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  • This year’s newly-promoted teams include West Brom, Fulham and Leeds. Will any of them survive the drop?
  • Three teams, West Brom, Fulham and Sheffield United are currently odds-on for the drop
  • How many points have relegated teams finished within recent seasons?

We’ve been tracking the English Premier League relegation odds for all 20 EPL teams since they became available. The graphs below are generated by averaging the odds from multiple sources and will be updated throughout the 2020/21 season.

EPL Relegation Odds for Championship Candidates

2021 English Premier League Relegation Odds

Team Odds
Sheffield United -835
West Brom -670
Fulham -106
Newcastle +120
Brighton +500
Burnley +600
Crystal Palace +1000
Wolves +2500
Leeds United +3300
Southampton +20000
Arsenal +30000
Aston Villa +30000
West Ham +30000
Everton +50000
Chelsea +100000
Leicester City +100000
Tottenham +100000
Liverpool +200000
Manchester United +200000
Man City +300000

Odds taken Jan 28

More notes on major line movements:

  • [1/28/21] Struggling Newcastle have seen their relegation odds from +400 to +129
  • [12/22/20] Now winless after 14 rounds, Sheffield United’s relegation odds have shortened from -208 to -690
  • [12/2/20] Still winless after ten rounds, Sheffield United’s relegation odds have shortened from +115 to -208
  • [11/3/20] With Fulham defeating fellow relegation favorite West Brom 2-0 on November 2, their relegation odds have improved from -411 last month to -258 today
  • [10/6/20] Both winless, each of Fulham -411 on average and West Brom -200 on average are now big favorites to be relegated. Aston Villa meanwhile, are currently second in the table and have seen their odds drop to +800, well out of the relegation favorites
  • [9/4/20] The early favorites for relegation this season are Fulham and West Brom (average odds of +103) as well as Aston Villa (+183)

Two of the three promoted sides this season are tipped to go right back down to the Championship in West Brom and Fulham. While the third, Leeds, is actually an early favorite for a strong season. Leeds enters the season with +15000 odds to win the title, +1200 odds to finish in the top six and -200 odds to be the top newcomer in the league.

Recently Relegated Teams and Points

Year Teams Points
2019-20 Bournemouth, Watford, Norwich City 34, 34, 21
2018-19 Cardiff, Fulham, Huddersfield 34, 26, 16
2017-18 Swansea, Stoke, West Brom 33, 33, 31
2016-17 Hull, Middlesbrough, Sunderland 34, 28, 24
2015-16 Newcastle, Norwich, Aston Villa 37, 34, 17
2014-15 Hull, Burnley, QPR 35, 33, 30
2013-14 Norwich, Fulham, Cardiff 33, 32, 30
2012-13 Wigan, Reading, QPR 36, 28, 25
2011-12 Bolton, Blackburn, Wolverhampton 36, 31, 25
2010-11 Birmingham, Blackpool, West Ham 39, 39, 33
2009-10 Burnley, Hull, Portsmouth 30, 30, 19

Leeds United ran away with the EFL Championship title last season with 93 points, ten more than second-place West Brom. Brentford, Fulham, Cardiff and Swansea entered the four-team playoff with Fulham coming out on top in a 2-1 win over Brentford in the promotion playoff final.

Having just barely dodged relegation last season with 35 points and finishing 17th, Aston Villa are among the favorites to be relegated this year.

Fulham is returning to the EPL after just one season in the Championship and will be hoping for a better result this time. The 2018/19 season saw them finish 19th with just 26 points.

Archived EPL Relegation Odds: 2019/20

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Ryan is SBD's resident soccer pro, though his repertoire is by no means limited to a single sport. His articles have been published by the Canadian Hockey League (CHL), Ontario Hockey League (OHL), and the Kitchener Rangers, and outlets like SportsXpress and Shredthespread.com