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  • This year’s newly-promoted teams include Luton Town, Sheffield United and Burnley
  • Of those three, Luton Town are heavily favored to finish last and be relegated this season
  • How many points have relegated teams finished with in recent seasons?

We’ve been tracking the English Premier League relegation odds for all 20 EPL teams since they became available. The graphs below are generated by averaging the odds from multiple sources and will be updated throughout the 2023/24 season.

EPL Relegation Odds for Championship Candidates

2024 English Premier League Relegation Odds

Team Odds
Luton Town -330
Sheffield United -150
Burnley +250
Bournemouth +250
Nottingham Forest +275
Wolves +300
Everton +300
Fulham +350
Crystal Palace +600
Brentford +800
West Ham +1400
Brighton +4000
Aston Villa +5000
Tottenham +10000
Newcastle +20000
Chelsea +20000
Man City +40000
Man United +50000
Liverpool +50000
Arsenal +50000

Newcomers Luton Town, Sheffield United and Burnley are all favored to suffer relegation this year. Odds as July 25 at DraftKings Sportsbook

More notes on major line movements:

  • [Jul 25] Luton Town are easily the biggest favorites to go back to the Championship with odds of -330 for relegation. Sheffield at -150 and Burnley and Bournemouth at +250 are next in in the relegation odds


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The first EPL team from last season to show up in the relegation odds is Bournemouth who actually start with the same odds as Burnley at +250. Bournemouth was 15th in the Premier League last season at 11-8-21. They finished with 39 points, five above Leicester who fell into the final relegation place.

Recently Relegated Teams and Points

Year Teams Points
2022/23 Leicester, Leeds, Southampton 34, 31, 25
2021-22 Burnley, Watford, Norwich 35, 23, 22
2020-21 Fulham, West Brom, Sheffield United 28, 26, 23
2019-20 Bournemouth, Watford, Norwich City 34, 34, 21
2018-19 Cardiff, Fulham, Huddersfield 34, 26, 16
2017-18 Swansea, Stoke, West Brom 33, 33, 31
2016-17 Hull, Middlesbrough, Sunderland 34, 28, 24
2015-16 Newcastle, Norwich, Aston Villa 37, 34, 17
2014-15 Hull, Burnley, QPR 35, 33, 30
2013-14 Norwich, Fulham, Cardiff 33, 32, 30
2012-13 Wigan, Reading, QPR 36, 28, 25
2011-12 Bolton, Blackburn, Wolverhampton 36, 31, 25
2010-11 Birmingham, Blackpool, West Ham 39, 39, 33
2009-10 Burnley, Hull, Portsmouth 30, 30, 19

35 points is what it took to stay in the Prem last season, something that Leicester (34), Leeds (31) and Southampton (25) failed to accomplish. They’ll be playing in the EFL Championship this season.

Joining the EPL this season is is Luton Town, Sheffield United and Burnley.

Burnley returns after a short relegation stint of just one season. They finished atop the Championship table at 29-14-3 and 101 points.

Sheffield were second at 28-7-11 with 91 points and Luton Town were third at 21-17-8 and 80 points.

Archived EPL Relegation Odds: 2022/23, 2021/22, 2020/21, 2019/20

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Ryan is SBD's resident soccer pro, though his repertoire is by no means limited to a single sport. His articles have been published by the Canadian Hockey League (CHL), Ontario Hockey League (OHL), and the Kitchener Rangers, and outlets like SportsXpress and Shredthespread.com