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Canelo vs Ryder Best Prop Bets – Canelo Closes the Show

Dylan Bowker

by Dylan Bowker in Boxing

Updated May 5, 2023 · 10:29 AM PDT

Canelo Alvarez in the boxing ring
Sep 17, 2022; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Canelo Alvarez (red trunks) and Gennadiy Golovkin (white trunks) box during a super middleweight championship bout at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
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Canelo vs Ryder Prop Bets are steadily popping up ahead of Saturday night’s fight. The Canelo vs Ryder odds still favor Canelo at -1800, with Ryder listed at +900 in the boxing odds.

Here is the in-depth analysis on which prop bets present good value in this weekend’s throwdown.

Canelo vs Ryder Prop Bets – Goes the Distance

Goes the Distance Odds
No -425
Yes +290

All odds as of May 5th at DraftKings Sportsbook. Get the DraftKings promo code for Canelo vs Ryder prop betting. 


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Canelo vs Ryder Betting Analysis

The line for this one not going the distance makes sense considering the track records that both of these sweet science practitioners have.

Both pugilists have more wins inside the distance than victories via the verdict of the ringside judges. The magnitude of this fight and the weight of what this moment means will inspire both to extend themselves to secure that emphatic.

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Each warrior is supremely focused on emerging with all four belts and by proxy to have that distinction of being regarded as the best super middleweight in the sport today.

With all of these factors considered, this is a contest that I do not see encroaching on that final bell when contemplating Canelo vs Ryder Prop Bets.

Pick: No (-425)

Canelo vs Ryder Props  – Winning Method

Outcome Odds
Canelo Alvarez by Decision or Technical Decision +330
Canelo Alvarez by KO, TKO, or DQ -370
Draw +2200
John Ryder by Decision or Technical Decision +1600
John Ryder by KO, TKO, or DQ +2000

KO Odds Favor Canelo

This fight marks Canelo’s competitive return to Mexico after over a decade and over a massively important, culturally meaningful holiday weekend. I feel he will be especially emboldened to generate a highlight reel stoppage here and be pursuant of a great knockout in front of his compatriots.

Alvarez has been generating knockouts more often than not across the last few years despite his last fight going the distance against the notoriously durable GGG.

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Ryder has only been stopped inside the distance once in his five total professional losses. That lone stoppage loss also took place nearly a decade ago in a weight category below. A less steep weight cut is seemingly leaving John Ryder a bit more replenished and durable as a super middleweight.

That being said, when mulling over Canelo vs Ryder Prop Bets, I think Alvarez will be able to turn his lights out and retain his undisputed belts at 168 pounds.

Pick: Canelo Alvarez by KO, TKO, or DQ (-370)

Canelo vs Ryder Odds – Round Betting

Round Canelo Odds Ryder Odds
Rounds 1-3 +600 +6500
Rounds 4-6 +275 +6500
Rounds 7-9 +240 +6500
Rounds 10-12 +450 +6500
Decision or Tech Decision +330 +1600

When Does Canelo vs Ryder End?

The likelihood of Ryder getting the stoppage is commensurately astronomical across all twelve championship rounds.

Some pundits and fans are positing that Canelo might be winding down a bit based on the relatively tepid nature of his last win over Golovkin. Alvarez I think will be especially emboldened to prove he hasn’t lost a step and that he is in fact still boxing’s biggest star of the modern era as well as one of the sport’s pound-for-pound best fighters.

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In this prizefight, I think that Ryder will showcase the aforementioned durability while Canelo spends some of the earlier rounds collecting intel to properly place that true kill shot.

I foresee Canelo being able to get the stoppage a bit beyond the midpoint of this fight.

Pick: Canelo Rounds 7-9 (+240)


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