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  • Track the average odds to win the NCAA Men’s Tournament for all major D1 basketball programs.
  • Visualize how each team’s odds have changed throughout the year.
  • View teams individually or alongside others trending in the same direction.

With 351 schools all vying for one of the 68 spots in the NCAAM March Madness Tournament, each team’s odds to win the tournament can fluctuate with just one or two marquee wins/losses.

To help visualize this wild ride, we’ve gathered the odds for every team from multiple sports betting sites and calculated their average odds.

2019 NCAAM Favorites

 

Team Odds to win 2019 March Madness at Bovada (1/2/19) AP Poll Ranking
Duke +180 No. 1
Michigan +900 No. 2
Gonzaga +1000 No. 7
Kansas +1100 No. 5
Virginia +1100 No. 4
Tennessee +1200 No. 3
Nevada +1600 No. 6
Kentucky +2000 No. 13
North Carolina +2300 No. 15
Auburn +2500 No. 12

The early rounds of March Madness are known for wild upsets, but when it comes down to brass tacks, the favorites tend to come out on top, a fact exemplified by the following trends:

  • Each of the last 12 national champions has been a repeat winner.
  • The last school to win its first National Championship was Florida in 2006.
  • Four of the top contenders in 2019 — Auburn, Gonzaga, Tennessee, and Virginia — are in search of their first title.
  • Gonzaga is the only one of those schools to ever even reach the title game (2017).

 

Average Odds for AP Poll Top 10

AP Poll Rank Team Average Odds (Jan. 15)
1 Duke +190
2 Michigan +930
3 Tennessee +1300
4 Virginia +1000
5 Gonzaga +950
6 Michigan State +1900
7 Kansas +1300
8 Texas Tech +4500
9 Virginia Tech +4500
10 Nevada +1800

Don’t go looking too far outside the preseason top-10 when picking a team to win the National Championship. Of the last seven champions, UConn (2014) was the lowest ranked entering the year, sitting at #18. Five of the last seven champions have been ranked #6 or higher in the preseason AP Poll.

  • 2017-18 Villanova: preseason #6, Week 18 #2
  • 2016-17 UNC: preseason #6, Week 18 #6
  • 2015-16 Villanova: preseason #11, Week 18 #3
  • 2014-15 Duke: preseason #4, Week 18 #2
  • 2013-14 UConn: preseason #18, Week 19 #21
  • 2012-13 Louisville: preseason #2, Week 19 #4
  • 2011-12 Kentucky: preseason #2, Week 18 #1

Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC) Odds

  • UNC has won the most national championships among ACC teams (6 titles).
  • Duke (5 titles), Louisville (3 titles if you count 2013), and NC State )2 titles) are the only other ACC teams with more than one championship.
  • Ten of the current ACC teams have never won a championship:
ACC TEAM NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIPS YEAR(S)
UNC 6 1957, 1982, 1993, 2005, 2009, 2017
Duke 5 1991, 1992, 2001, 2010, 2015
Louisville 3 1980, 1986, 2013
NC State 2 1974, 1983
Syracuse 1 2003
Boston College 0 N/A
Clemson 0 N/A
Florida State 0 N/A
Georgia Tech 0 N/A
Miami 0 N/A
Notre Dame 0 N/A
Pittsburgh 0 N/A
Virginia 0 N/A
Virginia Tech 0 N/A
Wake Forest 0 N/A

 

Big 12 Conference Odds

  • Only one Big 12 team (Kansas, 2008) has won the national championship since the conference was formed in 1994.
  • Kansas also has the most all-time titles (3) among current Big 12 teams.
  • Oklahoma State (2 titles) is the only other modern Big 12 team that’s won a national championship.
  • Two Big 12 schools have never even reached the Final Four: TCU and Texas Tech.
BIG 12 TEAM NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIPS YEAR(S) FINAL FOURS (MOST RECENT)
Kansas 3 1952, 1988, 2008 14 (2018)
Oklahoma State 2 1945, 1946 6 (2004)
Oklahoma 0 N/A 5 (2016)
Kansas State 0 N/A 4 (1964)
Texas 0 N/A 3 (2003)
Baylor 0 N/A 2 (1950)
West Virginia 0 N/A 2 (2010)
Iowa State 0 N/A 1 (1944)
TCU 0 N/A N/A
Texas Tech 0 N/A N/A

 

