Missouri State vs New Mexico State Prediction, Pick & Line (Oct. 22)

• The New Mexico State Aggies are 1.5-point home underdogs when they host the Missouri State Bears Wednesday
• The Aggies are a perfect 3-0 at home on the year
• See below for my Missouri State vs New Mexico State prediction, picks and updated odds

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Two of the teams battling in the middle of the pack in Conference USA collide on Wednesday when the Missouri State Bears (3-3, 1-1 C-USA) visit the New Mexico State Aggies (3-3, 1-2 C-USA).

Despite owning a perfect 3-0 home record, the Aggies find themselves as home underdogs in the college football odds.

Kickoff is scheduled for 9pm ET from Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces, NM, with CBS Sports Network providing the broadcast coverage.

Missouri State vs New Mexico State Prediction & Picks

• Pick: New Mexico State +1.5 (-110 at FanDuel)

The Aggies are two different teams: the home version and the away version.

The home side has yet to lose, and has held Bryant, Tulsa and Sam Houston to 27 points through three games. But three of their last four have been on the road, and they’ve all been losses, including a 30-27 defeat last time out against Liberty.

Defense has been an issue on the road, as they’ve allowed an average of 39 points per game, which included blowout losses to both Louisiana Tech and New Mexico.

Their entire offense centers around quarterback Logan Fife, who has thrown for 1,514 yards and eight touchdowns, with four interceptions.

Their run game is virtually non-existent, with their 66.3 yards average the second-worst in college football.

Key Offensive Stats

The Missouri Bears have been consistently inconsistent this season, as they’ve alternated wins and losses through their first six games.

Most recently, they got by Middle Tennessee 22-20, bouncing back form a 27-22 loss to Western Kentucky the previous contest.

The Bears are nearly as one-dimensional on offense as the Aggies, with their running attack pumping out just 103 yards per contest, which ranks 10th in Conference USA.

Both schools rank inside the league’s Top 4 in passing yards per game, with the Bears airing it out to the tune of 264.5 yards per contest.

Missouri State’s scoring defense, which currently ranks second-last in Conference USA at 29.7 points per contest, is a little misleading. Take away their 73-13 demolition at the hands of USC, and the Bears are allowing just 21 points per game.

But New Mexico still offers a little bit more defensively. Led by stud lineman Ezra Christensen, the Aggies should be able to get QB Jacob Clark off his spot. The Bears have allowed the second-most sacks in C-USA with 24.

New Mexico State is also tied for second in the Conference in interceptions, and Clark is prone to throw it to the other guys, with six interceptions already on the year.

Missouri State vs New Mexico State Updated Odds

This line opened at Missouri State at -2.5, but that line has shifted down a point to 1.5.

You don’t have to go very far to find New Mexico as the underdog on the moneyline — at minus odds, though the majority of books have them at around the +105 range. The Bears have been as distant as -137 on the moneyline, with a slight move to around the -120 range.

There’s been little movement on the total, which has stayed a half point of 52 in either direction. The Bears have cashed the Under in five straight, while NMSU has gone Over the total in three of its last four.

Odds as of October 21. Check out the latest Caesars Sportsbook promos before betting on Week 9 college football.