2021 Grammy Awards Odds Tracker
- See the odds for major awards fluctuated leading up to the 2021 Grammys
- Taylor Swift’s folklore won Album of the Year at the 63rd Grammy Awards
- See all the winners and their odds for the top four categories at the 63rd Grammy Awards below
The 63rd annual Grammy Awards ceremony took place on January 31st, 2020. The graphs below track the futures odds to win the major categories by calculating the average from some of the most trusted sportsbooks.
Album of the Year Contenders
- [Mar 15] Taylor Swift’s folklore won Album of the Year at the 63rd Grammy Awards. The album closed as a -300 favorite prior to the awards ceremony.
- [Mar 9] With only a week left before the Grammy Awards, Folklore remains the favorite to win Album of the Year. Jacob Collier’s Djesse Vol. 3’s average odds have shortened from +2000 to +1100.
- [Dec 7] With more sportsbooks releasing odds for the 63rd Grammy Awards, Taylor Swift’s Folklore becomes an even bigger favorite with average odds of -255.
- [Dec 2] Taylor Swift’s Folklore has opened as the odds-on favorite to win Album of the Year.
Grammy Awards Album of the Year Odds
| Album | Odds |
|---|---|
| folklore (Taylor Swift) | -300 |
| Future Nostalgia (Dua Lipa) | +400 |
| Hollywood’s Bleeding (Post Malone) | +1200 |
| Everyday Life (Coldplay) | +1400 |
| Djesse Vol. 3 (Jacob Collier) | +1400 |
| Women In Music Pt. III (Haim) | +1800 |
| Black Pumas (Black Pumas) | +2000 |
| Chilombo (Jhene Aiko) | +2000 |
Odds as of March 9th, 2021
Taylor Swift’s Folklore was the top favorite to win Album of the Year. Swift has won this award twice before, in 2010 with Fearless and 2016 with 1989. folklore took home the prize for Album of the Year at the 63rd Grammy Awards, making Taylor Swift the first woman ever to win the Album of the Year three times.
Past Album of the Year Winners
| Year | Winner |
|---|---|
| 2020 | When We All Fall Asleep… (Billie Eilish) |
| 2019 | Golden Hour (Kacey Musgraves) |
| 2018 | 24k Magic (Bruno Mars) |
| 2017 | Hello (Adele) |
| 2016 | 1989 (Taylor Swift) |
Best New Artist Contenders
- [Mar 15] Megan Thee Stallion took home Best New Artist at the 63rd Grammy Awards as a massive favorite.
- [Mar 9] As we inch closer to the Grammy Awards on March 14th, Megan Thee Stallion remains the favorite to win Best New Artist at -295 odds. Ingrid Andress has seen her average odds lengthen from +1450 to +2650.
- [Dec 7] With more sportsbooks releasing odds for the 63rd Grammy Awards, Megan Thee Stallion’s average odds have increased to -550 making her an even bigger favorite
- [Dec 2] Megan Thee Stallion is a sizeable opening favorite to win Best New Artist at -400
Grammy Awards Best New Artist Odds
| Artist | Odds |
|---|---|
| Megan Thee Stallion | -350 |
| Doja Cat | +350 |
| Phoebe Bridgers | +700 |
| Kaytranada | +1600 |
| Noah Cyrus | +2200 |
| D Smoke | +3300 |
| Ingrid Andress | +3300 |
| Chika | +5000 |
Odds as of March 9th, 2021
Billie Eilish won Best New Artist at the 2020 Grammys, along with Best Song, Record, and Album of the Year. Megan Thee Stallion took home the 2021 award at -350 odds.
Past Best New Artist Winners
| Year | Winner |
|---|---|
| 2020 | Billie Eilish |
| 2019 | Dua Lipa |
| 2018 | Alessia Cara |
| 2017 | Chance the Rapper |
| 2016 | Meghan Trainor |
Song of the Year Contenders
- [Mar 15] One of the bigger surprises of the night as H.E.R.’s I Can’t Breathe won Song of the Year at +2200.
