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Yankees vs Blue Jays Odds & Picks (Sep. 28)

John Perrotto

By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Published:


Aaron Judge high-fiving Gleyber Torres
Sep 27, 2022; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; New York Yankees right fielder Aaron Judge (99) celebrates with second baseman Gleyber Torres (25) after the Yankees defeated the Toronto Blue Jays to win the inning at Rogers Centre. Mandatory Credit: Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Yankees are -125 road favorites over the Blue Jays on Wednesday night
  • Gerrit Cole (12-7, 3.49) will pitch for the Yankees against the Blue Jays’ Mitch White (1-6, 5.12)
  • A look at Yankees vs Blue Jays odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction

A night after clinching the American League East title, the New York Yankees visit the Toronto Blue Jays at 7:07 p.m. ET Wednesday in the finale of a three-game series at Rogers Centre.

The Yankees (95-59, 39-37) wrapped up the division championship with a 5-2 victory over the Jays on Tuesday for their eighth win in their last nine games. The Blue Jays (87-68, 44-33 home) had a three-game winning streak end.

The Blue Jays hold the first AL wild card by 1.5 games over the Tampa Bay Rays.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
New York Yankees -125 -1.5 (+135) Over 7.5 (-115)
Toronto Blue Jays +105 +1.5 (-160) Under 7.5 (-105)

Odds as of September 27th at Caesars Sportsbook. Claim the Caesars Sportsbook promo code

The Yankees are -125 favorites, giving them an implied win probability of 55.56%. The Yankees have +500 World Series odds and the Blue Jays are listed at +1400.

Though no rain is in the forecast, the Rogers Centre roof is likely to be closed with the low temperature expected to be 47 degrees.

 

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New York vs Toronto Probable Pitchers

Gerrit Cole (12-7, 3.49) is scheduled to start for the Yankees against Mitch White (1-6, 5.12). Both will be pitching on four days of rest.

Cole vs White

Gerrit Cole
VS
Mitch White
12-7 Record 1-6
3.49 ERA 5.12
3.29 xERA 4.05
1.03 WHIP 1.41
4.98 SO/W 2.35

Cole is 2-0 in four September starts but with a 4.94 ERA.

In his last start, Cole did not factor in the decision last Friday against the Red Sox at Boston when he gave up four runs and five hits in six innings while striking out eight and walking two. He was ejected by home plate umpire Brian Knight for arguing balls and strikes.

Cole has made 11 starts in his career against the Blue Jays going 5-2 with a 3.70 ERA. He has pitched only once at Rogers Centre, though, getting a no-decision last season while yielding five runs in six innings.

On the road in 2022, Cole has a 7-2 record and 3.83 ERA in 15 starts. He is 7-4 with a 3.55 ERA in 20 starts at night. The Yankees are 20-11 when Cole pitches.

White has struggled since being acquired from the Los Angeles Dodgers on Aug. 2 in a trade. He is 0-4 with a 7.38 ERA in eight games (seven starts) for the Blue Jays.

White lasted just four innings last Friday against the Rays in St. Petersburg while getting a no-decision. He allowed three runs on five hits with two strikeouts and one walk.

He has proud parents.

In four games (three starts) at Rogers Centre this season, White is 0-2 with a 7.52 ERA. He is winless in 17 games (15 starts) at night, going 0-6 with a 5.68 ERA. The Blue Jays are 2-5 in White’s seven starts.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Yankees Batters Batting Average vs Mitch White
Aaron Judge 1.000
Tim Locastro 1.000
Isiah Kiner-Falefa .500
Jose Trevino .333
Harrison Bader .000
Oswaldo Cabrera .000
Anthony Rizzo .000
Gleyber Torres .000
Blue Jays Batters Batting Average vs Gerrit Cole
Bradley Zimmer .500
George Springer .444
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .375
Alejandro Kirk .364
Whit Merrifield .333
Jackie Bradley Jr. .273
Teoscar Hernandez .250
Danny Jansen .250
Cavan Biggio .200
Bo Bichette .185
Matt Chapman .167
Raimel Tapia .143

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has given Cole problems, going 9 for 24 (.375) with two doubles and two home runs while Alejandro Kirk is 4 for 11 (.,364) with a double and a homer. Conversely, Matt Chapman has struck out 13 times against Cole while going 4 for 24 (.167) with three doubles and a homer.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Betting Trends

Gleyber Torres had three hits and three RBIs for the Yankees in their clincher.

The Yankees’ Aaron Judge walked four times but was held without a home run for the seventh straight game. He has 60 homers, one short of the AL record set by Roger Maris in 1961, and is a prohibitive -20000 favorite in the AL MVP odds.

Kyle Higashioka had three hits and two runs scored for the Yankees. Anthony Rizzo added two hits.

The Yankees are considering activating infielder DJ LeMahieu prior to Wednesday’s game. He has been sidelined since Sept. 5 with inflammation of the second toe of his right foot.

The Blue Jays’ George Springer had two hits, including a home run to lead off the bottom of the first inning.

The teams have split nine games this season with the Yankees having won five of eight in Toronto. The Yankees hold a slim 34-32 edge in the series since 2019.

NYY vs TOR Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
9/27/22 Blue Jays Yankees NYY, 5-2
9/26/22 Blue Jays Yankees TOR, 3-2
8/21/22 Yankees Blue Jays NYY, 4-2
8/20/22 Yankees Blue Jays TOR, 5-2
8/19/22 Yankees Blue Jays TOR, 4-0
8/18/22 Yankees Blue Jays TOR, 9-2
6/19/22 Blue Jays Yankees TOR, 10-9
6/18/22 Blue Jays Yankees NYY, 12-0
6/17/22 Blue Jays Yankees NYY, 4-3
5/11/22 Yankees Blue Jays NYY, 5-3

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction

Cole has been erratic in September, but White has been just plain bad since the Blue Jays traded for him. In more of a fade of White than a backing of Cole, let’s go with the Yankees.

Pick: Yankees ML (-125) 

 

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John Perrotto
John Perrotto

Sports Writer

John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.

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