Western Michigan vs Toledo Odds, Spread & Picks (Jan. 6)

By George Nassios in College Basketball
Published:

- It’s the Western Michigan Broncos against the Toledo Rockets on Friday, January 6th
- Toledo is a huge 14.5-point favorite against their opponents from the MAC
- See the Western Michigan vs Toledo odds below, plus our best bet and prediction for this game
Nobody is giving Western Michigan (4-10, 4-7 ATS) much of a chance when they travel to Ohio to take on the Toledo Rockets (9-5, 6-6 ATS) in Mid-American Conference action on Friday, January 6th. Tipoff for this matchup from Savage Arena will go at 6:30 pm ET with the Broncos looking for their first road win this season.
After winning the MAC regular season title in each of the last two seasons, Toledo seem to be lagging a bit so far this campaign, but have plenty of time to make a move up the standings. On Friday, Toledo is a 14.5-point favorite with the over/under pegged at 156.5 as both sides look for their first conference win of the season.
Western Michigan vs Toledo Odds
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Western Michigan Broncos | +14.5 (-110) | +750 | O 156.5 (-110) |
Toledo Rockets | -14.5 (-110) | -1430 | U 156.5 (-110) |
Odds as of January 5th from Barstool Sportsbook. Get the Barstool Sportsbook promo code to bet on this game.
As -1430 moneyline favorites in the college basketball odds, Toledo have an implied win probability of 93.46% to roll over the Broncos in this game. Conversely, handicapped at +750, Western Michigan’s probability is just 11.76% to win this straight up.
- BET365 SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $150 IN BONUS BETS WITH CODE DIME365
- BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
USE CODE SBD1500 & GET $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS
- DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $200 IN BONUS BETS INSTANTLY!
- FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $250 IF YOUR BET WINS
- CAESARS SPORTSBOOK
USE CODE SBD2DYW & BET $1 TO DOUBLE THE WINNINGS ON YOUR FIRST 10 BETS!
Western Michigan Broncos Betting Trends
Though they started the season with a 2-2 record, giving some cause for optimism, the Broncos are just 2-8 in their last 10 contests.
The offense has been very poor averaging just 68.6 points per game, ranking 255th in the nation. Incredibly, Lamar Norman Jr. accounts for a quarter of that offense, dumping in 17.3 points per outing which ranks among the top 100 players in the country.
🏀Some well deserved recognition🏀
Lamar Norman Jr. is honored before the Broncos game against UIC after recording his 1,000th career point earlier this season (vs. Houston Baptist on 11/18)@lamarnormanjr_ | @DjStephens31 | @WMUMBB pic.twitter.com/RhvfL8aDsL
— Nate Brown (@NateBrownSports) December 11, 2022
The senior has ben slumping a bit of late, but his backcourt mate, Tray Maddox Jr., has picked him up cashing 34 points in his last two games. Other then the two aforementioned seniors, no player on the Broncos averages double digits in points per contest this year.
Away from home, Western Michigan has had zero success this campaign, going 0-7 with four of those seven defeats coming by at least 10 points. Needless to say, they’ll be in tough against the Rockets.
Toledo Rockets Betting Trends
Not only have Toledo had much more success than their Friday evening opponents in the MAC the last few years, they’ve also absolutely owned Western Michigan in the head-to-head matchups.
Western Michigan vs Toledo Recent Results
Date | Home-Away | Spread | Over/Under |
---|---|---|---|
02/22/2022 | WMU 50 – TOL 92 | TOL | Under |
12/29/2021 | TOL 83 – WMU 56 | TOL | Under |
02/27/2021 | TOL 91 – WMU 44 | TOL | Under |
01/02/2021 | WMU 59 – TOL 70 | TOL | Under |
03/09/2020 | TOL 76 – WMU 73 | WMU | Over |
In total, the Rockets have won the last 11 meetings between these two sides. Not only have they collected victories as favorites in those affairs, they’ve also covered the spread as the chalk in eight of the last 10 when they’ve faced one another.
As a small school from a small conference, nobody is betting on Toledo in the odds to win the NCAA tournament, but they better be taking note of their high octane offense.
According to KenPom, at 113.2, the Rockets have the 20th best adjusted offensive efficiency in Division I basketball. Unfortunately, on the other side, the defense has been a punching bag for opponents, ranking 288th in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency.
Western Michigan vs Toledo Pick & Prediction
With their frantic style of play combining with outstanding shooting, the Rockets are one of the most exciting teams in the nation to watch.
Leading the way in the attack is catalyst RayJ Dennis who pours in 19.2 points per game to go along with six dimes each time out. Lanky forward, JT Shumate is right behind him averaging 18.8 points giving the Rockets two players who rank in the top 50 in the nation.
2H | 7:42 rem. Season-high 16 pts. for @MossRaheim!
TOLEDO 86
Lourdes 69Here's a block from JT Shumate and a layup from RayJ Dennis! #OnlyUs #TeamToledo
📺https://t.co/zEK8PcgeJ2 pic.twitter.com/JwU32NUJLo— Toledo Men's Basketball (@Toledo_MBB) December 30, 2022
Betting the over has been almost a lock, hitting 11 out of 12 times in Toledo games this year. In addition, while it’s a sizable 14.5-point spread, the Rockets have defeated Western Michigan by an average of 38.7 points in their last three meetings.
We like them to get a ton of points, but are a little suspicious of Western Michigan scoring enough to hit the over. Instead, our money prediction is to take Toledo cover as the favorites for the 9th time in 11 meetings against the Broncos.
Pick: Toledo Rockets -14.5 (-110)
- BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
USE CODE SBD1500 & GET $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS
- BET365 SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $150 IN BONUS BETS WITH CODE DIME365
- FANATICS SPORTSBOOK
BET & GET UP TO $1,000 IN BONUS BETS!
- DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $200 IN BONUS BETS INSTANTLY!
- FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $250 IF YOUR BET WINS
- CAESARS SPORTSBOOK
USE CODE SBD2DYW & BET $1 TO DOUBLE THE WINNINGS ON YOUR FIRST 10 BETS!
Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, IL, KS, KY, MD, MI, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, WY); (800) 327-5050 or gamblinghelplinema.org (MA); (877) 8-HOPENY (NY); 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ); (888) 789-7777 (CT); 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA); 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN); mdgamblinghelp.org (MD); morethanagame.nc.gov (NC); 1800gambler.net (WV)

Sports Writer
George has had a lifelong love affair with sports and studying sports statistics since he was a kid. He graduated from Ryerson University with a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism and has worked in the sports & media industry ever since in various roles from writer to producer.