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WWE NXT Deadline 2022 Odds, Picks, and Predictions

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by Graham "GSM" Matthews in Entertainment

Updated Dec 8, 2022 · 3:21 PM PST

WWE NXT Deadline 2022
Pat McAfee and Happy Corbin compete during the 2022 WWE SummerSlam Saturday July 30, 2022 at Nissasn Stadium; Nashville, TN, USA; Mandatory Credit: Alan Poizner-The Tennessean Entertainment Wwe Summerslam
  • WWE NXT Deadline 2022 will take place on Saturday, December 10th, 2022
  • Bron Breakker will defend his NXT Championship against Apollo Crews
  • Who do betting odds favor emerging victorious in each bout? See odds, analysis, and our best bets below

The very best of WWE’s NXT brand is on display at the premium live events, and Saturday’s Deadline special should be no exception with what’s on top.

In addition to Apollo Crews challenging Bron Breakker for the NXT Championship in the night’s main event, the show will also mark the debut of the Iron Survivor Challenge match. Five men and five women will have a chance to make history and earn a future title opportunity by emerging victorious.

Ahead of the anticipated event, let’s take a look at the favorites that are expected to emerge victorious at WWE NXT Deadline 2022, according to our own betting odds and analysis.

WWE NXT Deadline 2022 Odds

SmackDown Women’s Championship Match Odds
Alba Fyre 150
Isla Dawn -150
NXT Tag Team Championship Odds
Pretty Deadly (c) -300
The New Day 250
Women’s Iron Survivor Challenge Match Odds
Roxanne Perez 100
Indi Hartwell 250
Cora Jade 750
Zoey Stark 750
Kiana James 1900
Men’s Iron Survivor Challenge Match Odds
Carmelo Hayes -200
Grayson Waller 550
JD McDonagh 900
Joe Gacy 900
Axiom 900
NXT Championship Odds
Bron Breakker (c) -400
Apollo Crews 300

Odds as of Dec. 8. Browse the top online sports betting sites.


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Fyre vs Dawn Pick

Truthfully, there is no good winner in this one. Isla Dawn just arrived on the NXT scene and immediately made an enemy out of Alba Fyre, who has lost whenever it has mattered most in 2022.

Assuming Dawn will be protected in her first few months on the brand, she’s the safe bet at -150, but Fyre doesn’t trail far behind in the odds at +150 due to the fact there’s a strong chance Fyre wins by disqualification to keep the feud alive.

NXT Tag Team Championship Prediction

Pretty Deadly defending the NXT Tag Team Championship against The New Day was a last-minute addition to the Deadline card, and it’s an extremely intriguing one. Pretty Deadly weren’t wrong when they claimed that they’ve defeated the entire division, making it more likely that New Day leave Saturday’s show with the twin titles.

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New Day have never before been NXT Tag Team champions and this is an opportunity to switch things up. At -350, look for them to secure the victory and embark on a fun run on the brand.

Women’s Iron Survivor Challenge Best Bet

Roxanne Perez is the only full-fledged babyface competing in the women’s Iron Survivor Challenge match, which makes her the odds-on favorite to win the whole thing.

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Mandy Rose has been a dominant heel NXT Women’s champion for the last year and Perez is the best possible opponent for her at the moment. Hartwell is the only other feasible winner at +250, but Perez should be the one to ultimately dethrone Rose as champ at the turn of the year.

Men’s Iron Survivor Challenge Prediction

Even more so than Perez, Carmelo Hayes winning the Iron Survivor Challenge for the men is virtually guaranteed. He’s been ready to challenge for the NXT Championship for quite some time now and this is his ticket to title contention.

Grayson Waller is a distant runner up at +550, simply because he’d also be a fresh opponent for whoever walks away in the main event with the prestigious prize. Hayes remains the best bet, though.

NXT Championship Best Bet

Apollo Crews vs. Bron Breakker is about six months in the making, and to NXT’s credit, they’ve done an excellent job of building it up since the initial tease. Crews probably poses the biggest threat to Breakker’s reign so far but still doesn’t feel like a shoo-in to take the title from him.

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Crews has a decent chance at +300 and shouldn’t be completely counted out, but Breakker coming out on top is the smartest possible outcome to ensure he’s still holding the gold in time for a clash with expected number one contender, Carmelo Hayes.


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