2020 US Presidential Election Odds Tracker
- See who sportsbooks are picking to win the 2020 US Presidential Election
- Isolate each candidate or compare them to others trending in the same direction
- View how their odds have changed over time
We’ve been tracking the odds for all potential candidates (including a few names that may surprise you), and have included a visual depiction of their chances in the graphs and tables below. We’ll continue to update their data throughout the many midterms, scandals, and surprise announcements that are sure to come between now and election night. Buckle up! It’s sure to get a little bumpy.
Donald Trump’s first year and a half in office has been, by virtually any metric, a complete and utter disaster. The POTUS has attacked the intelligence community, undermined relationships with America’s longest-standing allies, endorsed alleged sex predators, and overseen the forcible separation of children from their families.
Despite his many scathing scandals and controversies, Trump somehow remains the overwhelming favorite to win the next US Presidential election in 2020. The Donald’s current average odds of +110 are 990 points better than his next closest competitor. That isn’t just a gap – it’s yawning chasm – and it could get even wider unless something changes soon.
- Jan. 6: President Trump is now -150 to win re-election, the shortest his odds have ever been (including during the 2016 election).
- Dec. 3: Trump is shorter than even-money again (-110) because of course he is.
- Nov. 26: Pete Buttigieg has moved up significantly (+820) largely at the expense of Elizabeth Warren (+630)
- Nov. 14: Michael Bloomberg was at +10000 odds before he even said he wanted to run; now he’s at an optimistic +1700!
- Nov. 1: For the first time since April, Trump’s odds (+120) give him less than a 50% chance to win the 2020 election.
- Oct. 22: Trump (-110) continues to be the odds-on favorite
- Oct. 10: Two Democrat women are making huge gains. Warren’s upward trajectory continued (+310 to +230), and Hillary Clinton(?!) is suddenly surging (+5800 to +2500).
- Sep. 25, 2019: We have movement! Trump’s impeachment odds are on the rise and that’s led to Elizabeth Warren jumping from +370 to +310.
- Sep. 13, 2019: Not much change at the top. Trump remains at -110 while Democratic frontrunner Elizabeth Warren is still +370 to be the next POTUS.
- Sep. 6, 2019: Kamala Harris continues her precipitous drop. Once as short as +680, she’s the now a distant +1500 to become the first female President. But Elizabeth Warren has shot up to +370!
- Aug. 29, 2019: Trump’s odds fell back slightly to -110, while Elizabeth Warren made the biggest gains (+680 to +460) and now sits alone in second.
- Aug. 14, 2019: Trump is now -130, the shortest his odds have been during this election cycle.
- Jul. 17, 2019: Trump remains the chalk, but fell from -120 to +100, while new Democratic frontrunner Kamala Harris made gains.
- Jun. 28, 2019: Donald Trump is still favored to win the 2020 Election with -120 average odds, but Kamala Harris and Elizabeth Warren are gaining ground. Harris’ average US Presidential odds went from +1300 on June 10th to +820 on June 28th and Warren’s went from +1700 to +1100 over the same time period.
- Jun. 10, 2019: Andrew Yang is emerging as a genuine contender with +2100 odds.
- May 27, 2019: Oddsmakers seem to be losing faith in Pete Buttigieg, whose average US Presidential odds lengthened from +1200 on May 16th to +1500 on May 27th.
- May 16, 2019: Trump’s 2020 Presidential odds remain unchanged despite damning new tax documents that reveal he lost over $1 billion from 1985 to 1994.
- Apr. 25, 2019: Joe Biden is officially making his move. The former VP has announced his intentions to run for President in 2020.
- Mar. 25, 2019: The Mueller Report is out and Donald Trump appears to have emerged unscathed… so far. The POTUS saw his odds improve from +110 to +100.
- Jan. 22, 2019: Is Donald Trump’s government shutdown shutting him down from re-election as President of the United States in 2020? It certainly seems that way as his odds have lengthened from +120 to +180.
- Jan. 10, 2019: Don’t look now, but Elizabeth Warren has emerged as a bona fide presidential candidate. Her odds improved significantly from +2300 on December 14th to +1700 on January 10th.
- Nov. 7, 2018: Trump’s odds to win the 2020 Presidential Election jumped from +100 to +110 hours after the Republicans lost the House of Representatives in the US Midterm Elections.
- Oct. 31, 2018: Halloween may be a scary time for some, but not for Trump, whose odds of serving a second term have shortened from +110 to +100 despite rampant speculation the Republicans will lose the House of Representatives in the upcoming Midterms.
- Oct. 15, 2018: Donald Trump remains the heavy favorite to win the 2020 Presidential Election with odds of +110. His next closest competitor, Kamala Harris, is still far back at +1000.
2020 US Presidential Election Odds Top Contenders
|Candidate||2020 US Presidential Election Odds at Bovada|
Odds as of Jan. 16, 2019
2020 US Presidential Election Winning Party Odds
Jan. 6: In keeping with Trump’s improving odds, the GOP is now a -150 favorite to win the 2020 election with the Dems falling to +110.
Nov. 26: The impeachment hearings are not moving the line of which part will win the 2020 election.
Nov. 1: Still no changes, despite the Trump impeachment proceedings steaming ahead.
Oct. 22: No changes over the last month.
Sep. 13: The odds remain relatively stable. The Dems are +100 on average with the GOP at -130.
Sep. 6: Hurricane Dorian gaffes haven’t impacted Trump’s odds much at all and the GOP is still a slight favorite.
Aug. 29: The Dems (-110) and the GOP (-120) are nearly even entering September. Good news for the blues.
Aug. 14: The odds have narrowed as of early August with the GOP falling from -160 to -130.
Jul. 17: The GOP is as short as its been during this election cycle, moving from slight-underdog status in late June to -160 favorite in mid-July.
Odds for Past US Presidential Candidates
Hillary Clinton made the wrong kind of history in 2016 when she became just the fifth US Presidential candidate to lose the election despite winning the popular vote. The former First Lady received nearly three million more popular votes than Trump, but carried ten fewer states and garnered 77 fewer electoral votes.
US Presidential Odds for Celebrity Candidates
Millennials may find this hard to believe, but Trump isn’t America’s first celebrity president. That honor belongs to Ronald Reagan, who starred in 80 films and television productions from 1937 to 1965. The “Great Communicator” was best known for roles like George Gipp in Knute Rockne, All American, and Jack Browning in The Killers.
The current crop of celebrities with political aspirations is highlighted by Oprah Winfrey, who has impressive clout and a net worth of $2.9 billion, and Dwayne Johnson, who confirmed he’s strongly considering a presidential run as recently as July. Both celebs have the resources and star power to drum up a ton of support at the polls.