2028 US Presidential Election Odds Tracker – Vance Favored Over Obama, Newsom, DeSantis

• See the early odds to win the 2028 Presidential election 
• Vice President-elect JD Vance has opened as the favorite to win the White House in 2028
• Use the graphs below to see how the 2028 presidential odds have changed over time

The next US Presidential Election will take place on Tuesday, Nov. Barring amendments to term limits, Donald Trump will not be eligible to run. At the outset, sportsbooks see 2028 as a wide-open race, with no single candidate shorter than +300. The graphs and tables, below, show the odds for all the 2028 presidential election favorites and longshots.

2028 US Presidential Odds

Vice President-elect JD Vance, a.k.a. the junior senator from Ohio, has opened as the favorite to win the 2028 US presidential election. Former First Lady Michelle Obama is second, despite never having held – or sought – public office.

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2028 Presidential Election Odds

Odds as of 10:46 pm ET, November 5, at William Hill. 

Timeline of Presidential Odds Movement

• November 6, 2024: soon-to-be Vice President JD Vance has opened at +300 (25% implied win probability) followed by Michelle Obama at +500 (16.67%) and Gavin Newsom at +550 (15.38%).

Winning Party Odds

Nov. 6, 2024: bet365 has opened the GOP as the -150 favorite to retain the White House in 2028.

Odds as of Nov. 6, 2024, at bet365.

Archived presidential election odds: 2024, 2020