Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs Odds, Lines, Spread, and Picks NFL Week 10

• The surging Kansas City Chiefs play host to the Jacksonville Jaguars Sunday, November 13th
• AFC West-leading Kansas City is a 9.5-point home favorite over the 3-and-6 Jaguars
• See the Jaguars vs Chiefs odds and picks ahead of Sunday afternoon’s game at 1:00 pm ET

The Kansas City Chiefs are rolling along, winners of four of their last five games to open up a one-game lead in the AFC West at 6-and-2. The Jaguars finally got off the schneid, emerging victorious for the first time in their last six contests, as they sit at 3-and-6 on the campaign. Read on for some Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs analysis.

Unsurprisingly, the Chiefs find themselves as one of the contenders in the Super Bowl Odds, as they’re the third choice (+550) to hoist the Lombardi Trophy. Jacksonville, meanwhile, is a massive +12500 longshot to pull off a major stunner.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs Odds

Odds as of November 11. Be sure to check out this unique Barstool Sportsbook promo code to bet on the NFL this weekend.

The Chiefs are -435 favorites on the moneyline, 9.5-point favorites against the spread, and the total is set at 50.5 in this Jaguars vs Chiefs matchup.

The favored Chiefs are predicted to win 27.5-23.4 based on our formula.

Kickoff at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO is set for 1:00 pm ET. It’s expected to be mainly sunny all game. Wind gusts will only be around twelve miles per hour with temperatures around 40 degrees Fahrenheit. CBS is carrying the broadcast in the United States.

Jaguars vs Chiefs Betting Analysis

Despite winning just three of their first nine games, the Jacksonville Jaguars are a feisty bunch, with all six of their defeats being within one score. Last week, Trevor Lawrence and co. erased a 17-0 lead against the Raiders to emerge victorious.

Five of the nine Jags games have featured a total of at least 47 points, which is close to the listed 50.5 number. That’s, of course, not been against the Chiefs, who are the highest-scoring team in football (30.4), meaning the over total is awfully tempting.

JAGUARS WIN!

27-20

The Jags completed a 17-point comeback that is the 2nd biggest comeback in franchise history. pic.twitter.com/OeXyGDRwxt

— Jamal St. Cyr (@JStCyrTV) November 6, 2022

In five of nine games, KC has also racked up at least 51 points. They posted a four-quarter comeback last week against the Titans, where they eventually won in overtime. Patrick Mahomes might have a field day against Jacksonville’s secondary, which is ranked 27th in coverage.

The Jaguars are the 23rd-ranked team overall according to Pro Football Focus (22nd on offense, 21st on defense). Their counterparts are much stronger, ranking fourth overall, as they’re third on offense and 17th on D.

Jaguars vs Chiefs Injury Report

Both teams are pretty fortunate that they don’t have a laundry list of injuries to deal with. Jaguars tight end Evan Engram is listed as a full participant in practice and should be good to go. The only question mark is safety Rayshawn Jenkins, who hasn’t yet cleared concussion protocol. He’s tied for the team lead with nine pass defenses.

Kansas City is also relatively healthy, with wide receiver Mecole Hardman (abdomen) the only player listed as out. This will mark the first game he’s missed in his four-year NFL career, and it’ll be a significant loss, as he’s put together five TDs in his last four games. Newly acquired WR Kadarius Toney should be in line for more reps. Backup running back Jerrick McKinnon was limited in practice Friday, and his status is questionable.

Reminder: The Chiefs have won their last 5 games against the Jaguars, scoring at least 28 points in four of those games. pic.twitter.com/eRP4Q6MlNW

— CBS Sports HQ (@CBSSportsHQ) November 11, 2022

69% of the bets have been placed for the Chiefs to cover the 9.5-point spread, with 65% of bets on the under in Jaguars vs Chiefs NFL betting trends, with a whopping 92% of the handle placed on Kansas City to win on the moneyline.

Jaguars vs Chiefs Prediction

This game is pointing towards the Chiefs taking care of the Jags. They’ve won nine of ten at home, their counterparts have lost 20 of 21 on the road, plus KC has defeated Jacksonville five straight times.

However, Jacksonville has been keeping every game close, and while the Chiefs have won three of four at home on the campaign, that’s been by a combined seven points.

The Pick:

• Jacksonville Jaguars +9.5 spread (-109), Over 50.5 points (-113); 2 units to win 1.80 units

2022 record: 13-11; +2.89 units