Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers Predictions, Picks Odds & Player Props (Aug 27)

• The Los Angeles Dodgers look to continue their home dominance against a Cincinnati Reds team that has struggled on the road.
• A compelling pitching matchup features Shohei Ohtani for the Dodgers against the Reds’ Nick Lodolo, who has posted strong numbers this season.
• Betting trends strongly favor a low-scoring affair, with the under hitting in the last seven head-to-head matchups between these two clubs.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (76-57, 43-24 home, 63-63-4 O/U), behind their two-way superstar Shohei Ohtani (0-1, 4.61 ERA), look to complete a three-game sweep of Nick Lodolo (8-6, 3.05 ERA) and the visiting Cincinnati Reds (68-65, 32-36 away, 49-76-7 O/U) when the teams in Chavez Ravine on Wednesday, August 27. First pitch is scheduled 5:40 pm PT/8:40 pm ET.

Lodolo has been a bright spot in the Cincinnati rotation, providing quality innings and a high strikeout rate. However, he faces a formidable Dodgers lineup that boasts power and plate discipline from top to bottom. Cincinnati has struggled to find its footing away from home, particularly against winning teams, and will need an ace performance from Lodolo to contend with the NL West leaders, who are riding a five-game home win streak.

This article will break down the odds, dive into key player props, and provide a comprehensive betting prediction for Reds vs Dodgers.

Go to: Odds | Pitcher-vs-Batter History | Player Props | Picks

Dodgers vs Reds Odds

The Dodgers are significant home favorites on Wednesday, which is no surprise given their record at home this season and Cincinnati’s sub-.500 road performance. The vig-free moneyline gives Los Angeles a 64.3% implied win probability, compared to just 35.7% for Cincinnati. The runline offers plus-money value for bettors confident in a multi-run Dodger victory. The total is set at a 8.0 runs, with slight juice on the over.

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CIN vs LAD Odds Movement

The betting market has seen some noteworthy adjustments since the lines opened. The moneyline has only seen a minor shift, with the Dodgers moving from -208 to -206, a slight drift indicating some money coming in on the underdog Reds. The most significant movement occurred on the runline, where the Reds +1.5 moved from -115 to -123, suggesting that sharper action is backing Cincinnati’s ability to keep the game close.

Perhaps the most telling adjustment is on the total, which opened at 8.5 runs and has since dropped to 8.0. This half-run move downward, despite 82% of public bets coming in on the over, is a classic case of reverse line movement. This suggests that sharp, respected bettors are targeting the under, likely influenced by Lodolo’s season-long metrics.

The Dodgers’ extensive injury list, particularly in the bullpen, has not deterred oddsmakers from installing them as heavy favorites, but the line movement points to a more competitive, lower-scoring game than the public anticipates.

Lodolo vs Ohtani: Starting Pitcher-vs-Batter History

Both lineups have roughly the same level of experience against the opposing starter. The Reds have 32 career at-bats against Ohtani, while the Dodgers have 27 at-bats against Lodolo. Unfortunately for home-run bettors, no player on either team has taken the opposing starter yard.

Cincinnati Reds Career Statistics vs Shohei Ohtani

Ohtani has certainly gotten the better of the Reds lineup so far, allowing just a .219 average and .536 OPS in 32 total at-bats. Only one of the seven hits he’s allowed was for extra bases (a double by former Dodger Gavin Lux). Cincinnati catcher Jose Trevino is just 1-for-6 with three strikeouts.

Los Angeles Dodgers Career Statistics vs Nick Lodolo

The Dodgers have a much better average against Lodolo, compiling an elite .296 BA in 27 at-bats. They have generated no power against the 6’6 lefty, though. All eight of their hits are singles, and Lodolo has a 12-to-3 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Alex Call has the only RBI.

Dodgers vs Reds Player Props

Pitcher walks odds from bet365. All other MLB player props from DraftKings.

Ohtani’s strikeout line of 5.5 seems attainable against a Reds lineup that can be prone to the punchout, making the over at -120 an intriguing play. On the other side, Lodolo’s line is set at a modest 4.5 strikeouts. While the plus-money on the over is tempting given his season-long performance, he’s facing a disciplined Dodgers lineup and is just returning from a blister issue, which could limit his effectiveness. The under at -150 is the safer bet.

On the hitter side, Freddie Freeman has an excellent history against Lodolo (2-for-3) and is a strong candidate to exceed 1.5 total bases at +105. For the Reds, Elly De La Cruz’s speed makes him a constant threat to get a hit, and his line of over 0.5 hits at -170 is a solid parlay piece.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds Picks & Prediction

• Under 8.0 runs (-103)
• De La Cruz over 0.5 hits (-170)

The pith of this matchup lies on the mound, where two talented pitchers take the stage. Ohtani, despite a 4.61 ERA since coming back from injury in mid-June, possesses elite swing-and-miss stuff that can dominate any lineup. However, his command has wavered at times this season, leading to inflated pitch counts. He faces a Reds team that has struggled mightily on the road, especially against contenders. Cincinnati is just 1-6 in its last seven games as a road underdog.

For the Reds, Lodolo has been excellent, posting a 3.05 ERA and providing a steady presence. He is returning from a brief IL stint due to a finger blister, which adds a layer of uncertainty against the potent Dodgers offense.

The betting trends for this game are overwhelmingly strong in one direction: the under. The total has gone under in the last seven head-to-head meetings between these clubs. Furthermore, the under has cashed in seven straight Reds road games against opponents with a winning record. With the total dropping from 8.5 to 8.0 despite heavy action on the over in the MLB public betting splits, it’s clear that sharp money is anticipating a pitcher’s duel.