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Mercury vs Sky Game 4 Odds and Picks – 2021 WNBA Finals

Mitchell Hansen

by Mitchell Hansen in WNBA

Oct 16, 2021 · 5:51 PM PDT

Kahleah Copper holds up three fingers after making shot
Chicago Sky's Kahleah Copper celebrates after making a 3-point shot during the first half of Game 3 of the basketball team's WNBA Finals against the Phoenix Mercury on Friday, Oct. 15, 2021, in Chicago. Chicago won 86-50. (AP Photo/Paul Beaty)
  • The Chicago Sky and Phoenix Mercury return to action in Chicago for Game 4 of the WNBA Finals on Sunday, Oct. 17th
  • The Sky hold a 2-1 advantage in the best-of-five championship series, one win away from winning the title
  • See below for the latest odds, analysis and the best bet for Game 4

The WNBA Finals could come to a close on Sunday, Oct. 17th, with the Chicago Sky and the Phoenix Mercury hitting the court at Winstrust Arena in Chicago for Game 4 of the best-of-five series.

The sixth-seed Sky and fifth-seed Mercury return to action at 3pm ET on ESPN2, with the Sky holding a 2-1 lead in the series and a win away from claiming the league title.

The Mercury hope to not let that outcome happen in an attempt to force a winner-take-all Game 5 on Tuesday in Phoenix.

WNBA Finals Game 4 Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Phoenix Mercury +4 (-110) +155 Over 164.5 (-110)
Chicago Sky -4 (-110) -180 Under 164.5 (-110)

Odds as of Oct. 16th at DraftKings

Sky Look to Claim WNBA Title

In both of their WNBA Finals wins, Chicago has looked awfully impressive and at times nearly unstoppable. The Sky opened the series with a convincing Game 1 win in Phoenix, following it up with an absolute route of the Mercury in Game 3 in Chicago to take a one-game lead in the series.

Through three games, the Sky have featured a balanced attack offensively to counter a dominant defensive showing, a recipe that has paved the way for Chicago to hold the advantage going into Game 4.

Offensively, the Sky have had multiple starters, and oftentimes almost all five, finish in double-figures in scoring during the series. Defensively, Chicago has been equally as impressive in holding Phoenix in check on the other end of the court, with the latest example coming in Game 3 when it held the Mercury to just 25.8% shooting from the field.

Leading the way for Chicago has been Kahleah Copper with 19.3 points, 6.7 rebounds, 1.3 assists and 1.3 steals while serving as the early front-runner to claim Finals MVP. Behind Copper, Allie Quigley has averaged 15.3 points, four rebounds and 2.3 assists, Candace Parker has tallied 14 points, seven rebounds, three assists and 1.7 steals and Courtney Vandersloot as added 12 points, 11.7 assists, 3.7 rebounds and 2.3 steals in three games.

Mercury Try to Force a Game 5

Phoenix comes into Game 4 trying to avoid elimination and ultimately force a Game 5 back on its home floor in Phoenix. If we see the Mercury team that appeared in games one and three, this series won’t see a Game 5. If we see the Phoenix squad that appeared in a Game 2 OT victory, this series could see a winner-take-all contest on Tuesday.

One key aspect to Phoenix is the play of its trio of Brittney Griner, Diana Taurasi and Skylar Diggins-Smith, whose performances the Mercury have lived or died by the entire season. In the two losses, that trio has struggled and was held in check for the most part, but in the Game 2 win they went off and were a huge reason why Phoenix was able to come out on top in the lone victory of the series.

Through three games, Griner has done just about everything for Phoenix while leading the team with impressive averages of 21.7 points, 5.7 rebounds, 1.7 assists and one block per game. Taurasi has struggled a bit but has averaged 14 points and three rebounds, while Diggins-Smith has added 11.7 points, 6.3 assists, 4.3 rebounds and 1.7 steals a game.

Prediction and Best Bet

The Finals to this point has been an up-and-down battle for both teams, with each squad looking impressive at points in the series. So far, Chicago has looked more impressive.

On Sunday afternoon in Game 4, the Sky will once again prove to be too much for the Mercury to handle and Chicago will use the energy from its home crowd to put the finishing touches on the series and claim the WNBA championship. Phoenix has made a good run, but its time has come to an end.

For the best bet in Game 4, go with the Sky being four-point favorites leading into the contest. Chicago will likely be able to cover the over on that mark set in the win.

  • The Pick: Chicago -4 (-110)
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