Very Early 93rd Academy Award Odds – Best Picture, Actor, and Actress

Robert Pattinson sitting
Early odds are in for Robert Pattinson to win a Best Actor Oscar in 2021. Photo by Gage Skidmore [Flickr].
  • The 93rd Annual Academy Awards will be presented Sunday, February 28, 2021
  • Despite being eleven months away, entertainment fans are scouring the film world for choices and predictions into possible winners
  • Early odds are in place for the major categories of Best Picture, Best Actor, and Best Actress

Does it feel like the Oscars just happened? Well, that’s because they did. Only last month, Parasite walked away with Best Picture and Joaquin Phoenix wowed the audience with his Best Actor acceptance speech.

Barely out of the woods of last awards season, film lovers and critics alike are looking ahead to next year’s ceremony. Naturally, with movie theatres presently closed due to COVID-19 health reasons, the current film climate is much different than usual and will no doubt impact next year’s Oscars.

With so many films yet to be released and award-worthy films typically being released right near the cut-off, it’s very early to be making these calls now. But half the excitement is sleuthing and making those early calls so that when the awards are handed out, early supporters of certain films retain bragging rights.

Let’s look into the early 2021 Oscars odds for the three biggest categories at next year’s 93rd Annual Academy Awards.

Odds on Best Picture at 93rd Annual Academy Awards

Films Odds
Tenet +800
Mank +900
Dune +900
The French Dispatch +1000
Nightmare Alley +1000
The Midnight Sky +1000
Deep Water +1200
Stillwater +1200
News of the World +1200
In The Heights +1400
Da 5 Bloods +1400
Green Knight +1400
Bernstein +1400
Apollo 10 1/2 +1600
Greyhound +1600
The Last Duel +1600
BIOS +1800
West Side Story +1800
Minari +1800
Next Goal Wins +1800
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom +1800
Macbeth +2000
Annette +2000
Barbie +2000
I’m Thinking of Ending Things +2000
The Father +2000
On the Rocks +2000
King Richard +2000
Hillbilly Elegy +2000
Those Who Wish Me Dead +2000
C’Mon C’Mon +2200
Palm Springs +2200
The Invisible Man +2500
Ammonite +2500
The Trial of the Chicago 7 +2500
Onward +2500
Blonde +2800
The Souvenir: Part II Wins +3300
The Woman in the Window +3300
Nomadland +3300
Last Night in Soho +3300
Respect +3300
Promising Young Woman +3300
Soul +3300
Cherry +3300
The Eyes of Tammy Faye +3300
Worth +4000
The Witches +4000
No Time to Die +4000
Happiest Season +4000
Shirley +4000
The Devil All the Time +4000
Mulan +4000
The Falcon and the Winter Soldier +4000
Horse Girl +4000
The Many Saints of Newark +5000
The King of Staten Island +5000
Ironbark +5000
The Way Back +5000
The Last Thing He Wanted +5000
The Hunting +5000
Underwater +5000
Run +6600
Fantasy Island +6600
The Eternals +6600
Coming 2 America +6600
A Quiet Place 2 +6600
Death on the Nile +6600
Harley Quinn: Birds of Prey +8000
Sonic the Hedgehog +8000
Halloween Kills +8000
Black Widow +10000
Wonder Woman 1984 +10000
Top Gun: Maverick +10000
Fast and Furious 9 +10000
Artemis Fowl +10000
Dolittle +10000
Jungle Cruise +15000
Morbius +15000
Monster Hunter +15000

Odds taken Mar. 30.

The most likely candidate in Best Picture is Christopher Nolan’s action-thriller Tenet. The film presently has a July 16 release date, which – fingers crossed – should be outside of the predicted scope of COVID-19-impacted release dates.

Tenet stars Robert Pattinson and Michael Caine among others, with a story set to follow a secret agent time traveling to prevent World War III.

With no release date tied to it yet, acclaimed director David Fincher’s Mank is another big contender. A biopic of sorts, Mank is set to uncover the behind the scenes look of Herman J. Mankiewicz’s tumultuous development of film classic Citizen Kane. As we all know, Hollywood loves films about Hollywood, so this one’s for sure going to be nominated at least.

Fans of sci-fi have something to look forward to with the upcoming Denis Villeneuve reboot of Dune. Starring Timothee Chalamet, Zendaya, and Jason Momoa,  it’s set to elevate the original with Villeneuve’s notable art direction-focused filmmaking. As of now, Dune also has no release date.

