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  • The graphs below display the average odds to win the 2024 Republican party nomination
  • Outgoing President Donald Trump is only the third-favorite to represent the GOP four years from now
  • Nikki Haley and Mike Pence are the early front-runners

This page monitors the online betting odds to win the 2024 Republican party presidential nomination.

Soon-to-be one-term President Donald Trump is among the contenders, but finds a couple names ahead of him on the board, including his VEEP.

The graph below was generated by averaging the odds from multiple online sportsbooks and was updated regularly to reflect the biggest new stories, trends, and political developments.

2024 Republican Party Presidential Nominee Odds

  • Nov. 26, 2020: Donald Trump Sr saw his odds improve modestly from +650 to +600 as he continues his farfetched legal bid to stay in power.
  • Nov. 12, 2020: Mike Pence (+375) and Nikki Haley (+425) are the early favorites to be the next leader of the Republican party. Donald Trump Sr. is at +650.

2024 Republican Presidential Nominee Odds

Candidate Odds
Mike Pence +375
Nikki Haley +425
Donald Trump Sr. +600
John Kasich +800
Josh Hawley +900
Ted Cruz +1000
Tim Scott +1300
Tom Cotton +1300
Dan Crenshaw +1500
Paul Ryan +2000
Bill Weld +2000
Donald Trump Jr. +2050
Carly Fiorina +2500
Mark Cuban +2500

Odds as of Nov. 26, 2020.

Past Republican Party Nominees

Year Name Popular Vote Percentage
2020 Donald Trump 47.4%
2016 Donald Trump* 46.1%
2012 Mitt Romney 47.2%
2008 John McCain 45.7%
2004 George W. Bush* 50.7%
2000 George W. Bush* 47.9%
1996 Bob Dole 40.7%
1992 George H.W. Bush 37.5%
1988 George H.W. Bush* 53.4%
1984 Ronald Reagan* 58.8%
1980 Ronald Reagan* 50.8%

*Elected President of the United States

Remember the good old days when you actually needed to win the popular vote to win the presidency? Trump kicked that antiquated notion to the curb in 2016 when he won the election despite finishing with 2.8 million fewer votes than Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton.


Archived Democratic nomination odds: 2020

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Sascha has been the Lead Oddsmaker for SBD for over four years, specializing in football, baseball, hockey, and basketball. He has been featured on USA Today's Draft Wire, Fansided, Chicago Tribune, Newsweek, and numerous additional local and national publications.