2024 Republican Party Presidential Nominee Odds Tracker
- The graphs below display the average odds to win the 2024 Republican party nomination
- Former President Donald Trump is still the favorite to represent the GOP in the next presidential election as of August 2023, with Vivek Ramaswamy second and Ron DeSantis fading to third
- See the 2024 Republican nomination odds for all the betting favorites and longshots
This page monitors the online betting odds to win the 2024 Republican Party presidential nomination.
One-term President Donald Trump is the favorite with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis close behind.
The graph below was generated by averaging the odds from multiple online sportsbooks and was updated regularly to reflect the biggest new stories, trends, and political developments.
2024 Republican Party Presidential Nominee Odds
2024 Republican Presidential Nominee Odds
Odds as of August 28, 2023, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Click here to claim a claim a DraftKings promo code.
Timeline of GOP Nominee Odds Updates
- Aug. 24, 2023: After the first (Trump-free) GOP debate, Ramaswamy improved to +550 while DeSantis faded to +750. Nikki Haley also improved from +3900 to +2900.
- Aug. 16, 2023: Trump’s odds to win the 2024 Republican Nomination have improved to -303 over summer, while Ron DeSantis has faded to +725 and been supplanted as second-favorite by Vivek Ramaswamy (+650).
- May 30, 2023: Donald Trump (-208) has widened his lead on Ron DeSantis (+255) in the latest GOP nomination odds for the 2024 presidential election. No other candidate is shorter than +2500 (Nikki Haley).
- Feb. 15, 2023: Nikki Haley improved from +1800 to +1000 after announcing she would seek the GOP nomination for the 2024 presidential election today.
- Dec. 20, 2021: Trump is now the odds-on favorite at -105. Second-favorite DeSantis, who had faded badly last time, bounced back a little (from +500 to +438).
- Nov. 1, 2021: Trump (+102) is nearly at even-money; second-favorite DeSantis slid significantly (from +367 to +500).
- Sep. 20, 2021: Trump’s odds improved again (from +208 to +171), as did DeSantis’ (+375 to +367). Top-ten contenders Haley, Cruz, Noem, and Pompeo all faded.
- Sep. 1, 2021: Trump moved from +225 to +208. Second-favorite DeSantis went the other way from +350 to +375, as did third-favorite Haley (+700 to +733).
- Aug. 2, 2021: While Trump (+225) and DeSantis (+350) continue to sit well ahead of the field, Kristi Noem has quietly shortened from +2400 to +1500 over the past few months. She’s now the fourth-favorite with Nikki Haley (+700) sitting third.
- June 25, 2021: DeSantis (+400) continues to close the gap on long-time favorite Trump (+275).
- May 7, 2021: Ron DeSantis’ momentum has continued, improving from +617 to +533. He is now alone in second. Nikki Haley faded from +617 to +650.
- Apr. 15, 2021: Nikki Haley and Ron DeSantis are now in a dead-heat as second-favorite (at +617) behind Donald Trump Sr (+300).
- Mar. 24, 2021: The last three weeks have not altered the GOP nomination odds.
- Mar. 1, 2021: There were two big winners from the CPAC conference last weekend: Trump improved from +525 to +275 after hinting at a 2024 run; DeSantis leapt from +1300 to +550, as polls indicated he was the second-choice for most GOPers after Trump.
- Feb. 17, 2021: The three favorites – Pence, Trump Sr, and Haley – all saw their odds fade slightly as the odds for secondary contenders like Ron DeSantis (Gov. of FL) and Mike Pompeo (former Sec. of State and CIA Director) improved.
- Jan. 27, 2021: Mike Pence, Nikki Haley, and Donald Trump remain the top-three favorites, despite a real possibility of Trump being banned from holding public office via his second impeachment trial.
- Jan. 22, 2021: There was no significant odds movement after President Biden’s inauguration.
- Jan. 8, 2021: Calls for his resignation, removal, and/or impeachment aren’t hurting Trump’s odds to be the GOP nominee in 2024; he remains at +500, tied for second-best on the board with Nikki Haley.
- Dec. 10, 2020: Lame-duck Trump improved again (+600 to +500) but still trails outgoing VEEP Mike Pence (+375) and former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley (+425).
- Nov. 26, 2020: Donald Trump Sr saw his odds improve modestly from +650 to +600 as he continues his farfetched legal bid to stay in power.
- Nov. 12, 2020: Mike Pence (+375) and Nikki Haley (+425) are the early favorites to be the next leader of the Republican party. Donald Trump Sr. is at +650.
Past Republican Party Nominees
|Year||Name||Popular Vote Percentage|
|2004||George W. Bush*||50.7%|
|2000||George W. Bush*||47.9%|
|1992||George H.W. Bush||37.5%|
|1988||George H.W. Bush*||53.4%|
*Elected President of the United States
Remember the good old days when you actually needed to win the popular vote to win the presidency? Trump kicked that antiquated notion to the curb in 2016 when he won the election despite finishing with 2.8 million fewer votes than Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton.