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  • See the odds for major awards fluctuated leading up to the 2020 Grammys
  • Billie Eilish’s When We All Fall Asleep  captured Album of the Year on heavy -225 odds
  • See trends of past years of Grammy Award shows

The 62nd annual Grammy Awards ceremony took place on January 26th, 2020, at the Staples Centre in Los Angeles. The graphs below track the futures odds to win the major categories by calculating the average from some of the most trusted sportsbooks.

Album of the Year Contenders

  • [Jan. 26] Billie Eilish’s When We All Fall Asleep, Where Do We Go?  earns the Album of the Year award
  • [Jan. 23] Things continue to look great for When We All Fall Asleep… with -223 odds to win; Bon Iver’s I,I  also sees its odds shorten considerably from +2400 to +1767,
  • [Jan. 20] Cuz I Love You by Lizzo lengthens from +308 to +375, while Lana Del Rey’s Norman F***ing Rockwell! shortens from +683 to +600
  • [Jan. 15] When We All Fall Asleep, Where Do We Go? currently has -187 odds, maintaining Billie Eilish’s lead – far ahead of our next closest contenders
  • [Nov. 22] Billie Eilish leads the Album of the Year race with odds at -150 for her debut When We All Fall Asleep, Where Do We Go?

Album of the Year Odds

Album Odds
When We All Fall Asleep… (Billie Eilish) -225
Cuz I Love You (Lizzo) +400
Thank U, Next (Arianna Grande) +450
Norman F***ing Rockwell! (Lana Del Rey) +500
I, I (Bon Iver) +2000
Father of the Bride (Vampire Weekend) +2000
I Used To Know Her (H.E.R.) +3300
7 (Lil Nas X) +3300

Odds taken Jan. 23, 2020

It is hard to deny the power and sway of Billie Eilish. Her debut studio album When We All Fall Asleep, Where Do We Go?  won the 2020 Grammy Award for Album of the Year, one of five awards received throughout the night. She made history as the second-youngest person to ever sweep the ‘big four’ in one year: Record of the Year, Song of the Year, Album of the Year and Best New Artist.

She also became the youngest artist, at 17 years old, to be nominated in all four categories.

Past Album of the Year Grammy Winners

Year Winner
2019 Golden Hour (Kacey Musgraves)
2018 24k Magic (Bruno Mars)
2017 Hello (Adele)
2016 1989 (Taylor Swift)
2015 Morning Phase (Beck )

 

Best New Artist Contenders

  • [Jan. 26] Again, Billie Eilish is the year’s Best New Artist, as she claims her second Grammy of the night.
  • [Jan. 23] Odds for Best New Artist still favor Billie Eilish, who saw her odds shift from -300 to -358, with Lizzo at +145 as our the next closest contender. Black Pumas saw significant movement from +4500 to +3600, but Eilish is going to be a hard one to beat
  • [Jan. 20] All nominees for Best New Artist see their odds lengthen, save for Billie Eilish, who maintains +300 odds to win
  • [Jan. 15] Billie Eilish still sits pretty with -300 to win Best New Artist, followed not-too-closely by Lizzo at +138
  • [Nov. 22] With -175 right off-the-bat, Billie Eilish is the odds-on favorite to be this year’s Best New Artist

Best New Artist Odds

Artist Odds
Billie Eilish -400
Lizzo +160
Lil Nas X +1200
Rosalia +2500
Maggie Rogers +2800
Black Pumas +2800
Tank and the Bangas +4000
Yola +4000

Odds taken Jan. 23, 2020

 

Past Best New Artist Winners

Year Winner
2019 Dua Lipa
2018 Alessia Cara
2017 Chance the Rapper
2016 Meghan Trainor
2015 Sam Smith

 

Song of the Year Contenders

  • [Jan. 26] Bad Guy by Billie Eilish scoops up Song of the Year, adding to her collection of Grammys in 2020
  • [Jan. 23] TIME’s Entertainer of the Year,  Lizzo has been working to this Grammy’s moment a long time. Following the release of her Rolling Stones cover, Truth Hurts moves past former lead contender Bad Guy  with +137 odds to win another jewel for Lizzo’s crown
  • [Jan. 20] Norman F***ing Rockwell! sees odds worsen from+2033 to +2550, while Bring My Flowers Now by Tanya Tucker lengthens from +3100 to +3650; Eilish stays in the lead
  • [Jan. 15] Eilish’s Bad Guy gains a nominal lead over Truth Hurts, with odds shortening to +153
  • [Nov. 22] Bad Guy  and Truth Hurts enjoy equally attractive odds, both at +200 in contention for the Song of the Year award

Song of the Year Odds

Song Odds
Bad Guy (Billie Eilish) +150
Truth Hurts (Lizzo) +160
Lover (Taylor Swift) +300
Someone You Loved (Lewis Capaldi) +500
Always Remember Us This Way (Lady Gaga) +1600
Norman F***ing Rockwell! (Lana Del Rey) +1600
Hard Place (H.E.R.) +2000
Bring My Flowers Now (Tanya Tucker) +3300

Odds taken Jan. 23, 2020

The song of the year and record of the year are often confused one for another. Song of the Year, simply put, recognizes the composition and songwriting of the songs nominated. Billie Eilish (and her brother / song-writing partner / producer Finneas) won both in 2020!

Past Song of the Year Winners

Year Winner
2019 This is America (Childish Gambino)
2018 That’s What I Like (Bruno Mars)
2017 Hello (Adele)
2016 Thinking Out Loud (Ed Sheeran)
2015 Stay With Me (Sam Smith)

 

Record of the Year Contenders

  • [Jan. 26] A complete sweep couldn’t happen without Record of the Year, which goes to Billie Eilish for Bad Guy
  • [Jan. 23] With a shift from +613 to +575 Truth Hurts has yet to push past Bad Guy or Old Town Road, but is not a contender to sleep on
  • [Jan. 20] Both Bad Guy and Old Town Road have improved odds; +126 and -133, respectively
  • [Jan. 15] Lil Nas X and Billy Ray Cyrus seem uncatchable, with -122 odds for Old Town Road
  • [Nov. 22] Odds-on favorite Bad Guy (-125) gives Billie Eilish yet another great chance at a Grammy, as she is nominated – and leads in odds – in several categories

Record of the Year Odds

Record Odds
Old Town Road (Lil Nas X ft. Billy Ray Cyrus) -125
Bad Guy(Billie Eilish) +110
Truth Hurts (Lizzo) +700
Sunflower (Post Malon & Swae Lee) +1200
7 Rings (Arianna Grande) +1400
Talk (Khalid) +2000
Hard Place (H.E.R.) +3300
Hey, Ma (Bon Iver) +3300

Odds taken Jan. 23, 2020

The Record of the Year celebrates and recognizes the artists, producers and engineers that created the songs nominated in this category. Quite often Song of the Year and Record of the Year will share some crossover, and while a win in one category does not always guarantee a win in the other – it can be a pretty good indicator.

Past Record of the Year Winners

Year Winner
2019 This is America (Childish Gambino)
2018 24k Magic (Bruno Mars)
2017 Hello (Adele)
2016 Uptown Funk (Bruno Mars)
2015 Stay With Me (Sam Smith)