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EPL Betting – Odds to Finish Top Four

Zack Garrison

by Zack Garrison in News

Updated Jan 17, 2018 · 9:39 AM PST

With six games remaining for most teams in the English Premier League, the fight for the top four spots – which come with automatic UEFA Champions League berths next season – has become fierce. Seven teams – Chelsea, Arsenal, Man United, Man City, Liverpool, Southampton, and Tottenham – have a real shot at getting to the ultimate European competition next year, but three of them will find themselves on the outside looking in come year’s end.

Let’s take a look at the odds.

Chelsea: Off

Chelsea leads the standings seven points second-place Arsenal. The Blues could still, mathematically, fail to finish in the top four. But they are 1/50 to win the title and 1/5000 to finish in the top two.  Any less than a Championship ended will be a huge failure to the Blues. Consider them a lock for next year’s Champions League.

Arsenal: 1/100

Arsenal will need a lot of help from Chelsea to make a run at the title, but their Champions League participation looks pretty safe. The Gunners are nine points clear of fifth-place Liverpool with just 18 points left on offer. That’s why they’re 1/100 to finish inside the top four.

Man United: 1/33

United have made an impressive run from the middle of the table and now sit third, just one point back of second-place Arsenal. A convincing 4-2 drubbing of City last weekend all but assured their place in the top four. The Red Devils do still have to face Chelsea (away) and the Gunners (home) before the year closes, but they’re 1/33 favorites to reach the UCL.

Man City: 1/10

Man City followed up a torrid start with a hugely disappointing second half. The Citizens are the highest scoring team in the Premier League, but an 2-0-4 record in their last six has seen them fall to fourth in the table. They still have a four-point cushion on fifth-place Liverpool, though, and are four back of United, giving them 1/10 odds to finish top four.

Liverpool: 5/1

Liverpool are four points below Manchester City and need to make a huge run in the last six games to knock out their hated rivals. The Reds have a favorable schedule – save for a game at Stamford Bridge – but don’t face the Citizens in the final six. With significant ground to make up, Liverpool are 5/1 to get to the UCL positions.

Southampton: 20/1

Southampton are one point back of Liverpool and, thus, five back of City and the coveted top four. Like the Reds, they’ll need some help to get to Champions League. The Saints do face Man City in the last game of the season – which could wind up being a battle for fourth place. Unfortunately for Southampton, the game is in Manchester. All of the above adds up to the Saints being 20/1 long-shots to reach the top four by season’s end.

That said, the team has still exceeded expectations this year and a Europa League ticket should be seen as a major accomplishment.

Tottenham: 80/1

Tottenham are on 54 points, seven back of Man City. Like Liverpool, they don’t have any games remaining against City so won’t be able to gain ground that way. Their defense is also the worst amongst the top seven teams in the standings. With four of their six remaining games coming away from home, Spurs are 80/1 to finish in the top four.

 

(Photo credit: Paul (flickr) [https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/legalcode]. Image has been cropped.)

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