 Runs (-115)

Virginia vs Florida State Odds

Team Run Line Moneyline Total
Virginia +1.5 (-166) -110 Over 12.5 (-115)
Florida State -1.5 (+130) -120 Under 12.5 (-115)

The Virginia vs Florida State odds for Sunday show the Seminoles as slight -120 favorites on the moneyline, giving them 54.5% implied win probability. The Cavaliers come back as the -110 underdogs, giving them 52.4% implied chance of avoiding elimination.

As the betting favorite for Sunday’s game, Florida State is available at -1.5 on the run line at +130 odds. For this bet to cash, the Seminoles need to win by two or more runs. Virginia is +1.5 on the run line at heavy -166 odds, implying they need to stay within two runs for the bet to cash.

The over/under for Sunday’s College World Series game is set at 12.5, with equal -115 odds to the over and the under.


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Odds as of June 15, 2024, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Check out the best sports betting app for the College World Series.

FSU vs UVA History

Virginia and Florida State have a long history of playing each other, with Florida State leading the all-time series 61-34. However, this will be the first time these two ACC rivals have met in the NCAA Tournament.

YouTube video

Earlier this season, they played each other in the ACC Tournament, with Florida State winning 12-7. In that game, Virginia hit four home runs, but Florida State had a huge seventh inning where they scored seven runs.


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