Upcoming Match-ups

Odds Say Roma Wins 4 Oscars, A Star Is Born Wins 2

JJ De La Torre

by JJ De La Torre in Entertainment

Feb 22, 2019 · 7:57 AM PST

Roma
The cast of Alfonso Cuarón's Roma. Image courtesy of Netflix USA.
  • The 91st Annual Academy Awards will be given out this Sunday, February 24th at Dolby Theatre in Hollywood
  • The most nominated films are The Favourite and Roma, with 10 nominations each
  • The odds suggest A Star Is Born will also take home a few trophies

Hollywood elite will gather this Sunday for the biggest night in film: The 91st annual Academy Awards.

There’s much anticipation to see which movies will take home the most gold, and also just how successful some of the buzzworthy titles will be.

With eight Best Picture nominees ranging from the $700 million Black Panther to the non-theatrically released Roma, the Academy has truly represented the film world across the board. You can view our 91st Academy Awards odds tracker to see how the odds for all films have fluctuated since being nominated.

Let’s take a closer look at the films which are likely to win the most golden statuettes.

Odds on Which Film Will Win the Most Oscars in 2019

Which Film Will Win the Most Oscars in 2019? Odds
Roma -250
The Favourite +600
Green Book +1000
Black Panther +1400
Vice +1400
Bohemian Rhapsody +2000
A Star is Born +2500
BlacKkKlansman +2500
First Man +3300
If Beale Street Could Talk +3300
Mary Poppins Returns +4000
The Ballad of Buster Scruggs +5000
Cold War +8000
Can You Ever Forgive Me? +10000

Odds taken on 02/22/19

Given that they’re the most heavily nominated of the bunch, Roma and The Favourite are the likely winners for most trophies.

Since its release, a lot of attention has followed Alfonso Cuarón’s Spanish language, straight-to-Netflix drama Roma. But there’s also talk of the equally nominated period film The Favourite to steal the show.


The Academy loves arthouse films, and either of these choices would satisfy. But given that Roma is a bit more unique with its black and white film style and gritty, realistic directing, it’s likely to clean up.
Pick: Roma (-250)

Odds on Number of Oscars Won By Roma

How Many Oscars Will Roma Win? Odds
4 -225
3 +350
5 +500
2 +1200
6 +1600
1 +2000
7 +3300
0 +4000
8 +5000
9 +8000
10 +15000

Roma is nominated in 10 out of the Oscars’ 24 categories, ranging from the technical categories to Best Picture. But will it be a clean sweep?

Count on a Best Picture win and likely a Best Director win for Cuarón. Given that Roma is the only foreign language film to be nominated this year for Best Picture, it’ll likely win the Foreign Language gold too.

Count on a Best Picture win and likely a Best Director win for Alfonso Cuarón.

Certainly a few other smaller category wins will happen here too. Where Roma will stumble to sweep is probably in the acting categories.

Many are expecting Glenn Close and Regina King to win for their work on different films.

Pick: 5 (+500)

Odds on Number of Oscars Won By A Star Is Born

How Many Oscars Will A Star Is Born Win? Odds
2 -110
1 +160
3 +700
0 +1200
4 +2000
5 +6600
6 +8000
7 +8000
8 +8000

The wildly successful remake of A Star Is Born is up for eight awards, including the prestigious categories of Best Picture, and both leading acting awards.

But just because it’s heavily nominated doesn’t mean it’ll take home even half as many awards as it’s nominated for.

The nominations for the film are impressive, but the breakdown of predictions almost locks it out completely. It’s a great film, but was released against such stiff competition.

A Star Is Born is up for eight awards, including the prestigious categories of Best Picture, and both leading acting awards.

Although director/star Bradley Cooper was snubbed in the Best Director category, the film is still a lock to win Best Song for “Shallow”.

But most of the other nominations are unlikely to secure a win.

Although Lady Gaga and Cooper were both phenomenal in A Star Is Born, they’re likely to lose to Glenn Close and Rami Malek, respectively.

Plus, all the sound category awards that the film would be a shoo-in for are being edged out by the more concert-heavy rock opera biopic Bohemian Rhapsody.

That doesn’t leave much gold left for A Star is Born, sadly.

Pick: 1 (+160)

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