Many of the other films have either been released or are set to do so soon, such as Pixar’s animated romp Onward, kitschy comic book flick Harley Quinn, or eerie Blumhouse horror film Fantasy Island. But knowing the Academy, none of these fun films stand a chance with the artsy dramatic competitors.

Pick: Mank (+900)

Odds on Best Actor at 93rd Annual Academy Awards

Actor Odds
Robert Pattinson +800
Eddie Redmayne +800
Tom Hanks +800
Gary Oldman +800
Matt Damon +1400
George Clooney +1400
Adam Driver +1400
Chadwick Boseman +1400
Idris Elba +2000
Dave Bautista +2000
Ben Affleck +2000
Javier Bardem +2500
Denzel Washington +3300
Timothee Chalamet +3300
Bradley Cooper +3300
Oscar Isaac +3300
Bill Murray +3300
Josh Brolin +3300
Sasha Baron Cohen +5000
Willem Dafoe +5000
Russell Crowe +6600
Tom Holland +6600
Chris Pratt +6600
Jason Momoa +6600
Logan Lerman +8000
Richard Jenkins +10000

Though originally laughed at across the board for his participation in the Twilight franchise, Robert Pattinson has turned out to be a big name in Hollywood. Being cast in well-received films such as The Lighthouse, and Life has been great for his career. Pattinson is a likely contender for next year’s Best Actor for his role in Nolan’s Tenet.

Naturally, the Best Actor category is filled with an immense list of talent. Previous Best Actor Winner Eddie Redmayne is also one to watch, for his role in The Trial of the Chicago 7.  And, now that he’s recovered from COVID-19, Tom Hanks will be even more exciting to see on screen, this time for his role as Finch in sci-fi drama BIOS.

While it would be so fun to see Dave Bautista, Jason Momoa, or even Sasha Baron Cohen snag a win for Best Actor, it’s way more likely to see one of the serious films lead this category.

Pick: Robert Pattinson (+800)

Odds on Best Actress at 93rd Annual Academy Awards

Actress Odds
Jennifer Hudson +500
Viola Davis +500
Amy Adams +700
Meryl Streep +800
Jessica Chastain +1000
Glenn Close +1000
Annette Bening +2000
Jodie Comer +2000
Cate Blanchett +2200
Frances McDormand +2200
Octavia Spencer +2500
Renee Zellweger +2500
Rachel Zegler +2500
Rooney Mara +3300
Kate Winslet +3300
Saoirse Ronan +3300
Nicole Kidman +3300
Abigail Breslin +3300
Scarlett Johansson +4000
Helen Mirren +5000
Margot Robbie +5000
Jennifer Aniston +5000
Reese Witherspoon +5000
Jennifer Lawrence +5000
Lady Gaga +5000
Judi Dench +5000
Tilda Swinton +8000
Mindy Kaling +8000
Tina Fey +8000
Rebel Wilson +8000

In terms of the Best Actress category, there are two stars who have particularly great early odds: Jennifer Hudson and Viola Davis.

Hudson is no stranger to Oscar gold, having secured a Best Supporting Actress for her film debut in Dreamgirls in 2006. Now, a decade and a half later, she’s set to slay in the leading category for her upcoming appearance as Aretha Franklin in biopic Respect.

Davis is set to wow in the upcoming music drama Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom as the title character. Not much about this film is known as of yet, but early information describes it as a Blues-era drama set in 1927 Chicago.

Amy Adams is also a heavy contender for Best Actress, for her role as Bev in Ron Howard’s Netflix film Hillbilly Elegy. The upcoming drama follows a man reliving his adventures in the Midwest. It’s unknown as of now what Adams’ role will play in the film.

Then there’s perennial Oscars darling Meryl Streep. It seems no matter what Streep does in any given year, the Academy throws her a nomination. For 2020, her filmography seems to be limited to Let Them All Talk. What’s the movie about? Who knows. What’s her role? Not sure. Will she still be nominated for it? Probably.

Despite a plethora of talent in the Best Actress field, it must be considered that this will be the first Oscars in a (hopefully) post-Coronavirus climate. The world will need empowering, strong icons to look for at this time, and nobody fits that more than Jennifer Hudson as Aretha Franklin.

Pick: Jennifer Hudson (+500)

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