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  • This year’s newly-promoted teams include Norwich, Watford and Brentford. Will any of them survive the drop?
  • All three are favored to go right back down to the Championship
  • How many points have relegated teams finished within recent seasons?

We’ve been tracking the English Premier League relegation odds for all 20 EPL teams since they became available. The graphs below are generated by averaging the odds from multiple sources and will be updated throughout the 2021/22 season.

EPL Relegation Odds for Championship Candidates

2022 English Premier League Relegation Odds

Team Odds
Norwich -110
Watford -110
Brentford +100
Crystal Palace +175
Burnley +225
Newcastle +225
Southampton +400
Wolves +500
Brighton +700
Aston VIlla +800
Leeds +1000
West Ham +1000
Everton +2500
Arsenal +6600
Leicester +6600
Tottenham +10000
Chelsea +100000
Liverpool +100000
Man U +100000
Man City +150000

Odds as August 11 

More notes on major line movements:

  • [8/11/21] All three promoted sides are favored to be relegated to start the season with Norwich and Watford at -110 and Brentford at +100 odds

After the three promoted teams, it’s Crystal Palace who finished last season at just 12-8-18 (WDL) and 44 points who are expected to suffer relegation.

Recently Relegated Teams and Points

Year Teams Points
2020-21 Fulham, West Brom, Sheffield United 28, 26, 23
2019-20 Bournemouth, Watford, Norwich City 34, 34, 21
2018-19 Cardiff, Fulham, Huddersfield 34, 26, 16
2017-18 Swansea, Stoke, West Brom 33, 33, 31
2016-17 Hull, Middlesbrough, Sunderland 34, 28, 24
2015-16 Newcastle, Norwich, Aston Villa 37, 34, 17
2014-15 Hull, Burnley, QPR 35, 33, 30
2013-14 Norwich, Fulham, Cardiff 33, 32, 30
2012-13 Wigan, Reading, QPR 36, 28, 25
2011-12 Bolton, Blackburn, Wolverhampton 36, 31, 25
2010-11 Birmingham, Blackpool, West Ham 39, 39, 33
2009-10 Burnley, Hull, Portsmouth 30, 30, 19

Last year in the Championship it was Norwich who claimed the title with 97 points, followed by Watford with 91. Those teams earned automatic promotion. While Brentford finished with 87 points in third and needed to earn promotion through the Promotion Playoff. This will be their first time playing in the Premier League since 1947.


Archived EPL Relegation Odds: 2020/21, 2019/20

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Ryan is SBD's resident soccer pro, though his repertoire is by no means limited to a single sport. His articles have been published by the Canadian Hockey League (CHL), Ontario Hockey League (OHL), and the Kitchener Rangers, and outlets like SportsXpress and Shredthespread.com