- Does The Shape of Water have Best Picture in the bag?
- Will an underdog actor like Laurie Metcalf rise to the top?
- Our entertainment experts make their final predictions for the 90th annual Academy Awards.
There is only one week to go until the biggest night in Hollywood, and if you’re not sure what to expect, don’t worry! You’re far from alone. The favored outcomes look much different now than they did at the outset of the season, with many of the obvious choices now sitting in the shadow of former underdogs.
If you’ve got an office pool or Oscar prop sheet to win, we’re here to help. Our two entertainment experts have come together to bring you their final picks and predictions for who will walk away victorious on March 4th.
Whether they see eye-to-eye or are about to go toe-to-toe, we are about to see. The odds listed below are from Bovada.lv.
|THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI||-115|
|THE SHAPE OF WATER||+140|
|CALL ME BY YOUR NAME||+6600|
Kaela Napier: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
This was a hard one for me. In my mind, there are three particularly strong contenders: Three Billboards, The Shape of Water, and Dunkirk. While The Shape of Water leads the pack in total nominations (and Guillermo del Toro has been winning all the Best Director awards), Three Billboards fits the bill better in terms of what the Academy has favored in recent years. It is gritty, intimate, and poignant — not to mention, it’s currently enjoying the shortest odds over at Bovada (-115).
Trevor Dueck: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Can I say Blade Runner 2049? Oh, wait it wasn’t nominated. That glaring omission on its own should be proof enough that the 65-year-old white males who are responsible for casting votes are inept. It’s probably why the spectacularly average The Shape of Water will win here. But I do agree with my partner in crime, above. This is likely a two-horse race between Dunkirk and Three Billboards. I’m going to ride Three Billboards’ momentum and take Martin McDonagh’s creation.
|Guillermo del Toro||-1000|
|Paul Thomas Anderson||+6600|
Kaela Napier: Guillermo del Toro
I expect Guillermo del Toro to continue his awards sweep at the Oscars. I’ve been a fan of his for a long time because he directs with vision, sincerity and creativity — and, with The Shape of Water he does not disappoint, immersing us in one of the most creative love stories of all time. It feels strange to pick one movie for Best Picture and not its counterpart as Best Director, but like we said earlier, this is a bit of a strange season.
Trevor Dueck: Guillermo del Toro
I’m going to go with director Martin McDonagh. Oh wait, he wasn’t nominated. Wow, I’m really having a tough time early on here. Look, The Shape of Water was nominated 13 times and it will be thrown at least one bone. I’ll bite on Guillermo del Toro for the win.
Kaela Napier: Gary Oldman
I know, I know. I’m not saying anything new here. But, Gary Oldman’s name has been on everyone’s lips from the moment Darkest Hour was first screened; the buzz never quieted, and for a really good reason: Oldman as Churchill will likely go down as the crowning performance of an already-illustrious career. Other contenders have emerged, but his odds have steadily stayed the shortest. I feel the need to say that Daniel Day-Lewis is in the running with his final showing in Phantom Thread, but Oldman’s transformation is the kind of stuff the Academy soaks up.
Trevor Dueck: Gary Oldman
When you throw a little Oscar bait into the water, the sharks just gobble it up. The transformation of Gary Oldman is what made Darkest Hour watchable.
Kaela Napier: Frances McDormand
Seeing Frances McDormand in Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri was one of the most empowering experiences of my personal 2017. Not that my personal revolution has anything to do with her chances at winning the Oscar, but by the looks of it, others agree. She has been picking up award after award this season, her commanding take as Mildred Hayes demanding the respect of her peers. As if the monologue McDormand delivers halfway through the film isn’t enough, she goes and gives us Mildred alone with her billboards: quiet, subdued, and captivating to a fault.
Frances McDormand is what we call a “slam dunk.” If anyone else steals [Best Actress], we should create a series of billboards asking what happened and blame Sheriff Willoughby.
Trevor Dueck: Frances McDormand
Interestingly enough, they renamed this Oscar the Meryl Streep award. She could do finger puppets and she’d be nominated. She won’t be winner her eponymous award this year, though. Frances McDormand is what we call a “slam dunk.” If anyone else steals it, we should create a series of billboards asking what happened and blame Sheriff Willoughby.
Best Supporting Actor
Kaela Napier: Sam Rockwell
I went into award season feeling sure that Willem Dafoe was going to take this one home, but I have been swayed. Sam Rockwell managed to convey the complexity of his character’s broken humanity, with a grace and an ease that is hard to match. It was one of those rare instances where I found myself watching a character, rather than an actor.
Trevor Dueck: Sam Rockwell
I fear the Academy voters will look at poor old Christopher Plummer and see what he did on short notice by stepping in for that serial dick grabber in All the Money in the World and may throw a few votes towards him. They love that kind of thespian story. My heart says Sam Rockwell but there is a chance that he will split the vote with Woody Harrelson. I smell an upset brewing here. For now, I’m going with Rockwell, but I wouldn’t be surprised if it goes to Plummer or even Dafoe.
Best Supporting Actress
|Mary J. Blige||+1600|
Kaela Napier: Allison Janney
Full disclosure, I want Laurie Metcalf to win this one. I loved her in Lady Bird, and think that her performance, in another year, would have been a shoo-in. However, it’s not another year and she is up against Allison Janney — who I expect to take the award.
Trevor Dueck: Allison Janney
It’s either going to go to Allison Janney or the bird that was on her shoulder.
Best Original Screenplay
|Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri||+125|
|The Shape of Water||+1400|
|The Big Sick||+3300|
Kaela Napier: Get Out
Jordan Peele’s horror/thriller/satire/psycho-social commentary has won screenplay awards at the Critics’ Choice, LA Film Critics, New York Film Critics, and Writers Guild Awards. It might have been beaten out by Martin McDonagh’s Three Billboards at the Golden Globes, but I’m going with my gut and saying that the Academy is going to honor Peele’s debut with Best Original Screenplay. It was immensely creative, poignant, terrifyingly too-close-to-home for many, and executed with precision. It’s got my vote.
Trevor Dueck: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
I can’t help but feel that politics may be at play here and the Academy wil give Get Out a nod. But if we were being honest, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri is the best screenplay on the list. Get Out is a brilliant film and deserves recognition, but Three Billboards was just on another level and if Martin McDonagh can’t win for best director, at least give him the Best Original Screenplay trophy.
Best Animated Feature
|The Boss Baby||+2500|
Kaela Napier: Coco
Continuing on the sweep theme this year, Coco has won nearly every award in its path to this point and will undoubtedly do so again on the 4th. Pixar’s film is beautiful to watch, culturally sensitive in a time when this is not only expected, but demanded, and just simply hits you right in the feels. It is a joy to watch and deserves all the accolades it has thus received.
Trevor Dueck: Coco
Where is Lego Batman? This is a category that nominated Boss Baby and Ferdinand just so Coco can win easily.
I still can’t believe we agreed on most of these categories.