Survivor Season 40: Winners at War Odds & Picks
- Survivor: Winners at War premieres Wednesday, Feb. 12th
- Sportsbooks haven’t posted odds yet, so we have calculated who will win and who might get voted off first
- See the odds for each contestant heading into the much anticipated season of champions
Survivor fans have been clamoring for it for years, and reality is finally sinking in – Season 40 is pitting past winners against one another. Twenty contestants will hit the beach in Fiji to take home the title and the massive bragging rights that go along with it – plus the largest prize in the show’s history at $2 million.
While most of your favorites are back, the show opted not to include original Survivor Richard Hatch, along with a few other memorable names, but the cast as a whole is very strong and balanced. This will also be the second iteration of the Edge of Extinction (season 38), so castaways voted off will still have an opportunity to get back into the game should they get ousted early.
Who might take home the title of sole Survivor yet again, and which contestant will have egg on their face in the very first episode? We have set the odds, below, but first a look at who’s competing.
Survivor: Winners at War Contestants
| Contestant | Season Won |
|---|---|
| Ethan | 3 (Africa) |
| Sandra | 7, 20 (Pearl Islands, Heroes vs Villains) |
| Amber | 8 (All-Stars) |
| Danni | 11 (Guatemala) |
| Yul | 13 (Cook Islands) |
| Parvati | 16 (Micronesia) |
| Boston Rob | 22 (Redemption Island) |
| Sophie | 23 (South Pacific) |
| Kim | 24 (One World) |
| Denise | 25 (Philippines) |
| Tyson | 27 (Blood vs Water) |
| Tony | 28 (Cagayan) |
| Natalie | 29 (San Juan Del Sur) |
| Jeremy | 31 (Cambodia) |
| Michelle | 32 (Kaoh Rong) |
| Adam | 33 (Millennials vs Gen X) |
| Sarah | 34 (Game Changers) |
| Ben | 35 (Heroes vs Healers vs Hustlers) |
| Wendell | 36 (Ghost Island) |
| Nick | 37 (David vs Goliath) |
What to Expect From This Season
As the name of the season suggests, this will be an all-out bloodbath between twenty players who all have an ego from taking home a previous crown (and in Sandra’s case, winning twice).
.@JeffProbst reveals the biggest get for '#Survivor: Winners at War' pic.twitter.com/VGUbR2R2Gl
— Entertainment Weekly (@EW) February 4, 2020
With that said, huge personalities like Tony, Boston Rob, Sandra, and Parvati will have the odds stacked against them simply because they’re massive targets and huge threats. On the contrary, winners without massive personalities like Michelle, Sophie, Nick, and Adam won’t immediately be viewed as players who must be axed, giving them a strong chance to make solid alliances.
https://twitter.com/ETCanada/status/1226898401972846594?s=20
Survivor: Winners at War Odds
| Contestant | SBD’s Odds to Make Final Four | SBD’s Odds to Win |
|---|---|---|
| Michelle | 3/2 | 9/1 |
| Sophie | 3/2 | 9/1 |
| Nick | 5/2 | 12/1 |
| Adam | 5/2 | 12/1 |
| Danni | 3/1 | 15/1 |
| Denise | 3/1 | 15/1 |
| Wendell | 4/1 | 18/1 |
| Natalie | 4/1 | 18/1 |
| Ben | 4/1 | 18/1 |
| Yul | 9/2 | 20/1 |
| Jeremy | 9/2 | 20/1 |
| Kim | 5/1 | 25/1 |
| Sarah | 5/1 | 25/1 |
| Ethan | 6/1 | 28/1 |
| Tyson | 6/1 | 28/1 |
| Amber | 7/1 | 33/1 |
| Parvati | 7/1 | 35/1 |
| Sandra | 9/1 | 40/1 |
| Boston Rob | 9/1 | 40/1 |
| Tony | 10/1 | 50/1 |
Boston Rob and Amber, the only married couple competing this season, will immediately be in trouble since they obviously have the greatest pact of all. Players will feel threatened by that strong allegiance. To a lesser degree, Kim and Sarah, two of the better winners the game has ever seen, will be in tough to shed that label in their attempts to go deep in the game.
Edge of Extinction Twist Returns
The much-maligned edge of extinction twist, which debuted in season 38, returns for yet another go around. Many fans despised a twist that allowed a player to lose so early in the game yet be able to come back late and take home the prize.
However, CBS wants to ensure all players get their screen time, so they made sure the twist came back, just in case all the fan favorites had their torches snuffed out quickly.
#endedgeofextinction worked! 🎉😍 After season 40, #Survivor won't have Edge for at least 'a while,' which is such welcome news. https://t.co/BWe0gGElJ9
— reality blurred (@realityblurred) February 11, 2020
It’ll be a factor this season in potentially determining the winner, along with a brand new twist that gives players coins to use as currency to further along their game. Survivor is ever-changing and trying to evolve, with some twists working brilliantly and others being widely panned. The jury will be out on the newest aspect of the game until viewers see it in action.
Odds to Be Voted Off First
| Contestant | SBD’s Odds to Be Voted Off First |
|---|---|
| Tony | 9/1 |
| Boston Rob | 9/1 |
| Sandra | 12/1 |
| Parvati | 12/1 |
| Amber | 15/1 |
| Tyson | 15/1 |
| Ethan | 18/1 |
| Sarah | 18/1 |
| Kim | 18/1 |
| Jeremy | 20/1 |
| Yul | 20/1 |
| Ben | 25/1 |
| Natalie | 25/1 |
| Wendell | 28/1 |
| Denise | 28/1 |
| Danni | 33/1 |
| Adam | 35/1 |
| Nick | 40/1 |
| Sophie | 40/1 |
| Michelle | 50/1 |
Someone Has to Be First Person Voted Out
For one player, they’ll go from the penthouse to the outhouse, having scaled the mountain to claim the $1 million dollar prize, only to face the bitter aftertaste of rejection on this season immediately. As mentioned earlier, massive targets and big time winners face immediate danger of losing simply because they have a huge target on their back.
Here’s hoping some of the “lesser” winners are actually taken out first, leaving the exciting legends of the game to compete longer – but don’t bank on it. These players are all very smart and know how to outwit, outplay, outlast. They won’t be starstruck, and they’ll be playing as hard as ever to earn that cool $2 million dollar prize.
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 16 years, where he's been featured on Sportscentre, That's Hockey, That's Hockey 2Nite, The Masters preview shows, and several more.
