A.I. College Football Picks for Week 10 – ATS & O/U Predictions from Sportradar Model

• SportRadar’s college football AI achieved perfect mediocrity again in Week 9, posting another 5-5 record both ATS and on totals for the second straight week
• The model correctly called Texas A&M’s blowout of LSU and Utah demolishing Colorado, but missed badly on BYU’s upset over Iowa State
• Below, check out the AI’s Week 10 picks featuring massive spreads, contrarian unders, and the model’s continued faith in road underdogs

SportRadar’s AI model has achieved something nobody wants: two straight weeks of perfect .500 records. Week 9’s 5-5 ATS and 5-5 on totals mirrors Week 8’s identical mediocrity. That’s the kind of consistency that bleeds roughly 5% per week to the vig.

The college football AI picks did nail some tough calls, like Texas A&M destroying LSU 49-25 to easily cover the 2.5-point spread and Utah’s 53-7 demolition of Colorado. But missing on BYU’s upset of Iowa State when the model had the Cyclones favored shows it still struggles with basic matchup analysis.

Week 10 brings another chance for redemption with Penn State getting an astronomical 20.5 points at Ohio State and several playoff-implications games across the board. The AI has crunched the numbers in the college football odds and emerged with some contrarian plays.

AI College Football Picks for Week 10

AI picks record to date:

• ATS picks: 38-41-1
• O/U picks: 45-35

College football AI predictions generated on October 29, 2025. Check out the top college football betting apps ahead of Week 10.

The Model Loves Massive Dogs

Penn State getting 20.5 points stands out immediately. The Nittany Lions have been a disaster since firing James Franklin, but that’s a massive spread for any Big Ten game. The model sees value in fading the public’s overreaction to Ohio State’s dominance.

SMU getting 12.5 at home against Miami looks sharp too. The line opened at Miami -2.5 in the summer and ballooned to double digits throughout the season. That kind of movement without injury news typically means the market overreacted. The Mustangs’ 3.13 sacks per game could disrupt Miami’s timing-based passing attack.

The AI also likes Vanderbilt getting 3 points at Texas. The Commodores are 7-1 and legitimate playoff contenders. Texas quarterback Arch Manning remains in concussion protocol, which explains the line movement from Texas -3 to -2.5. The model thinks the points hold value here.

Under Parade Continues

Six of the model’s ten picks lean Under, including Tennessee-Oklahoma at 57.5. The Vols average 45.6 points per game, but Oklahoma’s fifth-ranked scoring defense (12.5 PPG allowed) should slow things down in Neyland Stadium.

Penn State-Ohio State under 44.5 makes sense given Penn State’s offensive struggles without Drew Allar. The Buckeyes’ defense allows just 5.9 points per game. This could get ugly fast.

The contrarian plays come with Navy-North Texas over 65.5 and Nebraska-USC over 60.5. Navy’s triple-option typically grinds clock, but the model thinks North Texas’s explosive offense forces a track meet. Nebraska-USC projects as a Big Ten slugfest, yet the AI sees points flying in Lincoln on Saturday night.

Sharp Money Indicators

The model’s backing several spots where sharp money has moved lines significantly. Arizona State opened as 1.5-point underdogs but now sits at +7.5 against Iowa State. The Sun Devils are without quarterback Sam Leavitt, but 77.77% of the handle backs them despite 85.75% of public tickets on the Cyclones.

Florida getting 7.5 against Georgia looks questionable on paper. The Gators just fired Billy Napier and have an interim coach. But the line dropped from Georgia -9.5, indicating sharp action on the dog. Rivalry games in Jacksonville hit different.

Utah laying 10 to Cincinnati makes sense with the Bearcats’ top rusher Evan Pryor out. The Utes destroyed Colorado 53-7 last week and get a prime-time home game at altitude. The reverse line movement from -7.5 to -10 despite public backing Cincinnati validates the pick.

AI College Football Picks – Results from Week 9

Another week, another .500 record. The model’s now gone 10-10 ATS over the past two weeks while maintaining its decent 56% hit rate on totals for the season.

The bright spots included nailing Texas A&M’s route of LSU and correctly calling Utah to demolish Colorado by more than two touchdowns. Indiana covering 25.5 points against UCLA proved the model can spot value in huge spreads. The worst miss was backing Iowa State at home against BYU, with the Cougars winning outright 41-27.

At this point, the AI’s ATS record sits at 38-41-1. That’s a 48% win rate that would have anyone down about 7% on the season accounting for juice. The totals remain the model’s only saving grace at 45-35, though even that edge is shrinking week by week.