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Finding Value Bets: The Best Teams to Invest In

Jackson Porreca

by Jackson Porreca

Updated Mar 18, 2020 · 1:06 PM PDT

Identifying value bets is key to finding success when wagering on sports. Sure, picking teams that can win is a major part of the equation. But anyone taking favorites game after game will quickly come to realize that there’s a lot more to profitable sports betting than wagering on the best teams.

A detailed explanation of how to find value exceeds the scope of this article, but a basic understanding of odds helps to clear things up. It is difficult to make money betting on the best teams because they always face short odds, which offer low payouts.

Value bets are found with teams that consistently exceed expectations. The most profitable teams to bet on strike the ideal balance between regularly facing long odds and winning often enough to provide relatively consistent payouts.

Let’s take a look at a helpful tool to find them before revealing the most profitable teams from last season.

Where to Find Value Bets: Use SBD Sharp

You can do your own extensive statistical analysis to determine which teams consistently provide long-term returns for bettors. But we’ve already done the math for you, tracking every team’s performance on the moneyline, spread, and totals (over/under).

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SBD Sharp is the sports investing tool that allows you to track historical return on investment for every team in the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, along with select college football and basketball teams. Try it for yourself to see how we evaluated the profitability of the teams listed below.

How to Use These Lists

The lists below compile data from SBD Sharp for the last complete season in each sport. Teams are ranked for their profitability as a consistent investment across the season. Specifically, these rankings assume you’ve risked the same amount on each game throughout the year, betting on all of them and never adjusting the size of your stake.

We’ve ranked the five best teams to bet in each league on the moneyline, point spread, and when taking the over on totals lines. Return on investment for the season is also included, allowing you to compare teams within the lists.

Here are the best value sports team from last year:

Looking for Value Bets this Season? The data here demonstrates the importance of evaluating teams for their betting value rather than on-field performance alone.

Now that you’ve seen the best value bets from last season, be sure to check out SBD Sharp for the most recent numbers:

See the best teams to bet on right now.

The tool can also be used to evaluate historical return on investment in particular scenarios, such as when playing at home vs. on the road, or when favored vs. as an underdog. These metrics can be helpful in determining when your favorite teams tend to be a value bet, and when you might want to steer clear.

As always, please remember to wager responsibly. Tools like SBD Sharp can help you craft a highly profitable strategy, but success in sports betting always relies on conservative bankroll management.

Stay within your limits as you enjoy the action this season finding value bets.

Best NFL Teams to Bet on All Year (2018 Season)

Moneyline
Point Spread
Totals (Over/Under)
Team ROI* Team ROI* Team ROI*
Buffalo Bills 44.2% Chicago Bears 37.6% Kansas City Chiefs 24.7%
Dallas Cowboys 42.9% Seattle Seahawks 27.6% New York Jets 23.1%
Tennessee Titans 32.3% New England Patriots 25.1% Seattle Seahawks 15.8%
Philadelphia Eagles 21.9% Cleveland Browns 21.4% Cincinnati Bengals 10.9%
Los Angeles Chargers 18.5% Kansas City Chiefs 14.3% Tampa Buccaneers 10.6%

* Betting one unit every game

Best College Football Teams to Bet on All Year (2018 Season)

Moneyline
Point Spread
Totals (Over/Under)
Team ROI* Team ROI* Team ROI*
UNLV 83.3% SE Louisiana 98% The Citadel 91%
Oregon State 62.5% Sacramento State 95% Idaho 91%
Wake Forest 55.2% The Citadel 91% Lehigh 91%
Northwestern 53.2% Drake 91% Missouri State 91%
Illinois State 50% Lafayette 91% Eastern Illinois 91%

* Betting one unit every game

Best NBA Teams to Bet on All Year (2018 – 2019 Season)

Moneyline
Point Spread
Totals (Over/Under)
Team ROI* Team ROI* Team ROI*
Los Angeles Clippers 30.8% Milwaukee Bucks 18.4% Washington Wizards 19.1%
Orlando Magic 17.3% Dallas Mavericks 10.8% Atlanta Hawks 11.6%
Toronto Raptors 9.1% Los Angeles Clippers 8.2% Los Angeles Clippers 9.7%
Portland Trailblazers 6.6% Sacramento Kings 8.1% Boston Celtics 7.1%
Houston Rockets 3.8% Orlando Magic 6.2% Cleveland Cavaliers 6.6%

* Betting one unit every game

Best College Basketball Teams to Bet on All Year (2018 – 2019 Season)

Moneyline
Point Spread
Totals (Over/Under)
Team ROI* Team ROI* Team ROI*
Liberty 38% Drake 44.3% Virginia Military Institute 44.3%
LSU 30.4% SE Louisiana 35.4% Purdue Fort Wayne 33.9%
Kansas State 27.6% Ole Miss 32.8% Loyola – Maryland 31.2%
Florida Atlantic 25.6% Michigan State 32.8% San Jose State 30.7%
Texas Tech 24.5% CSU Northridge 31.1% Oral Roberts 29.6%

* Betting one unit every game

Best MLB Teams to Bet on All Year (2019 Regular Season)

Moneyline
Run Line (Spread)
Totals (Over/Under)
Team ROI* Team ROI* Team ROI*
Minnesota Twins 8.97% New York Yankees 13.11% Pittsburgh Pirates 16.29%
Oakland Athletics 6.63% Oakland Athletics 7.69% Boston Red Sox 11.3%
Atlanta Braves 6.04% Arizona Diamondbacks 7.03% Seattle Mariners 9.49%
Arizona Diamondbacks 4.86% Washington Nationals 6.59% New York Yankees 4.46%
New York Yankees 4.06% St. Louis Cardinals 2.52% Baltimore Orioles 2.93%

* Betting one unit every game

Best Hockey Teams to Bet on All Year (2018 – 2019 Season)

Moneyline
Puck Line (Spread)
Totals (Over/Under)
Team ROI* Team ROI* Team ROI*
New York Islanders 16.4% Montreal Canadiens 17.5% Chicago Blackhawks 24%
Tampa Bay Lightning 13.4% Tampa Bay Lightning 13.4% Florida Panthers 16.2%
St. Louis Blues 8.7% Calgary Flames 11.8% San Jose Sharks 12.7%
Columbus Blue Jackets 5.5% Boston Bruins 10.2% Buffalo Sabres 9%
Boston Bruins 4.8% Columbus Blue Jackets 8.9% Ottawa Senators 8%

* Betting one unit every game

Looking for Value Bets this Season?

The data here demonstrates the importance of evaluating teams for their betting value rather than on-field performance alone. Now that you’ve seen the best value bets from last season, be sure to check out SBD Sharp for the most recent numbers:

See the best teams to bet on right now

The tool can also be used to evaluate historical return on investment in particular scenarios, such as when playing at home vs. on the road, or when favored vs. as an underdog. These metrics can be helpful in determining when your favorite teams tend to be a value bet, and when you might want to steer clear.

As always, please remember to wager responsibly. Tools like SBD Sharp can help you craft a highly profitable strategy, but success in sports betting always relies on conservative bankroll management.

Stay within your limits as you enjoy the action this season finding value bets.

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