2020 Republican Party Presidential Nominee Odds Tracker
- Donald Trump has secured the 2020 Republican Party nomination
- His odds fluctuate at points, especially during the impeachment proceedings, but there was never a serious challenger
- View how the odds for all the potential nominees changed over time
As expected, Donald Trump secured the 2020 GOP nomination. While the impeachment proceedings led to a modicum of doubt in early 2020, no other individual ever mounted a serious challenge to Trump.
The graph below was generated by averaging the odds from multiple online sportsbooks and was updated regularly to reflect the biggest new stories, trends, and political developments.
2020 Republican Party Presidential Nominee Odds
- June 30: There was never a serious challenge to Trump’s nomination as the Republican candidate for 2020. But it’s official at this point.
- Mar. 20: Trump’s improved handling of the coronavirus emergency has led to an improvement in his odds, which went from -1550 to -1800 on average.
- Mar. 17: Trump is still the heavy favorite, but VP Mike Pence (+1200), former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley (+3500), and Massachusetts Senator Mitt Romney (+3500) are all getting shorter.
- Mar. 13: Odds are not trending in Trump’s direction. He’s still a heavy favorite at -1200 (92.3% chance), but that’s a steep drop from -5000 (98%) just four days ago.
- Mar. 9: Post-impeachment acquittal, these odds largely disappeared. But the stock market crash and coronavirus have re-opened the possibility of Trump being replaced on the 2020 GOP ticket. That said, he’s still -5000 to be the Republican nominee.
- Jan. 16: Iran debacle, impeachment, trade wars: doesn’t matter. Trump’s odds to stay the GOP nominee improved to -1100.
- Jan. 6: Trump’s odds to be the 2020 GOP nominee are back to -900, his shortest odds since July 2019.
- December 3, 2019: The impeachment hearings aren’t doing much to further hurt Trump in this market. He’s a -650 favorite at the moment.
- September 25, 2019: Trump’s aforementioned “quiet period” was blasted into oblivion with Nancy Pelosi’s announcement of a formal impeachment inquiry. His odds to be the GOP nominee, a hyper-short -10000 at last check, are down to -500. The only other option available right now is “The Field” (+350).
- August 29, 2019: Trump is going through a relatively quiet period in terms of scandals and gaffes. He’s all but assured the nomination (-10000) according to oddsmakers. Only one sportsbook has odds up right now, and former Illinois Rep. Joe Walsh (+2500) was the only other person listed.
- July 17, 2019: Trump’s odds are now -900, on average, as the incumbent shakes off scandal after scandal.
- June 28, 2019: Trump’s short odds continue to get even shorter, going from -700 on June 10th to -800 on June 28th.
- June 10, 2019: Trump is still holding steady, with no internal threats from his own party.
- May 29, 2019: Trump has tightened his stranglehold on the odds, going from -680 to -700 in the span of a month.
- April 18, 2019: Trump has emerged from the Mueller Report unscathed. His odds have improved from -350 on January 3rd to -750 on April 18th.
- November 7, 2018: The Republicans may have lost the House of Representatives in last evening’s Midterm Elections, but Trump still has reason to smile today, as his odds to win his party’s presidential nomination actually improved from -300 to -350.
- October 31, 2018: Halloween may be a scary time for some, but not for Trump, whose odds to become the Republican Party’s Presidential nominee have remained unchanged since August.
- October 15, 2018: Donald Trump’s visibility continues to be high – and his odds continue to be short – as he tours Florida and Georgia surveying the damage done by Hurricane Michael and offering his support to first responders and survivors.
2020 Republican Presidential Nominee Odds
|Candidate||2020 Republican Party Nominee Odds|
Odds as of Mar. 20. Follow the link in the table to see all betting options.
- 14 US Presidents previously served as Vice President
- John C. Calhoun and Spiro Agnew are the only two US Vice Presidents to leave office before their terms expired
Net Worth Among Potential GOP Nominees
|Candidate||Approximate Net Worth|
|Donald Trump||$3.1 Billion|
|Jamie Dimon||$1.4 billion|
|Ben Shapiro||$7 million|
|Orrin Hatch||$4.3 million|
|Mike Pence||$2 Million|
Trump’s net worth of $3.1 billion may sound impressive, but it’s actually dropped by nearly $1.4 billion since 2015 when he first announced his intention to run for President of the United States. The drop off can be attributed to broader changes in online retail habits and a pronounced backlash among consumers who have chosen to boycott Trump-related products.
Past Republican Party Nominees
|Year||Name||Popular Vote Percentage|
|2004||George W. Bush*||50.7%|
|2000||George W. Bush*||47.9%|
|1992||George H.W. Bush||37.5%|
|1988||George H.W. Bush*||53.4%|
*Elected President of the United States
Remember the good old days when you actually needed to win the popular vote to win the presidency? Trump kicked that antiquated notion to the curb in 2016 when he won the election despite finishing with 2.8 million fewer votes than Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton.