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Indiana Fever vs Connecticut Sun Odds, Player Props & Picks (May 14)

Sascha Paruk

by Sascha Paruk in WNBA

Updated May 16, 2024 · 11:13 AM PDT

Indiana Fever guard Caitlin Clark backs down an Atlanta Dream defender
Indiana Fever guard Caitlin Clark (22) rushes up the court Thursday, May 9, 2024, during the preseason game against the Atlanta Dream at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. The Indiana Fever defeated the Atlanta Dream, 83-80.
  • Caitlin Clark will play her first career WNBA game on Tuesday when the Indiana Fever visit the Connecticut Sun
  • The Sun finished with the third-best record in the 12-team league last year (27-13) while Indiana was third-worst (13-27)
  • Below, see the Indiana Fever vs Connecticut Sun odds, picks, and available player props on May 14

The most-anticipated WNBA debut of all time will take place on Tuesday night when Caitlin Clark’s Indiana Fever (13-27, 7-13 away) visit DeWanna Bonner and the Connecticut Sun (27-13, 13-7 home) at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, CT, at 7:30 pm ET.

Coming off a successful 2023, the Sun are seven-point favorites over the Fever, who missed the playoffs for the eighth straight season.

Indiana Fever vs Connecticut Sun Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Indiana Fever +7 (-112) +250 O  166 (-110)
Connecticut Sun -7 (-108) -310 U 166  (-110)

Connecticut is a -310 moneyline favorite with the Fever coming back at +250 to pull off a road upset. The over/under is sitting at 166. All four of the head-to-head meetings between the teams last season finished under 166.5, averaging 146.3 PPG.

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Odds as of May 14 at DraftKings. Get a DraftKings promo code to bet on the WNBA tonight.

Clark’s Preseason a Mixed Bag

The Fever played two preseason games, going 1-1 with a narrow 79-76 loss to Dallas and an 83-80 win over Atlanta. Clark dropped 21 points on 40% shooting in the first with three rebounds and a pair of assists.  But she scored just 12 points on 33.3% shooting in the latter, while adding eight boards and six dimes. (Dallas and Atlanta finished fourth and fifth, respectively, in the WNBA last year.)

YouTube video

Clark, of course, set a new DI scoring record during her four years at Iowa (3951 points), averaging 31.6 PPG in her record-setting senior season.  She was a career 37.7% three-point shooter in college and, unlike the NBA, the three-point line in the WNBA is the same as it is in women’s college hoops.

While the on-ball defending will certainly be an adjustment for Clark, the parameters of the court will remain the same.

Sun Dominated Fever Last Season

Connecticut went a perfect 4-0 against Indiana last year, winning by an average margin of 11 points per game. Indiana kep the first two contests within single digits, but lost the last two meetings by 16 and 17 points, respectively.

The public appears to be backing the Sun to continue that trend on Tuesday night. The Indiana/Connecticut point was sitting at just 5.5 yesterday before ballooning to seven as of Tuesday morning.

In addition to an instant impact from Clark, the Fever will also be hoping for even more from 2023 first-overall pick Aliyah Boston, who averaged 14.5 points and 8.4 rebounds per game on her way to winning 2023 WNBA Rookie of the Year.

Indiana vs Connecticut Recent H2H Results

Date Road Team Home Team Score/Winner
May 19, 2023 Connecticut Indiana 70-61 Connecticut
May 30, 2023 Indiana Connecticut 81-78 Connecticut
Aug 4, 2023 Connecticut Indiana 88-72 Connecticut
Sep 8, 2023 Indiana Connecticut 76-59 Connecticut

Tiffany Hayes, Connecticut’s fourth-leading scorer at 12.1 PPG, actually led Connecticut in scoring in three of the four wins over Indiana last year, averaging 14.8 PPG against the Fever.

Each of the Sun’s three-leading scorers from last year return in 2024: DeWanna Bonner (17.4 PPG, 5.6 RPG), Brionna Jones (15.9 PPG, 8.2 RPG) and Alyssa Thomas (15.5 PPG, 7.9 APG). The Sun roster is the polar opposite of Indiana, at least the the top. Their three-leading scorers have an average age of 32 years old.

Fever vs Sun Player Props

Player Points Rebounds Assists Three-Pointers Made
Aaliyah Boston (IND) 15.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 9.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) OFF OFF
Alyssa Thomas (CON) 14.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 8.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 7.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) OFF
Caitlin Clark (IND) 21.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 4.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 6.5 (Ov -140 | Un +110) 3.5 (Ov -140 | Un +115)
DeWanna Bonner (CON) 17.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 5.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) OFF OFF
NaLyssa Smith (IND) 16.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 8.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) OFF OFF

Clark has the highest point total on the board in her first career WNBA game, listed at 21.5 O/U with the over favored at -125. At 15.5, Boston is listed roughly a point higher than her rookie-season average. The 36-year-old Bonner leads the Sun players at 17.5 PPG, almost spot on her 2023 average (17.4 PPG).

Indiana Fever vs Connecticut Sun Predictions

The fact that this spread moved 1.5 points toward Connecticut is a good indication that veteran WNBA bettors are on the Sun. (The general public could be expected to back the high-profile Clark.) But the young Fever took a big step forward last season compared to 2022, improving from 5-31 to 13-27, and bettering their point differential from -11.1 to -4.1.

I’m not expecting Clark to take over the league in her first season (only three players averaged better than 21.5 points per game during the 2023 WNBA season) but I do expect her to be a significant contributor to a young, hyper-talented team on the rise.

The Sun were actually one game better on the road last year and bettors can expect a mixed crowd on Tuesday, with plenty of fans making the trip to Uncasville to see the biggest start in women’s basketball make her pro debut.

Picks:

  • Fever +7 (-112)
  • Clark under 21.5 points (-105) 
  • Boston over 15.5 points (-110)

 

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