NFL Anytime Touchdown Bets for Week 16: Expert Picks for TD Props

• Anytime touchdown props have been posted for every NFL Week 16 game remaining
• Mike Evans has 11 TD in his last 10 games versus the Panthers
• See my expert NFL touchdown bets for Week 16

The NFL Week 16 slate continues on Sunday, with another action packed day of football. I’ve scoured online sportsbooks looking for the best value in the anytime touchdown props market, and I’ve identified six bets that you need to make right now.

Below, you’ll find my six favorite expert picks for TD props headlined by Baltimore’s Derrick Henry, and the analysis for why each selection stands out.

Best NFL TD Scorer Picks (Week 16)

The “best odds” in the table are as of 5:00 pm ET, on December 12. Readers can bookmark SBD’s NFL player props page to see up-to-the-minute props for every Week 16 game.

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Derrick Henry Anytime TD (-125)

Let’s start with Derrick Henry versus the Patriots. We are in the middle of De-Hember, which is the time of the year that Henry shines. The bruising Baltimore back has 30 career touchdowns in the last month on the calendar, and he draws a favorable matchup on Sunday Night Football.

New England’s defense ranks third-worst in rushing success rate and EPA per rush since Week 8. They’re also last in red zone scoring defense, which sets up nicely for Henry when the Ravens get in close. Baltimore is starting to look more like a Super Bowl 60 odds contender on offense, where they rank second in EPA per rush since Week 8.

Amon-Ra St. Brown Anytime TD (-110)

Only Davante Adams has more receiving touchdowns than Amon-Ra St. Brown this season. The Lions’ superstar will square off against the Steelers this week, who’ll be missing T.J. Watt. That’s going to hinder the Pittsburgh pass rush, giving Jared Goff more time to find his favorite target.

St. Brown is coming off a 2 TD, 18 target game in Week 14, and should be in line for another voluminous role on Sunday.

Nico Collins Anytime TD (+115)

Nico Collins is also coming off a 2 TD game in Week 14, and online sportsbooks are giving us an early Christmas present by posting plus-money odds for him to score against the lowly Raiders.

Las Vegas has allowed the 10th most production to enemy wideouts, and the fifth most touchdowns. Collins, meanwhile, has 10 more red zone targets than any other Texans wide receiver, and six double-digit target games already this season.

DK Metcalf Anytime TD (+150)

• DK Metcalf Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+150 at FanDuel)

Back to the Steelers-Lions game, which boasts a slate high 51.5 point total. Detroit is extremely vulnerable versus wide receivers, especially big body ones like Metcalf.

DK is fresh off his first TD in nearly two months last week, and racked up a season-high 148 receiving yards in Week 14. Only Dallas has allowed more touchdowns to wideouts this season than the Lions, while Detroit has also surrendered the most yards to that position.

Mike Evans Anytime TD (+180)

Mike Evans was put on this planet to score touchdowns. Most people assumed he would be eased back into action in his return from injury last week, but instead he got peppered with 12 targets. The Falcons managed to keep him out of the end zone, but don’t expect the Panthers to replicate the feat.

Since Week 8, Carolina ranks 26th in EPA per opponent drop back. Evans has averaged 93 receiving yards in his last 10 matchups versus the Panthers, scoring 11 TD in those outings.

Darren Waller Anytime TD (+230)

• Darren Waller Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+230 at FanDuel)

We simply can’t have an anytime TD card without a tight end facing the Bengals. We struck out with Isaiah Likely last week against Cincinnati, but that’s only because the Ravens completed just 8 forward passes.

This week, the Dolphins get to face the Bengals, and the arrow is pointing up for Darren Waller. The athletic freak has 6 TD in six games, and bettors shouldn’t shy away from him just because Quinn Ewers is now under center.

Cincinnati Bengals Defense vs Tight Ends

Rookie QBs love to target big tight ends, especially in the red zone, and that’s where Waller makes his living. Let’s be honest, Tua Tagovailoa wasn’t doing the Fins pass catchers any favors this season, and Waller still managed to average a TD per game. Now, in the best possible matchup a tight end can have, I expect him to score again.