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  • This year’s newly-promoted teams include Bournemouth, Nottingham Forest, and Fulham
  • Two of the three recently promoted three are odds-on favorites to be relegated
  • How many points have relegated teams finished with in recent seasons?

We’ve been tracking the English Premier League relegation odds for all 20 EPL teams since they became available. The graphs below are generated by averaging the odds from multiple sources and will be updated throughout the 2022/23 season.

EPL Relegation Odds for Championship Candidates

2023 English Premier League Relegation Odds

Team Odds
Bournemouth -135
Nottingham Forest -135
Fulham +120
Leeds +225
Brentford +275
Crystal Palace +400
Southampton +400
Wolves +550
Everton +600
Aston Villa +1000
Brighton +1200
Leicester +1400
Newcastle +1600
West Ham +2000
Chelsea +25000
Man U +25000
Tottenham +50000
Arsenal +50000
Man City +100000
Liverpool +100000

Odds as May 30

More notes on major line movements:

  • [5/30/22] Bournemouth (-135), Nottingham Forest (-135), and Fulham (+120) have all been promoted to the EPL, and all three are in the top favorites to suffer relegation in the early 2023 odds

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Leeds United who just avoided relegation season with a Matchday 38 win and 38 points in 17th place, is the first current EPL team favored for the drop at +225 odds.

Recently Relegated Teams and Points

Year Teams Points
2021-22 Burnley, Watford, Norwich 35, 23, 22
2020-21 Fulham, West Brom, Sheffield United 28, 26, 23
2019-20 Bournemouth, Watford, Norwich City 34, 34, 21
2018-19 Cardiff, Fulham, Huddersfield 34, 26, 16
2017-18 Swansea, Stoke, West Brom 33, 33, 31
2016-17 Hull, Middlesbrough, Sunderland 34, 28, 24
2015-16 Newcastle, Norwich, Aston Villa 37, 34, 17
2014-15 Hull, Burnley, QPR 35, 33, 30
2013-14 Norwich, Fulham, Cardiff 33, 32, 30
2012-13 Wigan, Reading, QPR 36, 28, 25
2011-12 Bolton, Blackburn, Wolverhampton 36, 31, 25
2010-11 Birmingham, Blackpool, West Ham 39, 39, 33
2009-10 Burnley, Hull, Portsmouth 30, 30, 19

Fulham finished atop of the Championship table in 2022 with 90 points and a 27-9-10 record. Bournemouth finished right behind in second with 88 points. Both earned automatic promotion to the Premier League for the 2022/23 season.

Nottingham was fourth in the Championship with 80 points and needed to go through the promotion playoffs to earn their spot. They first advanced 4-3 on aggregate over two legs versus Sheffield United. That set up a playoff final against Huddersfield that saw them win 1-0.

The promotion playoff final is known as the “most valuable game in soccer worldwide”. This is because the profit earned for participating in the EPL is massive. Nottingham is instantly entitled to $200 million for earning promotion.


Archived EPL Relegation Odds: 2021/22, 2020/21, 2019/20

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Ryan is SBD's resident soccer pro, though his repertoire is by no means limited to a single sport. His articles have been published by the Canadian Hockey League (CHL), Ontario Hockey League (OHL), and the Kitchener Rangers, and outlets like SportsXpress and Shredthespread.com