Big East Conference Odds

  • Three teams in the modern Big East have won a national championship: Villanova (3), Georgetown (1), and Marquette (1).
  • Three others have made at least one title game: Butler (2), St. John’s (1), and Seton Hall (1).
  • Two Big East teams have never reached the Final Four: Creighton and Xavier.
BIG EAST TEAM NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIPS BEST NCAA TOURNAMENT FINISH (YEAR)
Villanova 3 Champion (1985, 2016, 2018)
Georgetown 1 Champion (1984)
Marquette 1 Champion (1977)
Butler 0 Runner-up (2010, 2011)
Seton Hall 0 Runner-up (1989)
St. John’s 0 Runner-up (1952)
DePaul 0 Final Four (1943, 1979)
Providence 0 Final Four (1973, 1987)
Creighton 0 Elite Eight (1941)
Xavier 0 Elite Eight (2004, 2008, 2017)

 

Big Ten Conference Odds

  • Indiana (5 titles) and Michigan State (2) are the only Big Ten teams to have claimed more than one national championship.
  • Four other Big Ten teams have won one national title: Maryland, Michigan, Ohio State, and Wisconsin.
  • But no Big Ten team has won the title since 2002 (Maryland).
  • Despite making the tournament seven times, Nebraska has never won an NCAA tournament game.
BIG TEN TEAM NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIPS BEST NCAA TOURNAMENT FINISH (YEAR)
Indiana 5 Champion (1940, 1953, 1976, 1981, 1987)
Michigan State 2 Champion (1979, 2000)
Maryland 1 Champion (2002)
Michigan 1 Champion (1989)
Ohio State 1 Champion (1960)
Wisconsin 1 Champion (1941)
Illinois 0 Runner-up (2005)
Iowa 0 Runner-up (1956)
Purdue 0 Runner-up (1969)
Minnesota 0 Final Four (1997)
Penn State 0 Final Four (1954)
Rutgers 0 Final Four (1976)
Northwestern 0 Round of 32 (2017)
Nebraska 0 Round of 64 (0-7 all-time tournament record)

 

Pacific-12 Conference (PAC-12) Odds

  • Once upon a time, UCLA was the dominant force in college basketball, and their 11 national championship are three more than the next closest team (Kentucky, 8).
  • But the mighty Bruins have not won the NCAA tournament in nearly 25 years, dating back to 1995.
  • The drought for the Pac-12 as a whole dates back almost as far, stretching to Lute Olson’s 1997 Arizona squad. The conference hasn’t even had a finalist since UCLA in 2006.
  • UCLA remains the only Pac-12 school to have won multiple national titles.
PAC-12 TEAM NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIPS BEST NCAA TOURNAMENT FINISH (YEAR)
UCLA 11 Champion (1964, 1965, 1967-73, 1975, 1995)
Arizona 1 Champion (1997)
California 1 Champion (1959)
Oregon 1 Champion (1939)
Stanford 1 Champion (1942)
Utah 1 Champion (1944)
Washington State 0 Runner-up (1941)
Colorado 0 Final Four (1942, 1955)
Oregon State 0 Final Four (1949, 1963)
USC 0 Final Four (1940, 1954)
Washington 0 Final Four (1953)
Arizona State 0 Elite Eight (1961, 1963, 1975)

 

Southeast Conference (SEC) Odds

  • Kentucky has the second-most national championships all-time with eight, but only one since the turn of the century (2012), despite regularly bringing in the top-ranked recruiting class in the nation, including every year from 2008-2013, per 247Sports.com.
  • Only three of the 14 current SEC schools have won a national championship. None of the others have even made the title game.
  • Ole Miss and Texas A&M have the worst March Madness track record, never advancing past the Sweet 16.
SEC TEAM NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIPS BEST NCAA TOURNAMENT FINISH (YEAR)
Kentucky 8 Champion (1948-49, 1951, 1958, 1978, 1996, 1998, 2012)
Florida 2 Champion (2006-07)
Arkansas 1 Champion (1994)
 Georgia 0 Final Four (1983)
LSU 0 Final Four (1953, 1981, 1986, 2006)
Mississippi State 0 Final Four (1996)
South Carolina 0 Final Four (2017)
Alabama 0 Elite Eight (2004)
Auburn 0 Elite Eight (1986)
Missouri 0 Elite Eight (1944, 1976, 1994, 2002, 2009)
Tennessee 0 Elite Eight (2010)
Vanderbilt 0 Elite Eight (1965)
Ole Miss 0 Sweet 16 (2001)
Texas A&M 0 Sweet 16 (1951, 1969, 1980, 2007, 2016, 2018)

 

Top Mid-Majors Odds


Archived NCAA Tournament Odds: 2018