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Sharp Week 2 College Football Bets Based on Money Percentages

Brady Trettenero

By Brady Trettenero in College Football

Published:


Clemson quarterback Cade Klubnik (2) and quarterback Christopher Vizzina (17) walk toward the field before the game with Clemson and Louisiana State University at Memorial Stadium in Clemson, S.C. Saturday, August 30, 2025.
  • Sharp money appears to be backing massive home favorites in college football Week 2
  • Clemson laying 33 points vs Troy shows the wildest betting split of the week
  • See the CFB Week 2 games in which our data shows the biggest bet and money discrepancies

College football Week 2 betting splits are showing some interesting patterns, with sharp and public money on completely opposite sides. The discrepancies between tickets and handles are even more extreme than Week 1, particularly on big favorites and totals.

Troy at Clemson has the most eye-popping split of Week 2, while over/under splits show the public actually loving some Unders for a change. Of course, the bigger

Here are the Week 2 games and teams that have the largest discrepancies between tickets (number of bets) and handle (actual money).

Sharp CFB Week 2 Bets (Money Percentages)

Biggest Sharp vs. Public Spread Spl
Game% Tickets% MoneyDifferential
Clemson -3329%77%+48
Texas -36.536%79%+43
Pittsburgh -22.537%62%+25
Illinois -2.579%96%+17
Biggest Total Betting Splits
Game% Tickets% MoneyDifferential
Stanford/BYU O4617%70%+53
Illinois/Duke O49.59%52%+43
Middle Tennessee/Wisconsin O45.521%51%+30

College football betting data provided by top-rated sportsbooks on Sept. 3, 2025. Get in on the action with one of our recommended sportsbook promos.

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Clemson-Troy: Ultimate Contrarian Play

This may just be the sharpest play of CFB Week 2. Troy is getting 71% of spread tickets at +33, but only 23% of the money. That means 77% of the cash is backing Clemson laying five touchdowns – a 48-percent differential. The line has moved from Clemson -32 as a result.

The public sees Clemson coming off that brutal 17-10 loss to LSU, where the offense managed just 31 rushing yards. Cade Klubnik completed only 50% of his passes with zero touchdowns. Troy, meanwhile, beat Nicholls State 38-20 behind 186 rushing yards from Tae Meadows.

But sharp money seems to view this as a classic “get-right” spot for Dabo Swinney’s squad. When nearly 80% of the money backs a five-touchdown favorite despite minimal ticket support, that’s as strong a sharp-money indicator as you’ll find in college football betting.

Texas Gets Sharp Backing

San Jose State at Texas shows another massive discrepancy. Only 36% of CFB bets are on Texas laying 36.5 points, but 79% of the money backs the Longhorns – a 43-percent differential.

The public remembers Texas managing just a single score in their 14-7 season-opening loss to Ohio State. San Jose State, meanwhile, lost 16-14 to Central Michigan, but they kept it competitive. Public bettors love taking five-plus touchdowns with an underdog facing a team coming off a deflating performance.

Sharp money appears to be betting on Texas’s defense, which held Ohio State to 203 yards. San Jose State’s offense struggled against CMU, and this could get ugly in a hurry down in Austin.

Illinois-Duke Friday Night Splits

Illinois at Duke shows interesting action on both the spread and total. The Fighting Illini are getting 79% of tickets but 96% of the money as 2.5-point road favorites – a notable 17-percent differential. Some books have now adjusted this line to Illinois -3.

Illinois quarterback Luke Altmyer ranks fifth nationally in passing efficiency after Week 1. Running back Hank Beatty also leads the nation with 241 all-purpose yards per game. Duke transfer QB Darian Mensah did throw for 389 yards in his debut, but the sharp money likes Illinois’s experience edge.

The total splits can also tell us something. Only 9% of tickets are on the Over 49.5, but 52% of the money backs it. This 43-point differential suggests that bigger bettors are forecasting more scoring than the public expects.

Totals Show Sharp Patterns

The public usually loves to bet on the Overs, but this week Unders are a popular play in many games, and sharps are going the other way.

Stanford at BYU has the most dramatic split. Only 17% of bets are on Over 46, but 70% of the money backs it – a massive 53-percent differential. Stanford lost 23-20 to Hawaii in an ugly Week 0 game, so the public expects more of the same.

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However, BYU’s offense exploded for 69 points against Portland State. Freshman QB Bear Bachmeier accounted for five touchdowns. Sharp money expects BYU to carry this total.

Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin shows another telling split. The public hammers Under 45.5 with 79% of tickets, but the money is nearly even with 51% on the over. Wisconsin shut out Miami (OH) 17-0, but lost starting QB Billy Edwards Jr. to injury. Sharp bettors might see scoring potential the public doesn’t.

Pittsburgh-Central Michigan Money Percentages

Central Michigan at Pittsburgh presents another clear sharp vs. public split. CMU is getting 63% of spread tickets but only 38% of the money. Pitt gets just 37% of bets but 62% of handle – a 25-percent differential favoring the Panthers.

Sharp money appears to back Pitt’s explosive offense that dropped 61 points on Duquesne. QB Eli Holstein threw four touchdowns in his debut. Central Michigan won at San Jose State but managed just 351 yards. The matchup favors Pittsburgh.

Where Week 2 Money Is Flowing

Based on college football betting handle vs. ticket disparities, here’s what sharp action could look like for Week 2:

Possible Sharp CFB Plays:
• Clemson -33 (29% tickets, 77% handle)
• Texas -36.5 (36% tickets, 79% handle)
• Stanford/BYU Over 46 (17% tickets, 70% handle)
• Illinois -2.5 (79% tickets, 96% handle)
• Illinois/Duke Over 49.5 (9% tickets, 52% handle)

Heavy Public CFB Action:
• Troy +33 (71% tickets, 23% handle)
• San Jose State +36.5 (64% tickets, 21% handle)
• Middle Tennessee/Wisconsin Under 45.5 (79% tickets, 49% handle)
• Central Michigan +22.5 (63% tickets, 38% handle)

The patterns show bigger college football bettors backing home favorites in bounce-back spots, going over on low totals despite ugly Week 1 games, and laying massive numbers when they smell blood. The public is taking the points with huge dogs and betting Under. We’ll see who comes out on top in CFB Week 2.

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  • DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK T&Cs: GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/WY). Void in ONT/OR/NH. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino & Resort (KS).

  • Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, IL, KS, KY, MD, MI, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, WY); (800) 327-5050 or gamblinghelplinema.org (MA); (877) 8-HOPENY (NY); 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ); (888) 789-7777 (CT); 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA); 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN); mdgamblinghelp.org (MD); morethanagame.nc.gov (NC); 1800gambler.net (WV)

Brady Trettenero
Brady Trettenero

Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor

Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.

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