Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction, Player-Prop Picks & Best Odds for Game 2

By Sascha Paruk in WNBA
Published:

- The Las Vegas Aces are heavy favorites to even their best-of-five series with the Indiana Fever in Game 2
- Will A’ja Wilson bounce back from a 6-of-22 performance from the field in the opener?
- See my Fever vs Aces prediction and player-prop picks, plus the best available IND vs LV odds
The shorthanded Indiana Fever (24-20, 11-11 away, 25-22 ATS) continued to defy expectations in the opener of their WNBA semifinal against the Las Vegas Aces (30-14, 17-5 home, 24-22-1 ATS), earning a lopsided 89-73 road win as 8.5-point underdogs on Sunday.
The teams meet in Game 2 of their best-of-five second-round series on Tuesday night in Las Vegas (6:30 pm PT/9:30 pm ET) and the Aces are heavily favored to even the proceedings, listed as short as -500 on the moneyline.
Fever vs Aces Prediction & Picks
- Fever +9.0 (-108) at DraftKings
- Odyssey Sims 15+ points (+330) at DraftKings
The Fever’s defense was impeccable in Game 1. They were aggressive on the perimeter, limiting the Aces to just 17 three-point attempts (five makes), and were remarkably successful guarding Wilson in the post one-on-one.
Wilson isn’t going to shoot 6-of-22 from the field again in Game 2, but if the Fever can continue to guard the perimeter the same way they did in the opener – and there’s no obvious reason why they wouldn’t – Vegas is going to have a hard time pulling away.
Game 1 made it pretty blatant that the Fever have the stronger/faster backcourt, spearheaded by Kelsey Mitchell (20.2 PPG, 1.8 RPG, 3.4 APG), who dropped a game-high 34 points on a relatively efficient 12-of-23 from the floor (4-of-6 from three).
Odyssey Sims (10.3 PPG, 1.8 RPG, 4.0 APG), acquired midseason from the Sparks, had her best game of the postseason, adding 17 points on 7-of-13 shooting. The Fever are now 7-0 when the 33-year-old Sims scores 13 or more points.
The Fever finished Game 1 with a +2 edge on the glass, and don’t be surprised if that repeats in Game 2. As a team, the Aces have struggled to rebound the ball all season, finishing the regular season 11th out of 13 teams in REB% (48.4%), significantly worse than Indiana (50.5%, sixth).
The 6’5 Aliyah Boston (15.0 PPG, 8.2 RPG, 3.7 APG) and 6’3 Natasha Howard (11.4 PPG, 6.6 RPG, 1.5 APG) both finished with 11 rebounds. They form one of the only frontcourts in the league that has the size and athleticism to give Wilson problems at both ends of the court.
If Wilson takes her game to the same level she did in the must-win Game 3 against Seattle (38 points on 53.8% shooting), it will be difficult for the Fever to keep their nose in front over 40 minutes. But as long as the Fever play with the same defensive intensity and offensive gameplan they did in Game 1, they will keep Game 2 competitive throughout.
IND Fever vs LV Aces Player Props for Game 2
WNBA player props as of 2:31 pm ET at DraftKings.
Recently crowned four-time MVP Wilson (23.4 PPG, 10.2 RPG, 3.1 APG) has a massive 25.5-point O/U in Game 2 after being held to just 16 in Game 1 on a horrendous 6-of-22 from the floor.
Mitchell is listed at 20.5 O/U, a number she blew past on Sunday. Mitchell is averaging 26.0 PPG in the postseason and has scored at least 19 points in all four games.
Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces Odds (Game 2)
As of 2:06 pm ET, the best available Las Vegas moneyline was -425 (bet365 and DraftKings), while Caesars had the longest odds on an Indiana win at +360. The spread ranged from Las Vegas -8.5 to -9.0. DraftKings had the best Indiana ATS option at +9.0 (-108). FanDuel had the best Las Vegas ATS option at -8.5 (-115).
The game total varied from 163.5 to 164.0. Over bettors could get 163.5 (-112) at DraftKings. Under bettors could get 164.0 (-110) at Caesars.

Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.