Tigers vs Royals Odds & Picks (July 11)

• The Tigers vs Royals odds favor KC as -145 moneyline favorites on Monday (July 11, 2:10pm ET)
• Detroit will send Michael Pineda (2-3, 3.62 ERA) to the mound, while KC will counter with Brad Keller (4-9, 4.37 ERA)
• Read below for the Tigers vs Royals odds, analysis and betting prediction

It’s a battle of AL Central bottom-feeders on Monday, as the Tigers and Royals play not one, but two games at Kauffman Stadium.

The division rivals are a combined 33 games under .500 entering play, and despite being four wins short of Detroit in the win column, it’s KC who opened as the home chalk in Game 1.

Tigers vs Royals Odds

Odds as of July 10th at Caesars Sportsbook. See available Caesars Sportsbook promo code. 

The Royals opened up as a -145 moneyline favorite in a game with a total of 9.5. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm ET, with clear skies and 93 degree game-time temperatures in the forecast.

Detroit vs Kansas City Starting Pitchers

The Tigers, who boast one of the 10 longest prices in the World Series odds, will give the ball to Michael Pineda. The right-hander has pitched well for most of the season, allowing two runs or less in four of six starts.

He’s fresh off 5 innings of two-run ball in a victory over Cleveland, and held KC to seven hits and three runs over 5 innings when he faced them 10 days ago.

Final line for #Tigers RHP Michael Pineda: 5.0 IP, 7 H, 3 R, 3 ER, 0 BB, 3 K. 65 pitches, 41 strikes. Two solo home runs allowed.

Jason Foley enters.

— Evan Petzold (@EvanPetzold) July 2, 2022

Royals batters are hitting just .202 versus Pineda over 69 career at-bats, with a minuscule .214 OBP.

Pineda vs Keller

KC, who’s tied with a few other teams for the longest MLB divisional odds, will counter with Brad Keller. The 26-year-old has alternated good and bad outings over the past few weeks, struggling against Houston last time out.

Pretty gritty performance from Brad Keller. Now to turn it over to the worst bullpen in the American League.

— Royals Review (@royalsreview) July 7, 2022

Keller allowed five hits and four runs to the mighty Astros over 5.2 innings, after dominating Detroit five days prior. He held the Tigers scoreless over 6 innings, while striking out five.

Tigers vs Royals Betting Analysis

If you like offense, this might not be the game for you. Detroit and KC are the AL’s second and third lowest scoring teams, and owners of the second and third worst run differentials.

Its 11-0 in the 4th with 1 out

The Kansas City Royals front office are a disgrace to Baseball pic.twitter.com/n4mJcJrTlL

— Brendan (@bmumm19) July 9, 2022

The Tigers looked like they may be turning a corner after a season long six-game winning streak last week, but they came crashing back down to earth on the weekend. Detroit scored just two runs total over Saturday and Sunday, losing by a combined score of 12-2 to the White Sox. They managed only 11 hits over the two days and were 0-for-5 with runners in scoring position.

Detroit and KC have played six times already this season with only one of those meetings exceeding seven runs. Low scoring games between these two division rivals have been commonplace dating back to last season, as 10 of their past 12 matchups have failed to clear seven runs.

DET vs KC Last 10 Meetings

Tigers vs Royals Pick

Detroit has been an under bettor’s best friend all season, while the Royals have been trending in that direction lately as well.

13 of the Tigers past 19 games have failed to clear the total, while the under is hitting in 66.7% of their road games in 2022 (24-12-2).

KC meanwhile, has seen 16 of 25 games fail to eclipse the total, while the under is 19-13-2 in their divisional matchups this season.

Offense will be at a premium on Monday, so play under 9.5 and do so quickly. The juice is already shaded to that side and this number could be even lower by game time.

Pick: Under 9.5 (-115)