Utah State vs Hawaii Odds, Spread and Prediction
- Utah State has a slim chance to repeat in Mountain West entering games of Saturday, November 12.
- The Aggies are an 11-point road favorite against Hawaii
- Read below for Utah State vs Hawaii odds, analysis and prediction
Utah State (4-5, 3-2 Mountain West Mountain) is an 11-point road favorite at Hawaii in an MWC game at 11 pm ET Saturday on Spectrum Sports. The defending league champion-Aggies have won three of four after a four-game losing streak.
Hawaii (2-8, 1-4 Mountain West Pacific) has lost three in a row since a home victory over Nevada, the Rainbow Warriors’ only victory over an FCS opponent this season. Their other win was at home against Duquesne in the fourth week.
Utah State vs Hawaii Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State Aggies | -11 (-112) | -435 | Over 52.5 (-107) |
| Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | +11 (-109) | +330 | Under 52.5 (-114) |
Odds as of November 11 at Barstool Sportsbook.
Utah State is an 11-point road favorite against Hawaii in a game that the Aggies have dominated in recent seasons. Utah State is 6-0 SU and ATS in the last 11 years in a series that is not played every year because the teams are different divisions. The Aggies have been favored in the last five meetings, three in Logan, and have won by average of 45-14. The Rainbow Warriors played the most competitive game of that group in 51-31 loss last season.
Hawaii is 1-5 SU and 4-2 ATS in the last six, and have covered their last two Mountain West home games, winning one The Aggies are 1-3 ATS on the road this season, including the season opener at Alabama. The game has gone over the total in four of the last six, with a push in another.
Utah State Still Has a Chance
The defending Mountain West champion Aggies have a mathematical chance to repeat, but they cannot afford another loss and need division leaders Boise State and Wyoming to cooperate. It is a tall order. That Utah State is in this position is a testament to their resilience after starting quarterback Logan Bonner suffered a season-ending leg injury in late September.
https://twitter.com/FTBeard7/status/1588979958164369408
Bonner threw for 3,560 yards, 36 touchdowns and 11 interceptions last season, but it was apparent something was wrong when he threw five interceptions in a 34-24 loss to UNLV on Sept. 24. The Aggies fell to BYU 38-26 in backup quarterback Cooper Legas’s first start the next week and are 3-0 with him since to get within upset distance of the Mountain Division lead and more realistically bowl eligibility. Legas missed the 28-14 loss to Wyoming two weeks ago because of a concussion.
Legas has completed 67 percent of his passes for 677 yards, six touchdowns and five interceptions. The passing game overall has malfunctioned, however, and the Aggies will finish below their expected total in the CFB win totals odds. Their 14 interceptions are second-most in Division I, and they also are averaging 87 yards in penalties per game.
Hawaii Up and Down
Hawaii was blown out on the road at Mountain West West leader co-leader Fresno State 55-13 last week, but the 2-8 Rainbow Warriors have been surprisingly resilient in coach Timmy Chang’s first season They are 6-2 ATS since opening the season with home blowouts by Vanderbilt and Western Kentucky.
Tylan Hines has his first career touchdown as a Rainbow Warrior. 49-10 Michigan in the 4th quarter.
(via @CFBONFOX)pic.twitter.com/5ELYEwZW6C
— Ka Leo Sports (@KaLeoSports) September 11, 2022
The Rainbow Warriors have found a keeper in freshman running back Tylan Hines, who had 79 yards rushing and 53 yards receiving against Fresno State. Hines had a career-high 103 yards rushing against Wyoming and had 75 in a blowout loss at Michigan, and he appears to have taken over from rushing leader Dedrick Parson as the lead back.
Hawaii’s only victory since Sept. 18 was 31-16 at home against Nevada on Oct. 16, but the ‘Bows have covered their last three at home (including that Nevada win). The downside — the Rainbow Warriors are near the bottom in NCAA Division I in both total defense (449.6 yards per game) and scoring defense (35.8 points per) in a down year for the Mountain West.
Utah State vs Hawaii Prediction
The Aggies used a touchdown on a fake field goal among to overcome 12 penalties in a victory over bottom-feeder New Mexico a week ago, and it is clear this is not the same team that it was behind Bonner in 2021.
The Aggies are giving up 219 yards rushing per game and were gouged for 216 last week, a stat that plays into Hawaii’s strength on offense. The Rainbow Warriors are better at home, and the play here is that they will keep it close.
Pick: Hawaii +11 (-109)
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Jack has covered college and professional sports for various Arizona media outlets since the 1980s and has written for the Associated Press, USA Today and Baseball America, among others. He staffed the 2015-17 World Series and has staffed four Super Bowls.