- [Mar 9] Under a week before awards night, Taylor Swift’s Cardigan remains the favorite. H.E.R’s Can’t Breathe has dropped as its average odds to win Song of the Year from +700 to +1633.
- [Dec 7] If The World Was Ending ‘s average odds have shortened to +1700 making them a massive underdog to win the award
- [Dec 2] Taylor Swift’s Cardigan has opened as a -125 favorite to win Song of the Year
Grammy Awards Song of the Year Odds
| Song | Odds |
|---|---|
| Cardigan (Taylor Swift) | -160 |
| Don’t Start Now (Dua Lipa) | +325 |
| Black Parade (Beyoncé) | +500 |
| Everything I Wanted (Billie Eilish) | +900 |
| Circles (Post Malone) | +1800 |
| The Box (Roddy Ricch) | +2000 |
| I Can’t Breathe (H.E.R.) | +2200 |
| If The World Was Ending (JP Saxe ft. J. Michaels) | +2200 |
Odds as of March 9th, 2021
The song of the year and record of the year are often confused one for another. Song of the Year, simply put, recognizes the composition and songwriting of the songs nominated. Billie Eilish (and her brother / song-writing partner / producer Finneas) won both in 2020!
H.E.R.’s I Can’t Breathe took home Song of the Year in 2021 as the biggest underdog of the night. H.E.R.’s song of the year winner was focused on the Black Lives Matter movement and in memory of George Floyd. H.E.R. said she wrote this song over FaceTime.
Past Song of the Year Winners
| Year | Winner |
|---|---|
| 2020 | Bad Guy (Billie Eilish) |
| 2019 | This is America (Childish Gambino) |
| 2018 | That’s What I Like (Bruno Mars) |
| 2017 | Hello (Adele) |
| 2016 | Thinking Out Loud (Ed Sheeran) |
Record of the Year Contenders
- [Mar 15] Billie Eilish’s Everything I Wanted cashes in at +650 as she takes home her second Record of the Year award at the 63rd Grammy Awards.
- [Mar 9] Beyoncé’s Black Parade has inched closer to Dua Lipa’s Don’t Start Now in the Record of the Year odds. Black Parade’s average odds have shortened from +800 to +450.
- [Dec 7] Megan Thee Stallion featuring Beyonce’s Savage has seen their average odds increase a touch now at +350
- [Dec 2] Dua Lipa’s Don’t Start Now is the opening favorite at -275 to win Record of the Year
Grammy Award Record of the Year Odds
| Record | Odds |
|---|---|
| Don’t Start Now (Dua Lipa) | -200 |
| Black Parade (Beyoncé) | +650 |
| Everything I Wanted (Billie Eilish) | +650 |
| Savage (Megan Thee Stallion ft. Beyoncé) | +700 |
| Say So (Doja Cat) | +1100 |
| Circles (Post Malone) | +1400 |
| Rockstar (DaBaby ft. Roddy Ricch) | +1800 |
| Colors (Black Pumas) | +2500 |
Odds as of March 9th, 2021
The Record of the Year celebrates and recognizes the artists, producers and engineers that created the songs nominated in this category. Quite often Song of the Year and Record of the Year will share some crossover, and while a win in one category does not always guarantee a win in the other – it can be a pretty good indicator.
Billie Eilish has now won back-to-back Record of the Year awards with Bad Guy winning in 2020 and Everything I Wanted winning in 2021.
Past Record of the Year Winners
| Year | Winner |
|---|---|
| 2020 | Bad Guy (Billie Eilish) |
| 2019 | This is America (Childish Gambino) |
| 2018 | 24k Magic (Bruno Mars) |
| 2017 | Hello (Adele) |
| 2016 | Uptown Funk (Bruno Mars) |
Archived Grammy Awards odds: 2020
With five years of sports journalism under his belt already, Ryan Sura may be young, but he is already making his mark. He has written for publications such as Fantasy Pros, SB Nation and TSN.ca, covering NFL, NBA, and college sports.
