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Canelo Alvarez vs John Ryder Odds, Predictions & How to Watch

Dylan Bowker

by Dylan Bowker in Boxing

Updated May 1, 2023 · 4:01 PM PDT

Canelo Alvarez fights in the boxing ring
Sep 17, 2022; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Canelo Alvarez (red trunks) and Gennadiy Golovkin (white trunks) box during a super middleweight championship bout at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
  • Canelo Alvarez vs John Ryder goes Saturday, May 6th at 8 PM EST
  • Canelo is a gigantic favorite in this upcoming title defense
  • Check out the Alvarez vs Ryder odds, analysis, and predictions, below

Canelo Alvarez vs John Ryder goes down at the Estadio Akron in Guadalajara, Mexico, and broadcasts on DAZN pay-per-view. The former is notably favored over the latter in the Alvarez vs Ryder betting odds, priced at -1600.

Let’s analyze the Alvarez vs Ryder odds as we provide our best bet for this bout.

Canelo Alvarez vs John Ryder Odds

Fighter Odds
Canelo Alvarez -1600
John Ryder +800

Canelo is a huge favorite in the boxing odds at -1600, meaning the boxer has 94% implied win probability.

This contest is for the undisputed super middleweight world championship with Canelo and Ryder in the champion and challenger roles, respectively.



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Odds as of  May 1st at DraftKings Sportsbook

Canelo Alvarez’s Betting Outlook vs Ryder

Alvarez enters the ring for a big homecoming here as he has not plied his trade within his country for over a decade.

Beyond this Cinco de Mayo weekend bout, the chance to avenge a loss looms large for Canelo who eyes a sequel with Dmitry Bivol if he gets his desired outcome here.

YouTube video

This marks Alvarez’s return to the ring following wrist/ hand surgery after closing out his series with GGG.

The fight reads to many like a stay-busy fight for Alvarez to fulfill his championship obligations at 168 pounds before jumping back up to 175 pounds once again in pursuit of galvanizing his legacy even more.

Alvarez vs Ryder Recent Fights

Gennady Golovkin, win via UD Fight 1 Zach Parker, win via RTD
Dmitry Bivol, loss via UD Fight 2 Daniel Jacobs, win via SD
Caleb Plant, win via TKO Fight 3 Jozef Jurko, win via TKO
Billy Joe Saunders, win via RTD Fight 4 Mike Guy, win via UD


This fight promises to gather over fifty thousand people in attendance and will be a live event attraction despite it not being the most enticing pay-per-view attraction of the calendar year.

John Ryder’s Betting Outlook vs Alvarez

Ryder is riding a four-fight winning streak heading into this weekend. This is his sophomore crack at a world title after falling short to Callum Smith via a controversial decision loss.

He garnered the WBO interim super middleweight belt last time out, and this has also allowed him to punch his ticket for this redemptive championship pursuit against the most lucrative matchup in boxing today.

YouTube video

Ryder has a marginal reach advantage and the unique southpaw angles are always something to factor in.

That being said though, the advantages Alvarez has in finishing ability, speed fight IQ, and overall quality of resume are hard to overlook.

Alvarez vs Ryder Tale of the Tape

58-2-2 Record 32-5
39 Knockouts 18
5’8 Height 5’9
70.5″ Reach 72″
Orthodox Stance Southpaw

Canelo Alvarez vs John Ryder Prediction

This contest presents a situation where a Ryder win would be tantamount to perhaps the biggest upset win ever recorded by a British boxer.

Some are theorizing that Alvarez could perhaps be a bit more susceptible to this due to what many pundits and fans saw as a bit of an underwhelming performance against Golovkin despite beating him.

All that being said, I still favor Canelo Alvarez retaining his championship belts on Saturday night.

Pick: Canelo Alvarez (-1600)


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