Suns vs Heat Player Props to Bet on Jan. 13

• Miami’s defensive scheme creates a golden opportunity for Suns perimeter shooters
• The Heat surrender 40.1 opponent three-point attempts per game.
• We analyze all available props & the latest odds

The Phoenix Suns travel to Miami to face the Heat tonight. Tip-off is at 7:30 pm, ET) (FDSSUN and AZFamily).

The Heat are 1.5-point favorites at home, but we’re not focusing on that outcome.

We’re here to find the best value involving player props.

Can Devin Booker’s offensive brilliance overcome Miami’s ball-hawking defense, or will the Heat’s collective effort and home court advantage prove decisive? This breakdown examines the key statistical edges, recent performance trends, and identifies the sharpest player prop opportunities.

Player Props & Betting Lines for Suns vs Heat

The prop market offers numerous angles with star players like Devin Booker and Bam Adebayo headlining the action.

Phoenix Suns Player Props

Miami Heat Player Props

Props based on consensus sportsbooks on January 13

Notable Line Movement & Market Analysis

Devin Booker‘s scoring line shows interesting market disparity, with DraftKings and BetRivers posting 25.5 while the consensus sits at 26.5. This variance suggests differing opinions on his offensive output against Miami’s defensive scheme.

Bam Adebayo‘s points total has climbed from its 14.5 opening at MGM and William Hill New Jersey to the current 15.5 consensus. Early sharp money appears confident in Adebayo’s expanded scoring role against Phoenix’s interior defense.

Tyler Herro‘s three-point made line presents compelling contrarian value. While set at a standard 2.5, the under carries heavy juice at -186, indicating market skepticism about his perimeter shooting in this matchup. The over provides attractive plus-money at +138 for bettors believing Herro can exploit Phoenix’s perimeter defense.

Best Player Prop Bets and Predictions

Statistical matchups and recent performance trends reveal two compelling prop opportunities that capitalize on specific team vulnerabilities and player strengths.

Best Bet: Royce O’Neale Over 2.5 Made Threes (-134) via BetMGM

This selection directly exploits Miami’s primary defensive vulnerability. The Heat’s aggressive turnover-hunting scheme consistently leaves them exposed on the perimeter, surrendering 40.1 opponent three-point attempts per game. O’Neale enters this matchup in scorching form from beyond the arc.

Supporting Trends:

• Over his past 5 games, O’Neale has averaged 3.8 made threes on 8.4 attempts, which is above this 2.5 line.
• Across his last 10 games, he maintains a 3.2 made three average on 7.1 attempts per contest
• Against teams allowing 38+ three-point attempts per game this season, O’Neale often performs well from beyond the arc.

With Miami’s defense forced to account for Booker’s scoring threat, secondary shooters like O’Neale benefit from defensive rotations and help scenarios. His recent volume and efficiency suggest continued success against Miami’s vulnerable perimeter coverage.

BETMGM SPORTSBOOK

Offer

T&Cs

Get a $50 BetMGM Rewards Bonus & Up To $1,500 Paid Back in Bonus Bets!

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US), Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This promotional offer is not available in DC, MS, NY, NV, ON, or PR.

LOCK IN PROMO

CODE: SBD1550

CODE: SBD1550

SIGNUP BONUS

GET $50 BETMGM
REWARDS POINTS

+ UP TO $1,500 BACK!

BET NOW

Best Bet: Jaime Jaquez Jr. Over 13.5 Points (-105) via DraftKings

Jaquez Jr. presents excellent value against Phoenix’s defense, particularly considering his home-court advantage and potential increased usage if Norman Powell remains sidelined.

Supporting Trends:

• In 17 home games this season, Jaquez Jr. averages 16.1 points, clearing his 13.5 line in 12 of 17 contests (71% success rate)
• Over his past 10 games, he’s averaged 16.4 points despite some recent quiet performances
• Against teams allowing 115+ points per game (Phoenix’s defensive profile), Jaquez Jr. frequently scores above his average
• He generates 10.4 paint points per game at home, an area where Phoenix shows defensive vulnerability

The most compelling factor remains Powell’s questionable status. If Powell sits or plays limited minutes due to his back issue, Jaquez Jr. will almost certainly see increased offensive responsibility, making this line even more attractive given his consistent home production.

DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK

Offer

T&Cs

Sign Up Today & Receive Up to
$1,050 in Bonuses!

GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/WY). Void in ONT/OR/NH. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino & Resort (KS).

LOCK IN PROMO

SIGNUP PROMO

SIGN UP
& GET $1,050

BONUS BETS + DEPOSIT BONUS

GET PROMO

Team Strengths & Weaknesses Analysis

Phoenix Suns

Biggest Strength: Offensive Rebounding and Three-Point Volume. The Suns thrive on second chances and perimeter bombardment. Their 12.9 offensive rebounds per game ranks among the league’s elite, extending possessions and creating additional scoring opportunities. This tenacity translates into 39.7 three-point attempts per contest, providing ample opportunities for their shooters to find rhythm.

Player Prop Correlation: This offensive philosophy directly enhances the value of three-point props for Allen (2.5) and Booker (1.5). The high attempt volume creates natural over opportunities, while the offensive rebounding prowess supports frontcourt rebound props like Oso Ighodaro’s 4.5 total.

Biggest Weakness: Turnover Troubles. Phoenix’s Achilles’ heel remains ball security, coughing up 15.5 turnovers per game.

Player Prop Correlation: This weakness creates prime opportunities for Miami’s defensive props, particularly steals totals for active defenders like Andrew Wiggins and Jaime Jaquez Jr., who will aggressively pressure Phoenix’s ballhandlers.

Miami Heat

Biggest Strength: Creating Chaos and Disruption. The Heat force 16.2 opponent turnovers per game, ranking in the NBA’s top five. This stems from aggressive perimeter pressure generating 9.3 steals per contest, allowing them to score 20.5 points off turnovers and control game tempo through defensive intensity.

Player Prop Correlation: Miami’s defensive strength directly conflicts with Phoenix’s primary weakness, making steals props for Heat guards particularly attractive. Players like Andrew Wiggins and Norman Powell are positioned to capitalize on the Suns’ high turnover rate.

Biggest Weakness: Surrendering Perimeter Attempts. Miami’s high-risk defensive approach leaves them vulnerable to three-point barrages. Opponents attempt 40.1 threes per game against the Heat, one of the league’s highest rates. While they limit opponents to 34.5% from deep, allowing such volume against capable shooting teams like Phoenix creates dangerous exposure.

Player Prop Correlation: This defensive tendency creates massive opportunity for Suns shooters. The expected high attempt volume makes three-point overs for Booker (1.5) and Allen (2.5) primary betting targets, with Allen particularly well-positioned for clean looks as Miami’s defense scrambles to cover multiple threats.

Injury Report & Prop Market Impact

The availability of key players will influence Tuesday’s prop landscape.

Miami Heat

Norman Powell (Questionable – Back): Powell’s back issue represents the evening’s most critical injury variable. His potential absence would dramatically reshape Miami’s offensive hierarchy, increasing touches and shot attempts for Tyler Herro and Andrew Wiggins. If Powell sits, their respective points props become significantly more attractive. Even if active, his effectiveness may be compromised, bringing his under props into consideration.

Phoenix Suns

Jalen Green (Out – Hamstring) and Jamaree Bouyea (Out – Concussion Protocol) remain sidelined, but these absences are already factored into current rotations and prop lines. Their continued absence solidifies minutes distribution for active guards like Booker, Allen, and Jordan Goodwin.

Game Odds and Betting Information

The betting market anticipates a closely contested affair that could be decided in the final possessions.

Spread and Total:

• Miami Heat -1.5 (+102)
• Over/Under 230.5 (-110/-110)
• Moneyline: Miami Heat -114 | Phoenix Suns -105

The Heat enter as slight home chalk, with the 1.5-point spread indicating oddsmakers expect minimal separation. The nearly pick’em moneyline pricing reinforces the competitive nature of this matchup.

The tight spread and competitive odds create an environment where individual player performances will likely determine the outcome, making player props particularly attractive for this evenly matched contest.