Upcoming Match-ups
  • This year’s newly-promoted teams include Bournemouth, Nottingham Forest, and Fulham
  • Bournemouth and Southampton look the most likely candidates for relegation
  • How many points have relegated teams finished with in recent seasons?

We’ve been tracking the English Premier League relegation odds for all 20 EPL teams since they became available. The graphs below are generated by averaging the odds from multiple sources and will be updated throughout the 2022/23 season.

EPL Relegation Odds for Championship Candidates

2023 English Premier League Relegation Odds

Team Odds
Bournemouth -300
Southampton -250
Everton +110
Nottingham Forest +190
Leeds +200
Wolves +400
West Ham +700
Leicester +800
Crystal Palace +900
Aston Villa +6500
Chelsea +15000
Fulham +25000
Brentford +25000
Liverpool +50000
Brighton +80000
Newcastle +100000
Tottenham +100000

Odds as February 28 at DraftKings Sportsbook

More notes on major line movements:

  • [Feb 28] A win over Southampton last weekend has pulled Leeds out of the bottom three and moved their relegation odds to +200
  • [Feb 23] Bournemouth and Southampton are heavy favorites for the drop as February comes to a close in the EPL
  • [Dec 20] With the EPL set to resume on Boxing Day, each of Nottingham Forest, Bournemouth and Wolves are odds-on for relegation
  • [Oct 25] As October winds down it is Nottingham Forest and Bournemouth at odds-on, -225 and -200 to suffer relegation. After a 2-3-7 start, Wolves are 19th in the table and have +130 odds for the drop
  • [Aug 3] Nottingham Forest is getting some love from bettors, at their relegation odds have lengthened from -132 to +123. Meanwhile, Bournemouth have become heavier favorites to go down at -225, where they were once -149
  • [May 30] Bournemouth (-135), Nottingham Forest (-135), and Fulham (+120) have all been promoted to the EPL, and all three are in the top favorites to suffer relegation in the early 2023 odds


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Leeds United who just avoided relegation season with a Matchday 38 win and 38 points in 17th place, is the first current EPL team favored for the drop at +225 odds.

Recently Relegated Teams and Points

Year Teams Points
2021-22 Burnley, Watford, Norwich 35, 23, 22
2020-21 Fulham, West Brom, Sheffield United 28, 26, 23
2019-20 Bournemouth, Watford, Norwich City 34, 34, 21
2018-19 Cardiff, Fulham, Huddersfield 34, 26, 16
2017-18 Swansea, Stoke, West Brom 33, 33, 31
2016-17 Hull, Middlesbrough, Sunderland 34, 28, 24
2015-16 Newcastle, Norwich, Aston Villa 37, 34, 17
2014-15 Hull, Burnley, QPR 35, 33, 30
2013-14 Norwich, Fulham, Cardiff 33, 32, 30
2012-13 Wigan, Reading, QPR 36, 28, 25
2011-12 Bolton, Blackburn, Wolverhampton 36, 31, 25
2010-11 Birmingham, Blackpool, West Ham 39, 39, 33
2009-10 Burnley, Hull, Portsmouth 30, 30, 19

Fulham finished atop of the Championship table in 2022 with 90 points and a 27-9-10 record. Bournemouth finished right behind in second with 88 points. Both earned automatic promotion to the Premier League for the 2022/23 season.

Nottingham was fourth in the Championship with 80 points and needed to go through the promotion playoffs to earn their spot. They first advanced 4-3 on aggregate over two legs versus Sheffield United. That set up a playoff final against Huddersfield that saw them win 1-0.

The promotion playoff final is known as the “most valuable game in soccer worldwide”. This is because the profit earned for participating in the EPL is massive. Nottingham is instantly entitled to $200 million for earning promotion.

Archived EPL Relegation Odds: 2021/22, 2020/21, 2019/20

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Ryan is SBD's resident soccer pro, though his repertoire is by no means limited to a single sport. His articles have been published by the Canadian Hockey League (CHL), Ontario Hockey League (OHL), and the Kitchener Rangers, and outlets like SportsXpress and Shredthespread.com