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  • This year’s newly-promoted teams include Norwich, Watford and Brentford. Will any of them survive the drop?
  • Norwich, Newcastle and Watford are still among the favorites to go back down
  • How many points have relegated teams finished within recent seasons?

We’ve been tracking the English Premier League relegation odds for all 20 EPL teams since they became available. The graphs below are generated by averaging the odds from multiple sources and will be updated throughout the 2021/22 season.

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EPL Relegation Odds for Championship Candidates

2022 English Premier League Relegation Odds

Team Odds
Norwich -500
Newcastle -138
Watford -120
Burnley -110
Leeds +300
Brentford +600
Southampton +700
Crystal Palace +1200
Aston Villa +1200
Everton +1200
Brighton +2000
Wolverhampton +3300
Leicester +500
Tottenham +20000
Arsenal +50000
West Ham United +50000
Man United +75000
Liverpool +100000
Chelsea +200000
Man City +250000

Odds as Nov 29

More notes on major line movements:

  • [11/29/21] Sitting in 11th place in the table, Crystal Palace is now seen as a longshot to be relegated, with odds of +1200, much longer than the +225 they were at earlier in the season
  • [9/30/21] From +275 odds in early August, Newcastle are now second-favorites to be relegated with odds of +100 after a 0-3-3 start to the season
  • [8/11/21] All three promoted sides are favored to be relegated to start the season with Norwich and Watford at -110 and Brentford at +100 odds

After the three promoted teams, it’s Crystal Palace who finished last season at just 12-8-18 (WDL) and 44 points who are expected to suffer relegation.

Recently Relegated Teams and Points

Year Teams Points
2020-21 Fulham, West Brom, Sheffield United 28, 26, 23
2019-20 Bournemouth, Watford, Norwich City 34, 34, 21
2018-19 Cardiff, Fulham, Huddersfield 34, 26, 16
2017-18 Swansea, Stoke, West Brom 33, 33, 31
2016-17 Hull, Middlesbrough, Sunderland 34, 28, 24
2015-16 Newcastle, Norwich, Aston Villa 37, 34, 17
2014-15 Hull, Burnley, QPR 35, 33, 30
2013-14 Norwich, Fulham, Cardiff 33, 32, 30
2012-13 Wigan, Reading, QPR 36, 28, 25
2011-12 Bolton, Blackburn, Wolverhampton 36, 31, 25
2010-11 Birmingham, Blackpool, West Ham 39, 39, 33
2009-10 Burnley, Hull, Portsmouth 30, 30, 19

Last year in the Championship it was Norwich who claimed the title with 97 points, followed by Watford with 91. Those teams earned automatic promotion. While Brentford finished with 87 points in third and needed to earn promotion through the Promotion Playoff. This will be their first time playing in the Premier League since 1947.


Archived EPL Relegation Odds: 2020/21, 2019/20

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Ryan is SBD's resident soccer pro, though his repertoire is by no means limited to a single sport. His articles have been published by the Canadian Hockey League (CHL), Ontario Hockey League (OHL), and the Kitchener Rangers, and outlets like SportsXpress and Shredthespread.com